Cultivated-Deposit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,927

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-11 15:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 54% $-19

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 176 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes		+7	$1	40¢	$3	+$2	06-09 09:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes		+12	$1	4¢	$1	$-0	06-11 15:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772631600	2	$185	148	147	+1	open	—	03-04 13:46
btc updown 5m 1772455800	2	$181	144	142	+1	open	—	03-02 12:56
btc updown 5m 1772712600	2	$168	89	89	+0	open	—	03-05 12:15
btc updown 5m 1772577000	2	$164	96	95	+1	open	—	03-03 22:35
btc updown 5m 1772714700	2	$162	94	93	+1	open	—	03-05 12:51
btc updown 5m 1772715000	2	$162	82	82	+0	open	—	03-05 12:55
btc updown 5m 1772576700	2	$161	92	91	+1	open	—	03-03 22:30
btc updown 5m 1772710500	2	$160	81	81	+0	open	—	03-05 11:40
btc updown 5m 1772630700	2	$156	86	86	+1	open	—	03-04 13:33
btc updown 5m 1772553600	2	$148	78	78	+0	open	—	03-03 16:06
btc updown 5m 1772632200	2	$142	94	93	+1	open	—	03-04 13:56
btc updown 5m 1772577900	2	$141	72	72	+0	open	—	03-03 22:50
btc updown 5m 1772709900	2	$141	71	71	+0	open	—	03-05 11:30
btc updown 5m 1772575500	2	$141	71	71	+0	open	—	03-03 22:10
btc updown 5m 1772576100	2	$132	94	93	+1	open	—	03-03 22:20
btc updown 5m 1772712300	2	$129	70	70	+0	open	—	03-05 12:10
btc updown 5m 1772630100	2	$126	66	66	+0	open	—	03-04 13:20
btc updown 5m 1772462100	2	$121	72	71	+1	open	—	03-02 14:40
btc updown 5m 1772553000	2	$120	61	61	+0	open	—	03-03 15:55
btc updown 5m 1772706000	2	$118	100	99	+1	open	—	03-05 10:25
btc updown 5m 1772630400	2	$118	69	69	+1	open	—	03-04 13:25
btc updown 5m 1772710800	2	$113	64	64	+0	open	—	03-05 11:46
btc updown 5m 1772575800	2	$110	61	61	+0	open	—	03-03 22:15
btc updown 5m 1772461200	2	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	03-02 14:26
btc updown 5m 1772465100	2	$107	57	57	+0	open	—	03-02 15:31
btc updown 5m 1772464800	2	$103	54	54	+0	open	—	03-02 15:26
btc updown 5m 1772714400	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	03-05 12:45
btc updown 5m 1772628000	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	03-04 12:45
btc updown 5m 1772628300	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	03-04 12:50
btc updown 5m 1772552700	2	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	03-03 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 21:17:48	btc updown 5m 1781212500	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf078da…
06-11 21:16:33	btc updown 5m 1781212500	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbe00f5…
06-11 21:12:40	btc updown 5m 1781212200	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa451b5…
06-11 21:08:13	btc updown 5m 1781211900	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x0a340e…
06-11 20:57:06	btc updown 5m 1781211300	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x51a224…
06-11 15:06:43	btc updown 5m 1781190000	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa821aa…
06-11 15:04:04	btc updown 5m 1781190000	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb4e525…
06-11 15:03:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x650289…
06-11 15:02:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xa5d7bd…
06-10 20:03:42	btc updown 5m 1781121600	Up	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xfdaec8…
06-10 20:03:10	btc updown 5m 1781121600	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x99807b…
06-10 19:59:49	btc updown 5m 1781121300	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3565d2…
06-10 19:29:43	btc updown 5m 1781119500	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x5e5298…
06-09 10:49:54	btc updown 5m 1781001900	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8645f6…
06-09 10:47:54	btc updown 5m 1781001900	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x73976d…
06-09 10:46:22	btc updown 5m 1781001900	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x6c085f…
06-09 10:45:42	btc updown 5m 1781001900	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x8f3c85…
06-09 10:41:27	btc updown 5m 1781001600	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6de5c6…
06-09 10:39:42	btc updown 5m 1781001300	Down	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x16453d…
06-09 10:36:58	btc updown 5m 1781001300	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x873a91…
06-09 10:35:49	btc updown 5m 1781001300	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x249cf2…
06-09 10:30:39	btc updown 5m 1781001000	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0ae435…
06-09 10:29:18	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Down	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x1f0176…
06-09 10:26:07	btc updown 5m 1781000700	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x5eb7b2…
06-09 10:16:45	btc updown 5m 1781000100	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x73a713…
06-09 10:14:18	btc updown 5m 1780999800	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb4e2f8…
06-09 10:07:46	btc updown 5m 1780999500	Up	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x76c98e…
06-09 10:07:10	btc updown 5m 1780999500	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xaac6fd…
06-09 10:06:45	btc updown 5m 1780999500	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x349d54…
06-09 10:02:16	btc updown 5m 1780999200	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xed8508…
