Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$455

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-14

last 07-07 13:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% — —

Other

45% 100% +$1

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes		+6	$5	22¢	$1	$-4	06-19 00:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$112	102	102	+0	open	—	04-23 03:18
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	7	$84	46	46	+0	open	—	04-14 20:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	3	$15	16	9	+7	open	—	06-19 15:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	2	$11	24	24	+0	open	—	06-19 23:55
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-01 13:04
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 12:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 12:43
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-02 12:35
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	07-07 02:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	07-01 13:05
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-16 15:01
will lebanon be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522908	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-20 14:12
will egypt be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522913	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-20 14:13
will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-20 14:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	07-07 13:26
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	2	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	06-28 20:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-29 14:52
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	1	$5	70	0	+70	open	—	06-19 14:54
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	06-19 16:24
iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260625225958880	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-27 12:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-13 05:13
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:22
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-16 18:03
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:48
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-25 00:16
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-22 22:03
will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-20 15:03
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	04-24 17:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-19 00:51
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 11:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 13:26:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x397e74…
07-07 02:31:41	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc1fa7c…
07-07 00:49:58	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5a9cb1…
07-03 18:00:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x057b4e…
07-02 12:35:47	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf25f26…
07-01 13:05:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xaec0e4…
07-01 13:04:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1e73a1…
06-28 20:43:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x9a5689…
06-28 01:07:16	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8e1294…
06-27 20:49:16	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc55bbc…
06-27 12:38:17	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260625225958880	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x88076e…
06-26 23:31:40	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xdf9a46…
06-20 15:03:20	will jared kushner have a diplomatic meeting with iran by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xb64ffd…
06-20 14:13:35	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfbd9f4…
06-20 14:13:20	will egypt be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522913	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x13d33b…
06-20 14:12:52	will lebanon be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522908	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x57f912…
06-20 01:12:20	will lebanon be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522908	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x03addc…
06-20 01:11:32	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd0197e…
06-20 01:11:11	will egypt be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522913	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x93511f…
06-19 23:55:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x27e259…
06-19 22:53:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x394f0e…
06-19 16:24:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa00a2d…
06-19 15:43:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xccf8df…
06-19 14:54:07	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x09b297…
06-19 14:27:19	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x05ad20…
06-19 00:51:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd7a618…
06-18 21:48:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf6879f…
06-17 01:03:46	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xecb8db…
06-16 15:01:11	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6bdb1d…
06-13 05:13:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5c5de0…
06-10 05:33:49	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 15	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe293ea…
06-03 01:14:44	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe58bf5…
05-30 14:54:40	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x7e9d29…
05-29 14:52:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x5daf29…
05-28 14:08:21	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x77cdf7…
05-25 12:43:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x375400…
05-25 12:43:31	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x110350…
05-23 23:57:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x43e627…
05-23 23:48:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb3fbde…
05-22 22:03:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ab9a6…
05-21 21:16:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9bbba3…
05-16 18:03:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf557c6…
05-15 21:22:35	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xc86ff0…
05-06 10:40:54	Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb25810…
05-05 20:15:08	Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0edd62…
05-05 12:48:38	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7cac55…
05-04 11:45:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x777a06…
04-30 10:55:48	Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d7aa7…
04-29 20:02:34	Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x947ed3…
04-25 00:16:54	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x73ed38…
04-24 17:32:50	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcc8248…
04-24 17:06:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x940882…
04-23 03:18:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa77949…
04-22 08:59:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x1bf73e…
04-16 23:50:14	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xfd8b77…
04-15 20:54:36	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0xab5fd8…
04-15 10:29:38	pnc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 3pt92	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xdff504…
04-14 20:11:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	46	86¢	$40	0xd0ee45…
04-14 19:12:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x664e7f…
04-14 19:07:44	will argentinas monthly inflation in march 2026 be between 3pt4 and 3pt6	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x60831c…
04-14 19:02:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x239659…
04-14 18:57:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x025a82…
04-14 18:55:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xb5be79…
04-14 18:55:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xd347b5…
04-14 18:12:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	47	54¢	$25	0x6aa1bd…
04-14 18:11:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x5de1ed…
04-14 15:35:29	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x3fd6d7…