Circular-Special — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.7%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$44.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-05 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$1

Sports

27% — —

Other

18% 80% +$7

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	762	762	+0	open	—	03-31 04:41
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	758	758	+0	open	—	03-29 08:20
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	750	750	+0	open	—	03-28 11:55
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.5K	749	749	+0	open	—	03-28 12:12
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.5K	742	742	+0	No	$-1	03-25 06:35
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.4K	730	730	+0	open	—	03-09 08:11
xrp above 1 on february 13	1	$615	616	0	+616	open	—	02-13 07:35
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 25	1	$564	564	0	+564	open	—	02-25 10:57
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$516	259	258	+0	open	—	01-30 08:56
will bitcoin reach 69k on march 27	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	03-28 02:09
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$461	231	231	+0	open	—	01-13 12:33
ethereum above 1800 on march 28	1	$446	447	0	+447	open	—	03-28 12:16
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	1	$432	433	0	+433	open	—	03-13 12:06
bitcoin above 64k on february 26	1	$425	425	0	+425	open	—	02-26 16:17
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$424	424	0	+424	open	—	03-31 04:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 11	1	$420	420	0	+420	open	—	02-11 12:43
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$401	201	201	+0	open	—	01-15 09:10
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 16 22	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	03-22 13:01
will josh safdie win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$399	400	0	+400	open	—	03-14 12:15
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	1	$396	396	0	+396	open	—	03-10 12:43
bitcoin above 62k on march 30	1	$390	391	0	+391	open	—	03-30 07:02
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	1	$389	389	0	+389	open	—	03-24 04:10
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 12	1	$388	388	0	+388	open	—	03-12 09:12
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$380	380	0	+380	open	—	03-27 09:04
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 21	1	$374	374	0	+374	open	—	03-21 03:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 8	1	$369	369	0	+369	open	—	03-08 06:55
ethereum above 1800 on march 30	1	$366	367	0	+367	open	—	03-30 07:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	1	$357	358	0	+358	open	—	03-24 04:14
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 8	1	$350	351	0	+351	open	—	03-08 07:01
will ethereum dip to 1700 march 16 22	1	$347	347	0	+347	open	—	03-22 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:13:37	will spy dip to 725 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x85ca1d…
06-01 08:01:59	Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals	Miami Marlins	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xca7dc4…
05-31 04:53:44	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 60 by May 31?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x6d5925…
05-31 04:50:45	Vicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x7bd766…
05-30 05:04:13	Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska	Maria Sakkari	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x3bd4d0…
05-28 09:30:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xc341f0…
05-28 09:20:51	Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries	Indiana Fever	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xaee943…
05-27 06:26:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xf4ff01…
05-27 06:22:23	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Forsaken (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffs	Barcząca Esports	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x143359…
05-26 12:47:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	1,595	0¢	$3	0x29e672…
05-24 10:50:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x2a3797…
05-23 12:45:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x86f396…
05-22 04:52:45	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x759a73…
05-21 12:01:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x586616…
05-21 09:20:29	Counter-Strike: MASQ vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs	NAVI Junior	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x929dad…
05-20 06:33:31	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Federico Cina vs Bernard Tomic	Bernard Tomic	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xc14c18…
05-19 11:22:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x9dba2b…
05-18 06:55:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$94	0x44c90c…
05-18 06:33:38	Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x409fb7…
05-17 12:12:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xe80975…
05-15 05:50:20	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xbc9aa7…
05-14 11:38:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x14f07c…
05-13 11:51:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x2fdb1a…
05-12 09:41:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xf315de…
05-11 07:46:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x9ea8bb…
05-11 07:17:28	LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A	Team Orange Gaming	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x67b776…
05-10 07:10:13	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 10?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x2248c0…
05-09 06:09:44	Istanbul: Alice Tubello vs Maria Timofeeva	Maria Timofeeva	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0xdc46c5…
05-08 05:57:48	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $382.50 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x14241e…
05-08 05:52:09	LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3d31ae…
05-03 06:14:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3259d7…
