Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Up won
Total volume
$41,817
Trades
3,812
Unique wallets
862
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
67¢
Latest NO mid
33¢
End date
2026-10-21
First seen
2026-10-21
last 10-21 09:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+4.4¢
(top1%: 80% YES on $18.6K
vs crowd: 76% YES on $37.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 164 | $18.4K | $4.8K | +$13.6K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 224 | $6.2K | $1.9K | +$4.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 282 | $3.1K | $2.0K | +$1.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 192 | $586 | $395 | +$191 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 161 | $14.9K | $3.7K | +$11.2K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 112 | $1.8K | $978 | +$819 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 51 | $904 | $204 | +$701 |
| Median | 47 | $260 | $75 | +$185 |
| Below median | 198 | $1.0K | $421 | +$619 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 115 | $1.8K | $461 | +$1.4K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 118 | $3.9K | $1.9K | +$2.1K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 60 | $3.7K | $1.4K | +$2.3K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | +2,292 | $2,269 | $2,269 | 1 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | +1,784 | $32 | $32 | 51 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Up | +1,523 | $865 | $865 | 48 | 10-21 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Up | +1,500 | $1,470 | $1,470 | 1 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f | Down | +1,350 | $564 | $564 | 71 | 10-21 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x7efd…a065 | Down | +1,155 | $504 | $504 | 2 | 10-21 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +961 | $154 | $154 | 47 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +894 | $249 | $249 | 39 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +891 | $704 | $704 | 24 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +837 | $597 | $597 | 37 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Down | +834 | $270 | $270 | 20 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | +800 | $792 | $792 | 10 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bf5…e9d3 | Down | +800 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-21 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Up | +799 | $791 | $791 | 7 | 10-21 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bf5…e9d3 | Up | +790 | $350 | $350 | 4 | 10-21 09:32 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +786 | $83 | $83 | 28 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ca…7bd1 | Up | +774 | $413 | $511 | 32 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +764 | $516 | $516 | 20 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2b1…2f46 | Down | +752 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-21 09:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xd518…2414 | Down | +746 | $457 | $457 | 1 | 10-21 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +718 | $123 | $123 | 30 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +700 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +699 | $477 | $477 | 26 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +695 | $513 | $513 | 9 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +676 | $30 | $30 | 23 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb958…f513 | Up | +663 | $448 | $448 | 20 | 10-21 09:32 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +632 | $107 | $107 | 12 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Down | +611 | $168 | $168 | 2 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Worse-Rectangle 0x6ba2…8d0e | Down | +601 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Up | +569 | $262 | $262 | 2 | 10-21 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xccee…3e28 | Down | +538 | $269 | $269 | 2 | 10-21 09:29 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +533 | $134 | $134 | 19 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +516 | $97 | $97 | 27 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6b3…7bd2 | Down | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 10-21 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x7743…fb42 | Up | +469 | $377 | $377 | 3 | 10-21 09:32 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +466 | $386 | $623 | 38 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +444 | $316 | $316 | 22 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x01be…7c4d | Up | +423 | $417 | $417 | 3 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Down | +413 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Up | +400 | $382 | $382 | 4 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | +395 | $40 | $40 | 11 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +389 | $74 | $74 | 17 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +352 | $251 | $251 | 19 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Up | +350 | $345 | $345 | 5 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xbbbb…5923 | Down | +348 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 10-21 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Down | +348 | $56 | $56 | 14 | 10-21 09:34 |
| Jealous-Radiator 0x0cb3…32e6 | Down | +345 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x28cc…904f | Down | +338 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 10-21 09:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +333 | $102 | $102 | 47 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Up | +333 | $165 | $165 | 6 | 10-21 09:29 |
| Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Down | +320 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a06…ffa2 | Up | +320 | $217 | $217 | 23 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Up | +313 | $310 | $310 | 7 | 10-21 09:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd689…6ec7 | Down | +306 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 10-21 09:30 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Up | +300 | $294 | $294 | 4 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xcca3…0b06 | Up | +300 | $290 | $290 | 10 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +299 | $240 | $240 | 6 | 10-21 09:32 |
| Ironclad-Herbs 0x6c2b…36f4 | Up | +269 | $260 | $260 | 2 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e11…5b20 | Up | +268 | $232 | $232 | 7 | 10-21 09:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +254 | $126 | $126 | 37 | 10-21 09:33 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 09:35:17 | (anonymous) 0xf3a4…1d66 | Up | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x3e7fec… |
| 10-21 09:35:17 | Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d | Up | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x3e7fec… |
| 10-21 09:35:12 | Second-Cheetah 0x7d11…035a | Up | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xbe409a… |
| 10-21 09:35:12 | Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d | Up | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xbe409a… |
| 10-21 09:35:06 | (anonymous) 0x91a0…1257 | Up | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbce922… |
| 10-21 09:35:06 | Quarterly-Lag 0xba8c…e77d | Up | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbce922… |
| 10-21 09:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x1217…9793 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc5a422… |
| 10-21 09:35:02 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xc5a422… |
| 10-21 09:34:56 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Up | BUY | 500 | 99¢ | $495 | 0xcbf978… |
| 10-21 09:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xc6b3…7bd2 | Down | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xcbf978… |
| 10-21 09:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x996e71… |
| 10-21 09:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xcccb…8590 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x996e71… |
| 10-21 09:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x35f2…a33d | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x476779… |
| 10-21 09:34:50 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x476779… |
| 10-21 09:34:44 | (anonymous) 0xb158…3ede | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x58b2f6… |
| 10-21 09:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x58b2f6… |
