Winding-Uniformity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

989

lifetime

Volume

$3.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 07-02 00:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

67% — —

Crypto

30% 34% $-19

Politics

2% 0% $-2

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+636	$7	0¢	$2	$-6	07-01 05:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+8	$1	10¢	$1	$-0	06-07 21:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	-21	$-1	3¢	$-1	+$1	06-03 11:00
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-111	$-0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-03 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	35	$802	4,173	3,537	+636	open	—	07-01 05:49
cs2 mnte lgc 2026 06 07	15	$168	253	132	+121	open	—	06-07 14:23
cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04	12	$112	102	71	+31	open	—	06-04 14:27
cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07 game1	16	$64	83	56	+27	open	—	06-07 15:23
cs2 9z fly 2026 06 06	8	$57	291	179	+112	open	—	06-06 11:18
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	9	$57	124	53	+71	open	—	07-01 05:49
cs2 g2 mnte 2026 06 06	19	$56	57	57	+0	open	—	06-06 17:54
cs2 kol atreid 2026 06 05 game2	8	$56	183	82	+100	open	—	06-05 09:33
cs2 bca inox 2026 06 06	13	$55	70	60	+10	open	—	06-06 10:59
cs2 gl1 big5 2026 06 04 game1	16	$52	66	66	+0	open	—	06-04 15:36
cs2 m80 nrg 2026 06 04 game1	10	$47	42	42	+0	open	—	06-04 17:45
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05 game2	7	$46	65	31	+34	open	—	06-05 18:58
cs2 oxuji mis 2026 06 05 game1	4	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	06-05 13:10
cs2 tl1 hero 2026 06 04 game2	4	$42	29	29	+0	open	—	06-04 18:42
cs2 bca inox 2026 06 06 game2	7	$36	69	10	+58	open	—	06-06 09:27
btc updown 5m 1773476100	5	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	03-14 08:21
cs2 fut tyloo 2026 06 06	16	$34	239	114	+124	open	—	06-06 16:21
cs2 fut b8 2026 06 06	10	$29	53	31	+22	open	—	06-06 12:21
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	8	$28	21,213	0	+21,213	open	—	06-07 20:37
cs2 thunde fly 2026 06 04 game2	4	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	06-04 13:47
cs2 zerote js1 2026 06 05 game2	5	$26	37	7	+30	open	—	06-05 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$22	22	17	+5	open	—	05-20 03:54
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	7	$20	60	60	+0	open	—	06-05 14:56
cs2 tyloo shk 2026 06 04 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 13:07
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	5	$20	98	28	+70	open	—	07-01 05:49
cs2 lavked mana 2026 06 05 game2	3	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	06-05 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	12	$19	30	18	+11	open	—	05-23 17:04
cs2 mibr lvg 2026 06 04 game2	3	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	06-04 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	14	$17	18	6	+12	open	—	05-17 04:24
cs2 mglz mnte 2026 06 14	8	$17	19	13	+6	open	—	06-14 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 00:01:50	btc updown 5m 1782950400	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x701546…
07-02 00:00:34	btc updown 5m 1782950400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd34c6d…
07-01 23:59:22	btc updown 5m 1782950100	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x022941…
07-01 23:57:50	btc updown 5m 1782950100	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1cc4e7…
07-01 23:56:31	btc updown 5m 1782950100	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x2be8f0…
07-01 23:55:34	btc updown 5m 1782950100	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xba0e4e…
07-01 23:44:52	will donald trump publicly insult joe biden by july 31 2026 20260626210612716	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x08d7bf…
07-01 23:42:26	btc updown 5m 1782949200	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5578e3…
07-01 23:42:16	btc updown 5m 1782949200	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x259344…
07-01 23:38:46	btc updown 5m 1782949200	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x69261a…
07-01 22:49:08	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xb8e06b…
07-01 22:08:25	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xfa1a6d…
07-01 19:59:08	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x168d32…
07-01 19:59:04	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb3acdf…
07-01 19:58:28	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x8ce76a…
07-01 17:25:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	No	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x74381c…
07-01 17:25:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x05b755…
07-01 11:48:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x171326…
07-01 11:48:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x1563be…
07-01 11:46:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x544de0…
07-01 11:46:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x00309d…
07-01 11:42:14	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x66dd65…
07-01 11:41:02	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x819f69…
07-01 11:40:38	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa45444…
07-01 11:39:38	btc updown 5m 1782905700	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9c7710…
07-01 11:39:10	btc updown 5m 1782905700	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x34d939…
07-01 05:49:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x0d880e…
07-01 05:49:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x70a3ab…
07-01 05:49:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5e3a04…
06-29 19:55:49	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8b50e9…
06-29 19:55:28	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Down	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x2cbfb0…