05-01 04:08:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,050 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8925d5…
04-30 06:01:28	Will Microsoft dip to $263 in April?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x067e6f…
04-28 08:56:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0xc4feb7…
04-26 08:24:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xd41734…
04-26 08:19:32	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$79	0x35aa4b…
04-26 07:46:54	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0xa1a44e…
04-26 07:44:36	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x017c6d…
04-25 12:59:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	765	0¢	$2	0x404c19…
04-25 12:56:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	177	1¢	$1	0xfb2e0a…
04-25 12:55:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	571	1¢	$4	0xedff45…
04-25 12:08:36	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x58eba2…
04-24 11:45:18	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	725	0¢	$1	0xb40cf4…
04-24 11:43:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	633	0¢	$2	0x991a3e…
04-24 11:42:00	Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xe3cf66…
04-24 11:24:36	Will Germany win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x633b6e…
04-24 11:24:00	Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xa779c6…
04-24 10:29:30	Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x49df8d…
04-24 10:25:50	Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverry	Sebastian Ofner	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb0d6d0…
04-23 11:16:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	820	0¢	$2	0xf14bf6…
04-23 11:15:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	Yes	BUY	797	0¢	$2	0xf52fbb…
04-23 11:13:34	Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xe306bc…
04-23 10:46:04	Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xdf9b7e…
04-22 03:32:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 22	Yes	BUY	855	0¢	$2	0x004ca1…
04-22 03:31:24	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	No	BUY	675	0¢	$1	0x3f069d…
04-21 12:31:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	No	BUY	885	0¢	$2	0x1a985d…
04-21 12:29:38	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x11ab52…
04-21 12:24:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 21	Yes	BUY	685	0¢	$1	0xe2f998…
04-20 12:55:44	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	Yes	BUY	825	0¢	$2	0x56aacd…
04-20 12:54:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 20	Yes	BUY	630	0¢	$1	0x4eb853…
04-20 12:34:00	Abidjan: Aziz Dougaz vs Paul Jubb	Paul Jubb	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x6c602e…
04-19 07:12:54	bitcoin above 80k on april 19	Yes	BUY	895	0¢	$2	0x012064…
04-19 07:11:30	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	Yes	BUY	655	0¢	$3	0x709173…
04-16 04:05:52	ethereum above 2600 on april 16	Yes	BUY	818	0¢	$3	0x51423b…
04-16 04:01:50	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	No	BUY	645	0¢	$1	0xc944eb…
04-15 12:07:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	875	0¢	$4	0xd31f1d…
04-15 11:49:30	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	Yes	BUY	657	0¢	$2	0x79f321…
04-14 12:51:55	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	Yes	BUY	765	0¢	$3	0x43ae50…
04-14 12:50:41	ethereum above 2200 on april 14	No	BUY	685	0¢	$1	0x97115b…
04-13 09:39:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 13	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x17e306…
04-12 11:58:23	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	Yes	BUY	875	0¢	$2	0xb93f55…
04-12 11:56:33	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 12	Yes	BUY	830	0¢	$2	0xf734b8…
04-11 06:59:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 11	Yes	BUY	805	0¢	$2	0xb770e6…
04-11 06:57:13	bitcoin above 78k on april 11	Yes	BUY	655	0¢	$1	0x24d62a…
04-09 12:17:55	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	830	0¢	$2	0x4387d1…
04-09 12:14:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	920	0¢	$2	0xaf8ad1…
04-08 06:49:53	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	No	BUY	757	0¢	$2	0x6d9d6b…
04-08 06:48:09	ethereum above 2500 on april 8	Yes	BUY	620	0¢	$1	0x3d512d…
04-08 05:52:37	atp moutet ruud 2026 04 08	Corentin Moutet	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xf3a09b…
04-07 07:24:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$4	0x645b36…
04-07 07:22:07	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	No	BUY	715	0¢	$1	0x5a792d…
04-07 06:56:19	nba dal lac 2026 04 07	Clippers	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x546d05…
04-06 09:27:03	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x5dd713…
04-05 11:48:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	820	0¢	$2	0xcad6e4…
04-05 11:45:27	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	Yes	BUY	675	0¢	$1	0x9eda02…
04-04 08:15:17	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	Yes	BUY	780	0¢	$2	0xc7aa69…
04-04 08:13:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	Yes	BUY	645	0¢	$1	0x68db9a…
04-04 07:40:09	cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x8b31f4…
04-03 04:41:47	ethereum above 1800 on april 3	No	BUY	850	0¢	$2	0x67973e…
04-03 04:37:03	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	632	0¢	$3	0x3ba183…
04-03 04:34:51	will sungjae im win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x73753d…
04-02 03:36:03	will sungjae im win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x462dfe…
04-02 03:34:45	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	No	BUY	870	0¢	$3	0xd48684…
04-02 03:32:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xafa91b…
04-01 06:39:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	268	100¢	$267	0xd2cdb1…
04-01 06:37:15	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	273	100¢	$273	0xc3070a…
04-01 06:34:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x20a9ef…
03-31 04:55:13	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	424	100¢	$424	0xad0504…
03-31 04:50:15	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 31	No	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0x85958c…
03-31 04:41:49	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	762	99¢	$757	0x963d2b…