Worthless-Ikebana — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$251

Unrealized P&L

-$110

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

719

Trades

5,327

lifetime

Volume

$110.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$2.38K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-24 00:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 86% +$394

Other

18% 56% -$889

Tech

14% 67% +$333

Politics

14% 51% +$9

Sports

1% 42% -$96

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes		+3,651	$2,424	63¢	$2.3K	-$124	10-24 00:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes		+98	$63	78¢	$77	+$14	10-24 00:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	82	$3.9K	2,170	2,247	-77	Yes	+$49	03-10 15:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	227	$3.0K	4,027	376	+3,651	open	—	10-24 00:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	117	$2.5K	1,286	1,286	+0	Yes	+$72	05-26 14:03
bitcoin above 80k on april 23	56	$2.0K	1,396	865	+531	No	-$30	04-23 19:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	70	$2.0K	1,082	1,082	-0	Yes	+$115	06-21 01:28
bitcoin above 82k on april 24	44	$1.8K	850	1,033	-183	No	+$38	04-24 16:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	58	$1.8K	1,055	770	+285	No	+$40	05-15 05:49
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	41	$1.6K	937	750	+187	No	+$41	04-22 18:09
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	25	$1.6K	825	802	+23	Yes	+$12	04-16 16:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	49	$1.5K	755	780	-25	No	+$52	05-08 02:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 30?	26	$1.5K	859	664	+195	No	+$48	04-29 21:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	19	$1.5K	815	815	+0	No	+$28	03-08 02:26
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	63	$1.4K	2,028	1,122	+907	No	-$153	02-02 02:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	66	$1.3K	661	686	-25	No	+$38	05-13 20:11
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	40	$1.3K	1,101	300	+801	No	+$23	04-17 15:45
bitcoin above 78k on april 16	24	$1.3K	598	680	-82	No	+$11	04-16 14:10
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	48	$1.3K	1,479	324	+1,155	No	+$19	04-13 15:52
will trump meet with giorgia meloni in january 2026	5	$1.2K	648	648	+0	No	+$114	01-27 17:51
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	6	$1.1K	571	571	+0	No	+$1	01-22 00:59
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	8	$1.0K	1,898	732	+1,167	No	+$6	01-24 03:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	22	$1.0K	545	545	+0	No	+$35	06-07 01:20
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	42	$1.0K	505	535	-30	No	+$12	04-30 16:13
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	47	$998	1,061	354	+708	Yes	+$38	03-31 12:53
bitcoin above 82k on april 23	19	$980	500	499	+1	No	+$12	04-23 01:44
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	17	$963	786	471	+315	Yes	-$119	01-30 11:04
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	28	$918	742	200	+542	No	+$24	04-15 15:35
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	67	$910	757	267	+490	No	+$40	05-27 18:20
bitcoin above 80k on april 18	27	$888	393	512	-120	No	+$1	04-18 04:08
bitcoin above 80k on april 19	24	$838	661	203	+458	No	+$7	04-19 04:36
will google gemini be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	67	$830	563	520	+43	Yes	+$34	02-13 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 00:29:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x7d26a1…
10-24 00:22:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x427d6a…
10-24 00:22:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x5935c0…
10-24 00:22:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x1fdbad…
10-24 00:20:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xce2991…
10-24 00:20:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9ea820…
10-24 00:20:42	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	SELL	35	86¢	$30	0xf033ed…
10-24 00:20:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe07163…
10-24 00:20:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xb64658…
10-24 00:19:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x7023a3…
10-24 00:19:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xf09e71…
10-24 00:18:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x811923…
10-24 00:18:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe5fc41…
10-24 00:18:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa6c2a7…
10-22 19:16:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xca06f9…
10-22 17:59:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2b68b2…
10-22 16:53:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfbf099…
10-22 16:53:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb9f2c0…
10-22 16:53:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x4e4486…
10-22 16:03:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0x9f6789…
10-22 15:56:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xcc007e…
10-22 15:56:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x828296…
10-22 15:56:21	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x0d2fa1…
10-22 15:53:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xea6031…
10-22 15:52:12	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x63be3c…
10-13 00:45:06	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xe89193…
10-13 00:45:00	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x55365f…
10-13 00:44:35	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xbc6038…
09-22 03:26:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8a9e2c…
09-20 09:55:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc2d21e…
09-18 13:38:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x17c06b…
09-18 11:21:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xe2fc59…
09-18 02:00:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa41a48…
09-18 01:58:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf65d2c…
08-27 03:40:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xbc5d9f…
08-27 03:39:09	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x1fa2ce…
08-19 20:09:12	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x478c15…
07-17 12:42:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc5e5df…
07-17 12:06:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x43f449…
07-17 12:05:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x47631a…
07-17 12:05:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x89144e…
07-17 12:05:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0x1cf96a…
07-17 01:03:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xb33307…
07-17 01:01:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x6dc62c…
07-17 00:53:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x710864…
07-17 00:52:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0xe8df4a…
07-15 02:23:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xd608ce…
07-15 01:34:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa33f28…
07-15 01:33:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	161	7¢	$11	0xa6e40c…
07-14 20:28:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x63a393…
07-14 04:53:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x883936…
07-14 04:18:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0x75814c…
07-13 16:29:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	29¢	$14	0x0b07ba…
06-29 17:48:25	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xd3f97d…
06-29 17:47:31	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xebde4a…
06-29 17:47:17	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x955c95…
06-29 17:44:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x05d350…
06-29 01:42:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8d4d14…
06-28 17:21:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x650c5c…
06-28 16:59:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x42881e…
06-28 16:06:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x006c4f…
06-28 16:06:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xb80518…
06-28 16:05:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3d211e…
06-28 06:14:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x52a224…
06-27 20:44:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb43957…
06-27 20:29:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4d4b21…
06-27 13:42:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa9f6f3…
06-27 13:03:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x12660c…
06-24 17:23:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x92fe86…
06-24 09:42:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1ba315…
06-24 09:42:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0xdd628f…
06-24 09:41:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbb2aa5…
06-24 05:22:19	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x4922da…
06-24 05:21:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	54	24¢	$13	0xa09964…
06-24 04:52:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x84d167…
06-24 03:52:32	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x4266fd…
06-24 03:46:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xbdf781…
06-24 03:43:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x41b392…
06-24 03:42:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x3724e1…
06-24 03:41:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x439664…
06-24 03:40:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5d96e7…
06-24 03:40:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0x8beecc…
06-24 03:39:43	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xdd5392…
06-24 03:39:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xfb5087…
06-24 03:39:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x00f02f…
06-24 03:38:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x8ecd07…
06-24 03:35:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xf65b28…
06-24 03:34:49	Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x96a122…
06-24 03:33:41	Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xd380bf…
06-24 03:26:31	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc7736c…
06-24 03:25:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	90	73¢	$66	0xafb960…
06-23 22:21:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xd20ee7…
06-23 18:47:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	72¢	$25	0x9ec4a6…
06-23 18:47:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x5adaa9…
06-23 17:58:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x669e72…
06-23 17:19:08	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$139	0xe4ae57…
06-23 17:15:10	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	SELL	150	98¢	$147	0x17f848…
06-23 02:09:07	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x2c0f5d…
06-23 02:08:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x95a7a7…
06-23 02:07:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	62	83¢	$51	0x8a11e5…