Stable-Surfboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$127

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

235

Trades

2,147

lifetime

Volume

$290.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$135

Open exposure

$152

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 04:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Politics

61% 45% +$7,064

Other

30% 51% +$10,152

Crypto

8% 44% +$2,527

Tech

1% 60% +$259

Sports

0% 33% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 128 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality		+500	$280	30¢	$152	-$127	10-31 04:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	5	$12.1K	9,031	9,031	+0	No	+$5,079	05-26 02:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	5	$9.6K	7,733	7,733	+0	No	+$4,590	07-01 08:35
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	38	$9.2K	11,292	11,292	+0	open	—	10-28 14:50
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	27	$8.7K	10,329	10,329	+0	Yes	+$2,790	08-07 19:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	52	$8.5K	5,119	5,119	+0	No	-$49	03-24 18:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	18	$7.2K	17,508	17,508	+0	open	—	10-31 00:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	12	$6.8K	4,600	4,600	+0	No	+$2,075	07-02 21:58
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	24	$6.1K	5,794	5,794	+0	No	+$2,902	03-06 04:58
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	25	$5.7K	8,243	8,243	+0	Yes	-$1,834	05-28 20:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	9	$5.5K	7,522	7,522	+0	No	+$1,834	07-11 22:20
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	87	$4.9K	5,179	5,179	+0	No	+$692	08-11 14:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	82	$4.9K	20,285	20,285	+0	Yes	-$715	09-30 09:24
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	18	$4.7K	4,985	4,039	+946	No	+$2,744	09-29 13:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	135	$4.2K	6,289	0	+6,289	Yes	-$4,208	06-12 12:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$4.1K	3,854	3,854	+0	Yes	-$210	06-12 10:23
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	17	$4.1K	3,985	3,985	+0	No	+$1,806	10-22 15:16
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	21	$4.1K	3,010	5,091	-2,081	No	+$1,309	02-21 18:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$2	04-28 13:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	20	$3.7K	2,517	1,917	+600	No	+$182	03-24 20:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	17	$3.4K	3,889	3,889	+0	Yes	-$610	09-09 21:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$3.1K	2,039	2,039	+0	No	+$0	05-26 04:22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	18	$3.1K	3,914	3,914	+0	No	+$659	04-19 12:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	5	$3.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$220	09-18 11:32
will uae strike iran by march 31	7	$2.8K	1,937	1,937	+0	No	+$957	03-29 02:31
us imports russian diesel by october 31	6	$2.7K	1,756	1,756	+0	open	—	10-15 22:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$2.5K	6,046	6,046	+0	open	—	10-08 16:28
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	5	$2.4K	3,729	0	+3,729	No	+$1,300	09-22 11:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$2.4K	4,075	4,075	+0	No	-$704	03-01 17:05
will company b be accused of insider trading	13	$2.3K	1,724	2,624	-900	No	-$320	02-25 17:53
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	5	$2.3K	1,563	1,563	+0	No	+$381	07-01 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 04:53:30	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0x0b55ca…
10-31 00:03:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,019	3¢	$68	0xdc31cd…
10-30 23:58:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,019	4¢	$73	0x67c6e2…
10-30 23:43:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	691	35¢	$242	0x168a1c…
10-30 23:43:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	974	37¢	$361	0xe19fed…
10-30 23:32:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	1,000	48¢	$476	0x9461fe…
10-29 21:11:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x9caaa2…
10-29 21:11:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	260	37¢	$96	0xabc1bb…
10-29 21:07:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	122	37¢	$45	0xb4503f…
10-29 14:40:49	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	SELL	1,100	11¢	$117	0x059435…
10-29 14:40:44	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	SELL	900	19¢	$174	0x939219…
10-29 13:51:53	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	662	45¢	$300	0x87300f…
10-29 13:21:40	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0xc3d779…
10-29 13:03:26	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Aurora Gaming	BUY	700	38¢	$266	0x494668…
10-29 12:59:32	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	Aurora Gaming	BUY	900	65¢	$585	0x7389f2…
10-29 12:36:01	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Natus Vincere	SELL	570	23¢	$131	0x21df4c…
10-29 12:25:35	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	570	35¢	$200	0x9f08d5…
10-28 18:22:58	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	fnatic	SELL	990	46¢	$452	0xd57d92…
10-28 17:40:14	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0xd0b757…
10-28 17:11:17	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	fnatic	BUY	682	44¢	$300	0xd08f0d…
10-28 16:57:25	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x23d97b…
10-28 14:50:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	870	87¢	$760	0x0850b2…
10-28 11:22:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	870	92¢	$798	0xd9e24a…
10-28 10:27:43	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Liquid	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0xb4754d…
10-28 10:24:37	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Liquid	BUY	400	55¢	$220	0x291695…
10-27 18:47:44	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0x908b99…
10-27 16:45:24	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	170	58¢	$99	0xc2439b…
10-27 16:39:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	SELL	587	26¢	$155	0x6b7c9d…
10-27 16:28:08	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xab6408…