06-29 07:04:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x2c4cdd…
06-29 03:38:37	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4a48fe…
06-27 22:27:22	btc updown 5m 1782599100	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb538c8…
06-27 22:25:11	btc updown 5m 1782599100	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe405b3…
06-27 22:23:46	btc updown 5m 1782598800	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x01bd6c…
06-27 22:20:26	btc updown 5m 1782598800	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x352c5d…
06-27 22:17:20	btc updown 5m 1782598500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6f28c0…
06-27 22:15:04	btc updown 5m 1782598200	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xec500c…
06-27 22:13:17	btc updown 5m 1782598200	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe6fa0c…
06-27 22:11:31	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xf31fac…
06-27 22:10:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	656	0¢	$2	0xe141db…
06-27 22:08:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0xf3aee8…
06-27 18:37:37	btc updown 5m 1782585300	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x675c20…
06-27 18:35:44	btc updown 5m 1782585300	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc74054…
06-27 18:34:20	btc updown 5m 1782585000	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdc0245…
06-27 08:48:35	btc updown 5m 1782549900	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x758a0f…
06-27 08:45:13	btc updown 5m 1782549900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd6093a…
06-27 08:44:22	btc updown 5m 1782549600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x9fda96…
06-27 08:06:50	btc updown 5m 1782547500	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x349df6…
06-27 08:05:29	btc updown 5m 1782547500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdaf9cc…
06-27 00:57:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x00d3ad…
06-27 00:01:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	525	6¢	$30	0xd6e0be…
06-26 23:36:29	will there be at least 2140 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	178	3¢	$5	0x26edcb…
06-26 23:22:08	will there be at least 2140 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	108	3¢	$3	0x746a5a…
06-26 23:01:58	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xa92cae…
06-26 22:43:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x3ccdb2…
06-26 22:30:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x998cc4…
06-26 22:30:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5450b8…
06-26 22:26:35	wti up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x57f7fc…
06-26 22:26:04	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x3c7524…
06-26 22:24:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$2	0xaf7c62…
06-26 22:16:14	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x475621…
06-26 22:12:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1058d1…
06-26 15:20:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	617	8¢	$50	0xdad4ee…
06-26 12:01:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x916330…
06-26 10:08:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	173	12¢	$20	0x8bf5dd…
06-26 10:00:32	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x63454a…
06-26 09:52:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x324404…
06-26 09:49:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x3a1a35…
06-26 09:42:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	93	11¢	$10	0xfdd747…
06-26 09:33:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x4687bf…
06-26 08:35:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	640	12¢	$78	0x42218b…
06-26 08:24:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	94	12¢	$11	0xd587d7…
06-26 08:24:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	546	12¢	$65	0x45b2b7…
06-26 08:08:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	667	12¢	$77	0x2b7e8e…
06-26 08:04:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	667	13¢	$86	0x82e7eb…
06-26 07:36:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x935f78…
06-26 07:36:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	30	48¢	$14	0xf39491…
06-26 07:30:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	519	13¢	$69	0x3411db…
06-26 07:24:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	130	13¢	$17	0x7f0dd9…
06-26 07:11:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x59a9b8…
06-26 06:40:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xd1209f…
06-26 06:33:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0x175c71…
06-26 06:23:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x34f843…
06-26 06:21:38	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x854b56…
06-26 06:06:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4c48c3…
06-26 06:06:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x14b3d5…
06-26 06:06:40	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of june from june 23	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xd74e2c…
06-26 06:03:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	173	12¢	$20	0x074e88…
06-26 05:55:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	123	11¢	$13	0x67c22f…
06-26 05:54:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	143	10¢	$14	0x9e4aa0…
06-26 03:51:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcc21a3…
06-26 03:46:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xa0c5ba…
06-26 03:46:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xf34fa0…
06-25 17:55:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x921f24…
06-25 15:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x6b0489…
06-25 15:56:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa06a2b…
06-25 15:20:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x25db03…
06-25 15:15:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xe23282…