Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.77K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

903

Trades

1,773

lifetime

Volume

$58.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-22 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 48% -$4,765

Other

1% 17% -$5

Politics

0% 57% -$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:15 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,412	1,402	+10	Down	+$1,098	03-09 07:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:45 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,100	1,083	+17	Down	+$590	03-09 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:10 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,104	1,090	+14	Down	+$715	03-09 07:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:30 UTC	2	$1.4K	992	978	+14	Down	+$583	03-09 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:45 UTC	2	$1.2K	3,601	0	+3,601	Up	-$1,200	03-09 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:25 UTC	2	$1.2K	790	777	+12	Down	+$383	03-09 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:50 UTC	1	$1.0K	2,320	0	+2,320	Up	-$1,021	03-09 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:55 UTC	2	$912	628	618	+10	Up	+$322	03-15 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 05:30 UTC	4	$844	1,212	1,197	+15	Down	+$59	03-17 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 19:30 UTC	2	$834	617	607	+10	Up	+$244	03-15 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:40 UTC	2	$803	532	524	+8	Up	+$243	03-09 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:30 UTC	1	$800	1,671	0	+1,671	Up	-$800	03-09 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:55 UTC	2	$798	576	568	+8	Down	+$336	03-09 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:30 UTC	2	$593	404	397	+6	Down	+$200	03-15 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC	2	$585	400	394	+6	Down	+$191	03-14 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 05:25 UTC	2	$547	1,757	1,739	+18	Up	-$453	03-17 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 05:40 UTC	1	$500	1,363	0	+1,363	Down	-$500	03-17 05:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:40 UTC	1	$500	1,085	0	+1,085	Up	-$500	03-09 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:05 UTC	1	$500	976	0	+976	Up	-$500	03-09 07:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 15:45 UTC	3	$491	350	344	+5	Up	+$157	03-15 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC	3	$489	532	524	+7	Up	+$96	03-15 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 12:00 UTC	3	$482	341	335	+5	Down	+$187	02-23 12:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 13:00 UTC	3	$463	331	327	+5	Down	+$188	02-23 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:15 UTC	2	$461	354	349	+5	Up	+$206	03-15 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 05:45 UTC	2	$435	625	615	+10	Down	-$226	03-17 05:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 06:15 UTC	2	$431	845	0	+845	Down	-$431	03-09 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 09:50 UTC	2	$428	392	388	+4	Up	+$231	02-23 09:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:55 UTC	2	$419	325	321	+4	Up	+$222	03-09 06:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:05 UTC	2	$413	319	316	+4	Down	+$216	03-09 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 07:20 UTC	1	$400	1,309	0	+1,309	Up	-$400	03-09 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 20:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	133	7¢	$9	0x72300c…
09-22 20:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x1bc125…
09-22 20:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	213	97¢	$206	0x80ce18…
09-22 20:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x32b077…
09-22 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xec28d6…
09-22 20:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	88	83¢	$73	0x5036c9…
09-22 20:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x9a4ef7…
09-22 20:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x932193…
09-22 20:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xd305e3…
09-22 20:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x53b1f0…
09-22 20:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x6c6037…
09-22 20:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xc6cdb8…
09-22 06:12:00	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	No	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0x5cfcf5…
09-22 06:10:36	Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0x8a249f…
09-22 06:08:33	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x21cb03…
09-22 06:08:28	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xf1dc3c…
09-22 06:08:27	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xf8f064…
09-22 06:08:24	Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x49db25…
09-22 06:08:19	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x87f9dc…
09-22 06:08:16	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0xe63ccc…
09-22 06:08:15	Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	64¢	$32	0xae0d62…
09-22 01:00:28	Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x94d491…
09-22 00:03:28	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0xdc16f3…
09-22 00:03:28	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0xd027cc…
09-22 00:03:28	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x527938…
09-21 23:24:22	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xda3c7f…
09-21 20:32:21	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd8ffa9…
09-21 16:52:21	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x3a497e…
09-21 15:20:37	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$4	0xbf36bd…
09-21 15:18:31	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x0343d5…
09-21 13:58:02	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No	SELL	53	57¢	$30	0x71a012…
09-21 13:10:35	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xd1ba7d…
09-21 07:19:17	Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2bef5b…
09-21 06:33:27	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x8f10a2…
09-21 04:44:09	Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xa5d66f…
09-21 04:39:03	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x10dfee…
09-21 02:48:07	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x26d109…
09-20 23:58:52	Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0x12d157…
09-20 20:38:47	Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0xf78942…
09-20 18:54:41	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xa0ba9b…
09-20 18:54:41	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0xa0ba9b…
09-20 18:13:40	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x08ea6f…
09-20 18:13:39	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x6ddb15…
09-20 18:13:39	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x6ddb15…
09-20 18:10:52	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x503936…
09-20 11:16:12	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0bec42…
09-20 11:16:10	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xce96f8…
09-20 11:16:09	Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?	No	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x02f397…
09-20 04:34:01	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	38	25¢	$10	0x837763…
09-20 04:32:45	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xc0953c…
09-19 23:36:40	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	38	58¢	$22	0xc96881…
09-19 22:55:04	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	38	58¢	$22	0xf892fc…
09-15 11:38:03	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x54bfdc…
09-15 11:38:01	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x9e1a97…
09-15 11:15:10	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xd882d9…
09-15 11:15:01	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x385fbe…
09-15 11:14:39	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	SELL	53	15¢	$8	0xf4d8e3…
09-15 11:14:31	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x5ad01c…
09-15 11:14:28	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xa29ad2…
09-15 11:14:27	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x675ad4…
09-15 11:14:15	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x309fd6…
09-15 11:14:13	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x6bec97…
09-15 11:14:12	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x3a4f44…
09-15 10:56:58	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	BUY	105	15¢	$16	0xc6f889…
09-15 10:56:58	crypto market structure legislation becomes law in 2026 20260727223933088	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x835a71…
09-15 09:26:07	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x3c4edb…
09-15 09:26:01	Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x7d4786…
09-15 08:25:07	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	28	11¢	$3	0xfe4b07…
09-15 08:25:01	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	28	19¢	$5	0xc9971f…
09-15 06:08:06	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0x4d6f24…
09-15 05:46:42	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	28	80¢	$23	0x6205f4…
09-15 04:39:24	us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026	Yes	SELL	29	10¢	$3	0x11bf56…
09-15 04:39:16	us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x0f55f4…
09-15 02:54:51	Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x91f5c6…
09-15 02:38:40	Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf7581b…
09-15 02:18:54	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x02a522…
09-14 02:33:03	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa4a0f0…
09-14 02:32:34	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x0796b4…
09-14 02:22:49	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x652fbc…
09-14 02:19:30	Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x397746…
09-14 02:11:37	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x70ba40…
09-14 02:04:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xf71ca3…
09-14 02:04:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x9fcd26…
09-13 22:01:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x6673db…
09-13 19:45:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xcb0e3b…
09-13 19:45:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x910f59…
09-13 19:35:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xf23e8e…
09-13 19:34:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0xb505d3…
09-13 19:34:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xe32ca9…
09-13 19:34:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x635241…
09-13 19:34:46	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x330f62…
09-13 19:34:42	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x67dc57…
09-13 19:34:36	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x042a1f…
09-13 19:34:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xcab2da…
09-13 19:34:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xc142c9…
09-11 16:52:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x4ee522…
09-10 16:26:03	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2f303d…
09-10 16:26:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x88d196…
09-10 03:41:43	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x1ec492…
09-03 14:57:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd22e1a…