06-09 10:00:28	btc updown 5m 1780999200	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf780b2…
06-09 09:57:57	btc updown 5m 1780998900	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd9da08…
06-09 09:54:39	btc updown 5m 1780998600	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x03c14d…
06-09 09:49:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xeb6d1c…
06-08 12:20:58	btc updown 5m 1780921200	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc35c7f…
06-08 12:13:19	btc updown 5m 1780920600	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa80a80…
06-08 11:59:40	btc updown 5m 1780919700	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x6cec37…
06-08 11:59:01	btc updown 5m 1780919700	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7abbaa…
06-08 11:54:40	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x88a6a9…
06-08 11:53:31	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x07a955…
06-08 11:52:45	btc updown 5m 1780919400	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x51b38b…
06-08 11:46:42	btc updown 5m 1780919100	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x454072…
06-08 11:42:31	btc updown 5m 1780918800	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x804b1d…
06-08 11:37:39	btc updown 5m 1780918500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x984c3d…
06-08 11:33:01	btc updown 5m 1780918200	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x170061…
06-08 11:29:22	btc updown 5m 1780917900	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x9115da…
06-08 10:59:42	btc updown 5m 1780916100	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0487cc…
06-08 10:52:22	btc updown 5m 1780915800	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2f6ae4…
06-01 11:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd2f70d…
06-01 11:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x8eb4e4…
06-01 11:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbedb44…
06-01 11:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcceb4c…
06-01 11:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa0ac56…
06-01 11:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x87a381…
06-01 11:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x4575dc…
06-01 11:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8d098b…
06-01 10:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa25ca7…
05-28 17:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe5cfc6…
05-28 17:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xf1609d…
05-28 17:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x6c2844…
05-27 12:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb85bd2…
05-27 12:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x10fa7f…
05-27 12:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x2da432…
05-27 11:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1c3ab6…
05-27 11:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x997fd4…
05-27 11:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9013d6…
05-27 11:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x051b71…
05-27 11:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0x96ca87…
05-26 15:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x946845…
05-26 15:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x20b795…
05-26 15:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb98b16…
05-26 15:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xc04c10…
05-26 15:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0xcc8a94…
05-26 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x512d16…
05-26 15:03:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x86ce39…
05-26 15:02:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe07a98…
05-15 10:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0xbc1b3b…
05-13 11:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb84189…
05-13 11:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0x4f51a6…
05-13 11:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x4e8374…
05-13 11:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd39790…
05-13 11:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x44d342…
05-13 11:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x5b4151…
05-13 11:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe19717…
05-13 11:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc8d3e6…
05-13 11:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7f275d…
05-13 10:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xacf6de…
05-13 10:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xda4bbe…
05-13 10:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xbc8cd9…
05-13 10:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x828b91…
05-13 10:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x82a2d3…
05-13 10:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c7461…
05-13 10:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0e42d2…
05-13 10:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xff3baa…
05-13 10:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x86274a…
05-13 10:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc6bcf0…
05-13 10:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x23f4fd…
05-13 10:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x507440…
05-13 10:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe9f9df…
05-13 10:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x05610a…