Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$836

Unrealized P&L

+$5.32K

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$6.24K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 09-22 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

70% 30% -$585

Tech

26% 25% -$252

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+5,000	$600	91¢	$4.6K	+$3,962	09-18 02:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+1,694	$118	87¢	$1.5K	+$1,355	09-18 02:10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+211	$200	97¢	$205	+$5	09-16 02:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	1	$892	953	0	+953	Yes	+$61	02-12 18:10
will google gemini score at least 40 on humanitys last exam	1	$693	732	0	+732	Yes	+$39	02-12 18:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$600	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	09-18 02:11
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	1	$600	659	0	+659	Yes	+$59	09-16 02:17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	12	$552	800	800	+0	open	—	09-22 08:39
anthropic reports another ai sandbox escape by september 30	3	$440	248	248	+0	No	+$32	09-18 02:12
googl above 320 on february 13 2026	11	$320	3,153	0	+3,153	No	-$320	02-13 15:35
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	7	$299	1,300	0	+1,300	No	-$299	02-12 18:28
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	1	$200	211	0	+211	open	—	09-16 02:16
Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?	1	$184	1,057	0	+1,057	No	-$184	09-18 02:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	5	$118	1,694	0	+1,694	open	—	09-18 02:10
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	2	$89	120	0	+120	Yes	-$89	09-18 02:13
googl above 325 on february 13 2026	1	$52	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$52	02-12 20:24
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	10	$41	5,396	0	+5,396	No	-$41	09-22 14:30
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	1	$20	30	0	+30	Yes	-$20	09-16 02:34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$12	100	0	+100	No	-$12	09-16 02:13
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	1	$11	45	0	+45	Yes	-$11	09-18 02:28
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $410 end of September?	1	$0	70	0	+70	No	$0	09-18 02:24
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?	1	$0	10	0	+10	open	—	09-18 09:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 14:30:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xe41b65…
09-22 14:30:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xb3791c…
09-22 14:30:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	0¢	$0	0x8bd873…
09-22 14:30:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x7c7e37…
09-22 14:30:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$4	0x69d7c5…
09-22 14:01:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x0a2c22…
09-22 13:56:09	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xf31e5b…
09-22 13:52:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	477	0¢	$1	0x9ebda4…
09-22 08:39:00	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	39	42¢	$17	0x315da7…
09-22 08:38:48	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0xa295cf…
09-22 08:38:39	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x633517…
09-22 08:38:21	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0xa8957b…
09-22 08:38:12	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x59df5d…
09-22 08:38:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0xa63d94…
09-22 08:37:45	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x87faa5…
09-22 08:37:31	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	196	42¢	$82	0xf03b21…
09-20 22:49:11	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x316537…
09-19 14:15:33	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x20ca60…
09-19 12:06:06	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xe0b8c0…
09-18 09:56:31	OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0c96a0…
09-18 02:28:31	OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x6ac372…
09-18 02:24:07	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $410 end of September?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$0	0x262498…
09-18 02:19:48	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,150	1¢	$14	0x43906f…
09-18 02:17:57	Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,057	17¢	$184	0x7f6ca3…
09-18 02:13:28	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$51	0xf7ed67…
09-18 02:12:46	anthropic reports another ai sandbox escape by september 30	No	SELL	248	95¢	$236	0xcd4e02…
09-18 02:11:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	12¢	$600	0xa296b8…
09-18 02:10:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$21	0x9765d7…
09-16 06:18:03	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	6¢	$5	0xd7de42…
09-16 06:18:00	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x253472…
09-16 02:48:42	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x356069…
09-16 02:34:00	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xbf4969…
09-16 02:25:13	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$39	0xdd275c…
09-16 02:24:21	anthropic reports another ai sandbox escape by september 30	No	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0x5f38d1…
09-16 02:24:07	anthropic reports another ai sandbox escape by september 30	No	BUY	195	82¢	$160	0x05bfe2…
09-16 02:17:48	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	659	91¢	$600	0x472561…
09-16 02:16:13	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x876f5f…
09-16 02:13:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x5e0ca9…
09-16 02:03:55	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	800	27¢	$216	0x40924f…
09-16 01:49:21	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,260	7¢	$88	0xb0102f…
09-16 01:47:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,246	1¢	$18	0xb2960c…
02-13 15:35:43	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	959	5¢	$48	0x1b408c…
02-13 15:02:05	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0xa8f44a…
02-13 15:02:05	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x66b85b…
02-13 13:59:41	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xd0e788…
02-13 13:00:11	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf3eebb…
02-12 20:24:43	googl above 325 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,100	5¢	$52	0x6da3ce…
02-12 19:29:41	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0xb949c7…
02-12 18:28:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	986	23¢	$227	0x3d1561…
02-12 18:11:07	will google gemini score at least 40 on humanitys last exam	Yes	BUY	732	95¢	$693	0xb9b6d8…
02-12 18:10:21	will google gemini score at least 45 on humanitys last exam	Yes	BUY	953	94¢	$892	0x6fb63c…
02-12 17:57:17	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0xc2aeca…
02-12 17:55:09	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xb7a4a6…
02-12 17:53:21	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	42	23¢	$10	0x947756…
02-12 17:53:15	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	126	23¢	$29	0x1278c6…
02-12 17:53:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x754d3f…
02-12 17:53:07	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	119	23¢	$27	0x4f0aab…
02-12 17:53:05	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0xef625e…
02-12 17:50:37	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0xffcd03…
02-12 17:50:37	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xbdf13d…
02-12 17:50:37	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x43175d…
02-12 17:48:15	googl above 320 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa93a49…