Realized P&L
-$79
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved
1,721
Trades
3,220
lifetime
Volume
$20.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$10
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 10-28 12:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 137 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 51% -$86
Politics
2% 28% +$42
Other
0% 21% -$32
Sports
0% 33% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +14 $2 14¢ $2 +$0 10-23 11:59
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4 $1 46¢ $2 +$1 10-27 15:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $2 6¢ $2 $0 10-23 12:01
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes +55 $6 2¢ $1 -$4 10-23 12:00
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 $0 10-23 12:01
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-23 12:02
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +29 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-23 12:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-21 08:34
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +8 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-03 19:27