Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$139,552

Trades

11,852

Unique wallets

1,919

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-15

First seen

2026-03-15

last 03-15 18:36

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +13,641 (anon) +9,396 (anon) +2,563 (anon) +2,312 (anon) +2,110 (anon) +2,017 (anon) +1,515 (anon) +1,515

NO holders

(anon) +10,000 (anon) +5,807 (anon) +3,000 (anon) +2,972 (anon) +2,632 (anon) +2,238 (anon) +2,166 High-Adverb +1,476

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +0.3¢ (top1%: 91% YES on $46.9K vs crowd: 90% YES on $120.8K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	168	$56.7K	$5.2K	+$51.4K
🐬 Dolphin	434	$29.8K	$3.1K	+$26.7K
🐟 Fish	678	$20.0K	$2.0K	+$18.0K
🦐 Shrimp	639	$2.6K	$1.3K	+$1.3K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	148	$42.5K	$4.4K	+$38.1K
🏆 Top 5%	187	$11.7K	$1.0K	+$10.7K
✅ Top 10%	104	$2.0K	$127	+$1.9K
Median	211	$1.4K	$244	+$1.2K
Below median	624	$4.4K	$991	+$3.4K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	273	$4.7K	$746	+$4.0K
🔻 Bottom 5%	255	$15.2K	$2.3K	+$12.9K
💀 Bottom 1%	117	$27.1K	$1.8K	+$25.3K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Up	+13,641	$13,627	$13,627	41	03-15 18:36
(anonymous) 0xbded…4e61	Down	+10,000	$10	$10	1	03-15 18:35
(anonymous) 0x4dfa…dd20	Up	+9,396	$9,220	$9,220	2	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Down	+5,807	$58	$58	33	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0xac5a…3c5f	Down	+3,000	$30	$30	1	03-15 18:35
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+2,972	$541	$541	142	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x098f…3da0	Down	+2,632	$52	$52	91	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+2,563	$2,068	$2,068	80	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Up	+2,312	$1,976	$1,976	123	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Down	+2,238	$311	$311	127	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x2ad0…596d	Down	+2,166	$94	$94	8	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0xb51a…20b3	Up	+2,110	$1,949	$1,949	58	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x098f…3da0	Up	+2,017	$1,954	$1,954	72	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x893e…8240	Up	+1,515	$1,500	$1,500	1	03-15 18:35
(anonymous) 0xf722…b5db	Up	+1,515	$1,500	$1,500	22	03-15 18:35
Wan-Promenade 0x4305…bab7	Up	+1,500	$1,485	$1,485	2	03-15 18:34
High-Adverb 0x680f…668d	Down	+1,476	$15	$15	19	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x60fd…2893	Up	+1,458	$1,349	$1,349	3	03-15 18:32
High-Adverb 0x680f…668d	Up	+1,441	$1,412	$1,412	19	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+1,379	$213	$482	176	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Down	+1,301	$190	$190	126	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Up	+1,194	$957	$957	6	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0xb4d2…9ee1	Down	+1,194	$130	$130	6	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+1,171	$191	$335	99	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Up	+1,169	$987	$987	87	03-15 18:33
Poised-Classmate 0x41aa…dbd1	Down	+1,091	$22	$22	27	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0xf78b…8548	Down	+1,077	$106	$106	105	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x1414…abce	Up	+1,068	$842	$842	3	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x1414…abce	Down	+1,057	$56	$56	4	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x3ef4…2a12	Down	+1,045	$10	$10	45	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x19a1…7698	Down	+1,021	$130	$130	97	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x29c4…71ed	Up	+1,010	$1,000	$1,000	12	03-15 18:35
(anonymous) 0x94a6…a0c7	Up	+1,010	$1,000	$1,000	1	03-15 18:35
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Down	+1,005	$161	$161	57	03-15 18:33
Dearest-Discipline 0xe71c…79ae	Down	+1,001	$61	$115	40	03-15 18:34
International-Challenge 0x27b0…fc67	Down	+1,001	-$50	$251	122	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x477a…f775	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	03-15 18:35
(anonymous) 0xa451…e147	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	1	03-15 18:35
(anonymous) 0xe103…c64c	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	1	03-15 18:36
(anonymous) 0x2ccc…cd45	Up	+999	$974	$974	1	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x19a1…7698	Up	+944	$794	$794	68	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x255b…7b2a	Down	+931	$100	$100	1	03-15 18:32
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+909	$629	$629	43	03-15 18:30
(anonymous) 0xd07a…fa94	Down	+828	$72	$72	65	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0xd07a…fa94	Up	+828	$754	$754	38	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+817	$81	$81	93	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0xd111…af32	Up	+794	$582	$582	32	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x5830…c61b	Down	+794	$108	$108	5	03-15 18:31
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+792	$668	$668	74	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x5bde…cbb7	Up	+780	$637	$637	44	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x970f…eae7	Down	+759	$51	$125	116	03-15 18:34
Humble-Outcome 0x9a1d…86d6	Up	+755	$667	$1,075	89	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0xd111…af32	Down	+737	$149	$149	51	03-15 18:33
(anonymous) 0x991d…e467	Down	+732	$90	$90	1	03-15 18:31
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+709	$520	$520	26	03-15 18:32
(anonymous) 0x266b…205b	Up	+700	$693	$693	9	03-15 18:35
(anonymous) 0x3ef4…2a12	Up	+673	$659	$659	16	03-15 18:34
Knowing-Windscreen 0x4920…2ef4	Up	+643	$630	$630	2	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x9814…a510	Up	+629	$572	$572	26	03-15 18:34
(anonymous) 0x414e…1f53	Up	+600	$594	$594	8	03-15 18:35