| 10-21 09:34:35 | (anonymous) 0x1217…9793 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa613cf… |
| 10-21 09:34:35 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xa613cf… |
| 10-21 09:34:33 | Wicked-Suede 0x57f0…f45b | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x46ad3c… |
| 10-21 09:34:33 | (anonymous) 0x60e3…4c7b | Up | BUY | 93 | 99¢ | $92 | 0x46ad3c… |
| 10-21 09:34:33 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x46ad3c… |
| 10-21 09:34:27 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x4c0c27… |
| 10-21 09:34:27 | Unfinished-Correspondent 0xf038…e718 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4c0c27… |
| 10-21 09:34:23 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xe710ec… |
| 10-21 09:34:23 | (anonymous) 0x6287…fa25 | Up | SELL | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xe710ec… |
| 10-21 09:34:20 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0xdfbbc9… |
| 10-21 09:34:20 | Demanding-Encirclement 0x4524…dc71 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0e2c77… |
| 10-21 09:34:20 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…4685 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x0e2c77… |
| 10-21 09:34:20 | (anonymous) 0xcd4a…224e | Down | BUY | 148 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdfbbc9… |
| 10-21 09:34:20 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Up | BUY | 71 | 99¢ | $70 | 0xdfbbc9… |
| 10-21 09:34:11 | (anonymous) 0xf6c6…233c | Up | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9457df… |
| 10-21 09:34:11 | (anonymous) 0xf6c6…233c | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdff46a… |
| 10-21 09:34:11 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Up | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9457df… |
| 10-21 09:34:11 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xdff46a… |
| 10-21 09:34:05 | (anonymous) 0x2d21…f73e | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfcbf00… |
| 10-21 09:34:05 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xfcbf00… |
| 10-21 09:34:00 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x67f339… |
| 10-21 09:34:00 | (anonymous) 0xd841…7819 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x67f339… |
| 10-21 09:33:59 | Vapid-Windscreen 0x6998…71a2 | Up | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3a3c52… |
| 10-21 09:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Up | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x3a3c52… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | Ruddy-Innervation 0x584d…8989 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | Vibrant-Ladle 0x1529…c927 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | (anonymous) 0xeb1f…5b91 | Down | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | Whimsical-Dolor 0x5187…aa17 | Down | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | BUY | 225 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | BUY | 191 | 99¢ | $189 | 0xd1a505… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Up | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | (anonymous) 0xe084…702f | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | (anonymous) 0xac92…4ad7 | Up | BUY | 133 | 99¢ | $131 | 0xd1a505… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | (anonymous) 0x0471…7225 | Up | SELL | 324 | 99¢ | $321 | 0xd1a505… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | (anonymous) 0x32c4…b175 | Down | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:56 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Up | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xbe2928… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xa36a…1fe2 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc135cb… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf42fe4… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xaef6…134f | Up | BUY | 74 | 99¢ | $73 | 0xa4b9b4… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x567933… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x509fe9… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xa948…93c6 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf83931… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xab513f… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xfac0…84c8 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x509fe9… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x281e…9ed9 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xda2212… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0xf18233… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Up | BUY | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xe28edd… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xab513f… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xd749…9b2c | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x233a7c… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x8b7b…bc00 | Down | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa4b9b4… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x00b1…62be | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xc135cb… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | SELL | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xd0e35d… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xd14b…5896 | Up | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x16ead1… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xa0d1…c633 | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xda2212… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x00b1…62be | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf83931… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xd749…9b2c | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xc135cb… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x5829…7fd0 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x567933… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x503b…dd7b | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x233a7c… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0xfb4c…cda4 | Up | SELL | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xf3de1f… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xd0e35d… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | BUY | 150 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xf18233… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0f3b56… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 99 | 99¢ | $98 | 0x233a7c… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x00b1…62be | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xda2212… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 120 | 99¢ | $119 | 0xf3de1f… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x9434…646e | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xf42fe4… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x1652…6378 | Up | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0xe28edd… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 126 | 99¢ | $125 | 0xa4b9b4… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x16ead1… |
| 10-21 09:33:54 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x0f3b56… |
| 10-21 09:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8ee866… |
| 10-21 09:33:51 | (anonymous) 0x11f5…55ed | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8ee866… |
| 10-21 09:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xb013…7ad4 | Up | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x2c3338… |
| 10-21 09:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Up | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x32dfad… |
| 10-21 09:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Up | BUY | 26 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x2c3338… |
| 10-21 09:33:51 | (anonymous) 0xb394…040e | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x32dfad… |
| 10-21 09:33:50 | (anonymous) 0x5d4b…66b0 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5d7658… |
| 10-21 09:33:50 | (anonymous) 0x96da…69ff | Down | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x33b575… |
| 10-21 09:33:50 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe91a5c… |
| 10-21 09:33:50 | (anonymous) 0x01be…7c4d | Up | BUY | 147 | 99¢ | $146 | 0x5d7658… |
| 10-21 09:33:50 | (anonymous) 0xdf52…2982 | Up | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xebd174… |
| 10-21 09:33:50 | (anonymous) 0xe8df…b365 | Up | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xd05f4d… |