Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

-$266

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-08 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

68% — —

Other

21% — —

Crypto

11% 33% $-78

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+318	$274	2¢	$7	$-266	06-08 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$274	318	0	+318	open	—	06-08 10:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$261	270	0	+270	open	—	06-03 14:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	5	$105	163	30	+134	No	$-83	05-06 10:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$93	107	0	+107	open	—	05-25 20:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$91	47	47	+0	open	—	05-13 13:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$80	85	0	+85	open	—	06-07 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$64	72	0	+72	open	—	05-13 13:47
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$41	44	0	+44	open	—	05-09 16:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 10:10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-28 21:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-05 23:47
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 5?	1	$15	21	0	+21	Yes	+$7	05-05 11:25
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-28 21:13
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-28 21:11
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-28 21:14
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 05:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 17:57
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	1	$2	108	0	+108	No	$-2	05-05 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 17:49
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-27 18:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-27 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 10:07:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	318	86¢	$274	0x80d6e0…
06-07 10:30:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0xf5f32d…
06-03 14:04:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	270	97¢	$261	0xc40378…
05-25 20:17:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	107	86¢	$93	0xece37c…
05-13 13:47:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x503467…
05-13 13:37:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x41a957…
05-09 16:27:42	Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	44	95¢	$41	0x071e95…
05-06 10:36:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xcbde45…
05-06 10:35:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x78f0b8…
05-06 10:24:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	87	58¢	$51	0x5f56bb…
05-06 10:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	30	58¢	$18	0x103bf8…
05-06 09:34:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xabf8cf…
05-05 23:47:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3670d9…
05-05 11:25:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x9d76b6…
05-05 11:25:06	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0xb94516…
05-03 18:47:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0xb7cff8…
05-03 18:46:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xd55a71…
04-30 10:10:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x218eaf…
04-29 21:53:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2b56c9…
04-28 21:14:48	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0f9404…
04-28 21:13:22	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x3c88a5…
04-28 21:11:38	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xee7a1c…
04-28 21:04:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdcba25…
04-28 05:38:26	Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xbbebe4…
04-28 05:12:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x5a3dbf…
04-27 19:20:18	Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0xa9ca85…
04-27 18:22:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xb9b2e4…
04-27 18:13:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x97f856…
04-27 18:07:04	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf6eafd…
04-27 17:57:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8332f7…
04-27 17:49:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbffdb8…
04-27 17:44:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf3b435…