Grimy-Porcelain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-10 00:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

43% 100% +$3

Politics

30% 100% +$1

Other

28% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.4K	749	749	+0	open	—	04-19 17:21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$1.4K	723	723	+0	No	+$3	04-18 02:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$1.3K	667	667	+0	open	—	04-18 04:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	8	$269	287	287	+0	open	—	05-31 03:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	6	$244	235	235	+0	open	—	06-05 06:54
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	4	$243	2,535	2,535	+0	open	—	04-20 05:11
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$224	224	224	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 09:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	5	$205	108	108	+0	open	—	05-16 22:22
will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	3	$204	116	116	+0	open	—	04-25 04:05
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$161	83	83	+0	open	—	06-08 21:53
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	2	$155	81	81	+0	open	—	05-28 09:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$149	77	77	+0	open	—	05-31 14:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$148	98	98	+0	open	—	06-05 13:32
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	4	$147	110	110	+0	open	—	06-09 01:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$147	75	75	+0	open	—	06-10 00:35
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$144	1,244	1,244	+0	open	—	04-16 04:08
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$110	57	57	+0	open	—	05-26 13:20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$73	81	81	+0	open	—	06-09 18:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$63	69	69	+0	open	—	05-30 01:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$54	187	187	+0	open	—	05-25 15:37
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	4	$45	241	241	+0	open	—	04-23 13:45
Iran leadership change by June 30?	3	$28	172	172	+0	open	—	05-28 02:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$23	154	154	+0	open	—	05-23 13:11
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$18	171	171	+0	open	—	05-29 01:10
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	2	$11	182	182	+0	open	—	05-30 11:15
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$4	174	174	+0	open	—	04-17 15:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	3	$3	66	66	+0	open	—	06-09 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:35:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7f358a…
06-10 00:35:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x019790…
06-10 00:35:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xca1bfb…
06-10 00:35:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x1ba3b5…
06-09 22:28:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x2cb461…
06-09 18:10:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	45¢	$36	0xec7121…
06-09 16:22:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xa7a124…
06-09 16:22:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0x4c2047…
06-09 09:45:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	66	2¢	$1	0x2cea89…
06-09 07:48:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0x49e663…
06-09 07:48:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x016aac…
06-09 01:45:19	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	67¢	$25	0xc54725…
06-09 01:45:19	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x65a220…
06-09 01:45:19	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	59	67¢	$40	0x54a400…
06-09 00:36:24	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	67¢	$74	0x0cf6eb…
06-08 21:53:42	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	83	97¢	$81	0xb12606…
06-08 19:58:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xc6e38a…
06-08 19:58:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	97¢	$69	0x42c042…
06-05 13:32:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	98	75¢	$74	0xab4797…
06-05 11:17:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x4d6c89…
06-05 11:17:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0x1e4dfc…
06-05 06:54:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x377864…
06-05 06:54:43	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	57	45¢	$26	0x0b1de9…
06-05 04:23:39	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xca63d4…
06-05 04:23:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x189984…
06-04 16:05:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	147	56¢	$82	0x77ff6a…
06-04 16:05:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	147	56¢	$82	0x87e80a…
05-31 14:54:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	97¢	$69	0xbce076…
05-31 10:22:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xcf918b…
05-31 08:18:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x8bde2a…
05-31 08:18:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x4a4bec…
05-31 03:48:45	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	117	70¢	$82	0xfb3be1…
05-31 03:47:59	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	117	70¢	$82	0x7616a3…
05-30 17:27:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	31¢	$15	0x0c53b9…
05-30 17:26:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	58	31¢	$18	0x92f793…
05-30 17:26:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	63	31¢	$20	0x5a2837…
05-30 15:08:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	58	31¢	$18	0xbb6894…
05-30 15:08:03	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	99	31¢	$31	0x6d1c69…
05-30 15:08:01	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x13bb66…
05-30 11:15:46	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	182	3¢	$6	0x111f22…
05-30 09:34:55	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	182	3¢	$6	0x7719af…
05-30 01:55:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbb4cab…
05-30 01:55:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa64d82…
05-30 01:55:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	59	44¢	$26	0xd96029…
05-29 23:24:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	64	48¢	$31	0xcc3770…
05-29 23:24:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd15134…
05-29 01:10:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	171	5¢	$9	0x6b50dc…
05-28 23:13:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	5¢	$2	0xf4f5f5…
05-28 23:13:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0xa1408c…
05-28 23:13:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x4e5931…
05-28 09:36:38	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	96¢	$78	0x947224…
05-28 06:49:20	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0xb8a699…
05-28 02:08:48	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	172	8¢	$14	0x60254b…
05-28 00:47:52	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	71	8¢	$6	0xf43adc…
05-28 00:47:52	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0x8ba0ba…
05-26 13:20:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0xe92059…
05-26 11:07:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x50bb0e…
05-25 15:37:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	170	13¢	$21	0xe590bd…
05-25 15:37:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	13¢	$2	0x545f38…
05-25 14:34:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	88	16¢	$15	0x1c74d2…
05-25 14:34:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	99	16¢	$16	0x066d79…
05-23 13:11:38	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	154	8¢	$13	0x757359…
05-23 08:46:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	7¢	$10	0x41b6fb…
05-16 22:22:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0xe2a572…
05-16 22:22:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0xc55ffe…
05-16 22:22:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x2250ac…
05-16 22:17:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x3afdcf…
05-16 22:17:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x2e926c…
04-25 04:05:46	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	58	88¢	$51	0xa1d98d…
04-25 04:05:46	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	SELL	58	88¢	$51	0x86617a…
04-25 01:01:42	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	116	88¢	$102	0x445e95…
04-24 09:19:22	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	186	50¢	$93	0xb58a98…
04-24 09:19:22	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	38	50¢	$19	0x69b599…
04-24 08:11:56	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	224	50¢	$112	0x31a740…
04-23 13:45:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	SELL	241	8¢	$19	0xa36f99…
04-23 11:54:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	83	11¢	$9	0xc6f743…
04-23 11:54:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	83	11¢	$9	0x70e3be…
04-23 11:54:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	Yes	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0x00e576…
04-20 05:11:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	740	5¢	$36	0x8234a5…
04-20 05:11:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x5fcd36…
04-20 05:11:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,745	5¢	$84	0x4a4f82…
04-20 01:37:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,535	5¢	$122	0x69236f…
04-19 17:21:12	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	749	96¢	$715	0x7d9f0e…
04-19 15:18:22	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	749	95¢	$714	0xdd1cfc…
04-18 04:46:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	667	97¢	$648	0xda149c…
04-18 02:41:50	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	667	97¢	$648	0xbbf056…
04-18 02:30:48	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xb31a92…
04-18 02:30:48	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	703	99¢	$694	0xa19c0d…
04-18 00:02:56	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	723	98¢	$711	0xc0c4da…
04-17 15:09:14	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	SELL	174	1¢	$2	0x48e1b1…
04-17 12:41:44	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	174	1¢	$2	0xc86424…
04-16 04:08:52	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1,244	6¢	$71	0xe144b3…
04-16 01:49:58	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	605	6¢	$36	0xfa55e7…
04-16 01:49:58	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	639	6¢	$38	0x89444e…