Vigorous-Inbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.6%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$5.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-14 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

37% 29% -$4

Politics

28% 39% $0

Sports

17% 27% $0

Crypto

13% 36% +$1

Tech

5% 75% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russian strike on a nato member by march 31	6	$211	109	109	+0	No	$0	02-15 16:12
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$141	71	71	+0	No	+$0	03-09 12:19
trump out as president by march 31	4	$141	71	71	+0	No	$0	03-27 14:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$139	70	70	+0	No	$0	04-13 12:54
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	4	$124	62	62	+0	No	$0	05-05 13:01
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	3	$106	36	71	-35	No	$0	02-22 14:53
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	2	$74	38	38	+0	No	$0	01-26 11:52
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	01-07 13:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	01-08 14:59
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$73	38	38	+0	No	$0	01-09 15:22
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	3	$73	37	37	+0	Gold	+$1	01-24 14:56
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	2	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$0	01-31 07:04
will ethereum reach 4400 in january 2026	2	$73	37	37	+0	No	$0	01-12 14:07
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	2	$72	36	36	+0	No	$0	01-13 12:09
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	2	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	01-23 15:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$72	37	37	+0	Yes	+$0	01-21 11:50
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	2	$72	39	39	+0	Yes	-$1	02-01 14:21
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$72	37	37	+0	No	+$0	01-20 15:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	$0	02-27 15:01
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	02-28 12:35
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	03-04 12:08
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	$0	03-06 15:13
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$71	35	35	+0	No	$0	03-08 15:11
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	02-25 16:18
will claude 5 be released on february 20 2026	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	$0	02-20 15:13
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	$0	03-10 14:10
will bad bunny perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	2	$71	36	36	+0	Yes	$0	02-04 13:43
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$71	35	35	+0	No	$0	03-11 13:18
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	02-18 14:16
will claude 5 be released by february 14 2026 449	2	$70	36	36	+0	No	+$0	02-09 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 14:00:04	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xc092fb…
06-14 13:53:33	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xc49f15…
06-12 03:17:24	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe889fa…
06-12 03:08:30	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x3f94b0…
06-10 12:50:43	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x225e55…
06-10 12:45:37	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x584a9b…
06-09 00:57:12	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd8d3d7…
06-09 00:54:16	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xb6c33f…
06-03 14:03:26	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x04dd03…
06-03 13:31:05	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x2b7527…
06-02 11:38:29	Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0b7577…
06-02 11:35:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x6c74b0…
06-01 14:40:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1a7ad7…
06-01 14:37:12	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb4bf21…
05-31 00:17:07	Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x88c38a…
05-31 00:15:11	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xeb4d8e…
05-29 15:57:48	Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2f931c…
05-29 14:30:35	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1e36d9…
05-28 15:24:05	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x67227c…
05-28 15:17:49	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xdc6bd6…
05-26 14:41:24	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf91004…
05-26 14:37:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0xd0a660…
05-24 13:58:14	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x20f2c4…
05-24 13:56:20	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xb61a27…
05-23 14:58:18	Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x873bdd…
05-23 14:52:52	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1a8cc2…
05-22 18:09:30	Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x45f54c…
05-22 18:07:17	Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x800099…
05-21 15:28:41	Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb512cb…
05-21 15:26:02	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x3d61fc…
05-20 23:16:18	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe259b0…
05-20 23:13:05	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xbbd486…
05-19 23:31:09	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x10a441…
05-19 23:14:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x6f51f8…
05-18 23:03:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x00ee2e…
05-18 22:57:52	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd98302…
05-17 23:35:18	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x93de11…
05-17 23:21:32	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x43b044…
05-14 23:42:41	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x628069…
05-14 23:11:07	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4035da…
05-13 00:33:20	Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf9bcc6…
05-13 00:31:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x14ae13…
05-12 00:11:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x402353…
05-12 00:09:33	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xea00af…
05-10 14:17:43	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xac0bef…
05-10 13:56:17	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xf14813…
05-08 15:26:33	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe58c6e…
05-08 15:24:06	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x962c19…
05-07 15:11:36	Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe72d9c…
05-07 15:09:01	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x64fa23…
05-05 13:10:30	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x2c8e78…
05-05 13:01:48	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x638587…
05-04 15:57:08	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x281c31…
05-04 15:54:08	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xd9e16f…
05-04 00:15:34	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x15eb7f…
05-04 00:10:46	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xd85893…
05-02 15:13:34	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc022e8…
05-02 15:03:18	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa19869…
05-01 15:27:28	Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x24025f…
05-01 15:24:44	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x4197b2…
04-29 12:24:04	Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb718e3…
04-29 12:20:48	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x834ef9…
04-28 15:20:56	Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x00aedc…
04-28 15:17:24	Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x5e7b38…
04-27 14:40:44	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xec9830…
04-26 15:18:18	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xee17bf…
04-24 16:04:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xedebcc…
04-23 14:06:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3352e4…
04-23 13:07:46	Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0x384e5f…
04-21 15:11:18	Will NVIDIA dip to $136 in April?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcf7d61…
04-21 15:06:52	Will Google dip to $220 in April?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x6b99c1…
04-19 00:37:40	Will Google dip to $220 in April?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x7ea5cc…
04-19 00:33:42	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xc18db9…
04-16 14:41:14	Will Solana reach $160 in April?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xf858c8…
04-16 14:38:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xc7f126…
04-15 14:17:42	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf1322a…
04-15 14:15:02	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x4300db…
04-13 13:00:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xf62ce8…
04-13 12:54:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$34	0xce6f01…
04-10 13:03:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x01f52c…
03-30 14:30:51	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x97cf5b…
03-29 10:29:20	crude oil all time high by march 31	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x21897b…
03-29 10:27:44	will trump visit greenland by march 31	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa7be99…
03-27 14:50:55	will trump visit greenland by march 31	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1e0975…
03-27 14:49:25	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xd3a8fe…
03-26 13:41:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9daff9…
03-26 13:28:29	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xbe534e…
03-25 14:55:51	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x4da779…
03-25 14:53:45	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe79d01…
03-23 13:58:11	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xff71bf…
03-23 13:54:15	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0x23bb6a…
03-22 14:31:33	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x5c66a0…
03-20 15:10:57	will akron win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2ce195…
03-20 14:40:05	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x1595dd…
03-19 13:23:43	will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x78e612…
03-18 11:40:09	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x8588ef…
03-16 14:13:51	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4256be…
03-15 12:44:37	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xcffbd4…
03-14 15:29:25	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x354d0b…
03-14 15:22:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x7adbd4…