10-27 16:19:15	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x547831…
10-27 16:16:14	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0xabff92…
10-27 15:52:06	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	265	38¢	$101	0xe4d7a9…
10-27 15:48:32	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xd01cce…
10-27 15:47:08	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	28	38¢	$10	0xef2b09…
10-27 15:40:21	Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B	GamerLegion	BUY	444	38¢	$169	0xbf2f5a…
10-27 12:17:03	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x6b5c72…
10-27 12:15:48	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xe226e9…
10-26 19:43:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	43¢	$430	0x57e9e2…
10-26 19:42:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	668	53¢	$354	0x25844f…
10-26 19:36:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	342	39¢	$133	0xac2a9e…
10-26 18:14:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x4bdfec…
10-26 18:00:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x93a509…
10-26 16:52:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	171	53¢	$91	0x5f36d5…
10-26 15:44:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	344	71¢	$245	0x602663…
10-26 15:41:27	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	SELL	245	42¢	$103	0xdc3338…
10-26 14:51:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	55¢	$111	0x715f18…
10-26 14:43:08	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	1,429	14¢	$200	0x56466c…
10-26 14:41:05	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x1ffbc5…
10-26 14:32:41	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	FURIA	SELL	572	44¢	$252	0x232ca3…
10-26 14:08:29	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Liquid	BUY	318	60¢	$192	0xbb66f6…
10-26 14:05:50	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	327	61¢	$200	0x9b4682…
10-26 14:04:05	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	245	65¢	$160	0x54c0b6…
10-26 13:48:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x253b1d…
10-26 13:48:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x14a234…
10-26 12:48:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xa6ddfd…
10-26 12:19:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x37a87c…
10-26 11:58:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	143	37¢	$53	0x5ed734…
10-26 11:51:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	351	65¢	$228	0xadbe3e…
10-26 11:33:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	70¢	$84	0x853400…
10-26 11:05:45	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	360	37¢	$133	0x0a922d…
10-26 10:21:48	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	SELL	610	97¢	$594	0xcce080…
10-26 10:07:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xab0d04…
10-26 09:58:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe77039…
10-26 09:49:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xa82d44…
10-26 09:38:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x4ec988…
10-26 09:20:54	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	350	61¢	$214	0x7d7be4…
10-26 09:09:48	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0bddbe…
10-26 09:03:35	Counter-Strike: B8 vs K27 (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group A	B8	BUY	42	61¢	$26	0xe3b85e…
10-26 08:51:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	74¢	$59	0x93b49b…
10-26 08:03:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	74¢	$49	0xd4b54d…
10-26 07:50:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	74¢	$38	0x2d7de3…
10-26 07:14:50	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	610	71¢	$433	0x345b1c…
10-26 07:06:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	121	73¢	$88	0xdd24c1…
10-26 07:06:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	598	73¢	$436	0x4cd3a0…
10-26 06:58:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	182	73¢	$132	0x9a3358…
10-25 13:50:11	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	9z	SELL	364	26¢	$96	0x986188…
10-25 08:57:00	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x661a09…
10-25 08:56:30	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	9z	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x8c8ac7…
10-24 11:52:27	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	289	35¢	$100	0xda50b0…
10-23 13:27:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,260	77¢	$970	0x7b31a0…
10-23 10:59:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	96	76¢	$73	0x7a9689…
10-23 10:29:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	351	76¢	$266	0x2771e7…
10-23 10:29:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0x06f18c…
10-22 15:16:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	549	87¢	$478	0xad03c0…
10-22 15:16:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	149	87¢	$130	0x9ae05d…
10-22 15:16:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xbc5b4f…
10-22 15:16:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	298	87¢	$260	0x751491…
10-22 14:41:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	41	87¢	$36	0x199ddd…
10-22 13:22:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	263	86¢	$226	0xf4597d…
10-22 09:19:33	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,571	38¢	$591	0x4545b4…
10-22 09:19:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	190	38¢	$71	0x66d9b2…
10-21 18:57:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	650	80¢	$521	0x2e4975…
10-21 14:51:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	SELL	201	88¢	$177	0x469f30…
10-21 14:24:59	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	SELL	1,829	19¢	$348	0x5735a6…
10-21 14:21:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	604	26¢	$156	0x457c36…
10-21 14:05:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xdd71e1…
10-21 14:05:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,200	26¢	$311	0x897273…
10-21 14:04:38	Counter-Strike: BIG vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0x3ac554…
10-21 13:29:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x457b2d…
10-21 13:17:33	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x11ade3…