Leading-Raid — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$51

Unrealized P&L

-$33

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

144

144 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$972

$972 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% $-51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up		+461	$37	1¢	$5	$-33	05-06 02:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	7	$145	570	+570	Up	$-145	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$78	224	+224	Up	+$80	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$73	228	+228	Down	$-73	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$55	299	+299	Down	+$99	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	19	$53	273	+273	Up	$-46	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$47	416	+416	Down	+$30	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$42	85	+85	Down	+$43	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	16	$40	328	+328	open	—	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$39	109	+109	Up	+$70	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	11	$37	461	+461	open	—	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	7	$37	838	+838	open	—	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$34	123	+123	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$28	70	+70	Down	$-28	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$27	411	+411	open	—	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$22	47	+47	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$21	85	+85	Up	+$57	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$19	528	+528	Up	$-19	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$16	392	+392	Up	$-16	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$14	343	+343	Down	$-14	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	3	$14	615	+615	open	—	05-06 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$13	30	+30	Up	$-13	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$12	406	+406	Down	$-12	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$11	105	+105	Up	$-11	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$11	24	+24	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$10	723	+723	Up	$-10	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$10	30	+30	Up	$-10	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$9	90	+90	Down	$-9	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$7	17	+17	open	—	05-05 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$7	32	+32	Down	$-7	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$6	20	+20	Down	+$12	05-04 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	72	4¢	$3	0x855008…
05-06 02:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x0ae714…
05-06 02:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0xce002d…
05-06 02:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	37	9¢	$3	0x845237…
05-06 02:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	9¢	$3	0x69994b…
05-06 02:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0xc166d1…
05-06 02:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0xb313b5…
05-06 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	11¢	$4	0x6a8cb2…
05-06 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0xf5775b…
05-06 02:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x3ed7cb…
05-06 02:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0xc81722…
05-06 01:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0x0ca8a3…
05-06 01:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xeb443a…
05-06 01:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	214	2¢	$5	0x778c04…
05-06 01:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	114	5¢	$6	0xb5e0d3…
05-06 01:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	109	3¢	$3	0x4437f9…
05-06 01:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	54	5¢	$3	0x6e7c4f…
05-06 01:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	111	7¢	$8	0x9eab9e…
05-06 01:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0x762e98…
05-06 01:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	206	2¢	$4	0xc12234…
05-06 01:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	245	2¢	$5	0x11647f…
05-06 00:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0xb8d46f…
05-06 00:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	91	7¢	$6	0x8862d6…
05-06 00:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	120	7¢	$8	0x0049c7…
05-06 00:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	128	6¢	$8	0x8e2aff…
05-06 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	61	4¢	$2	0x77e071…
05-06 00:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	6¢	$3	0xc98afc…
05-06 00:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xdb78a3…
05-06 00:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x5f9e36…
05-06 00:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x89629e…
05-06 00:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x04b354…
05-06 00:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x187f81…
05-06 00:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x579dc2…
05-06 00:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x793986…
05-06 00:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x304ebb…
05-06 00:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xe49b7a…
05-06 00:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xcdb7e9…
05-06 00:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x6a1dc8…
05-06 00:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x96c629…
05-06 00:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xe676dc…
05-06 00:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xee6fae…
05-05 08:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	64	7¢	$5	0xf78894…
05-05 08:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x5caa63…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x679504…
05-05 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x047abb…
05-05 07:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2480f6…
05-05 07:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x3475f3…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x45dc0d…
05-05 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0xec72c6…
05-05 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x511969…
05-05 04:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x6e44b0…
05-05 04:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	78	42¢	$33	0xe85b2e…
05-05 04:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0x846ee1…
05-05 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0x60e7cc…
05-05 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x34fafd…
05-05 03:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xe4a23c…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xc30cac…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x708cfc…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xf0fd3e…
05-05 03:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x9dcee2…
05-05 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x4424f0…
05-05 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2a0e4e…
05-05 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x4e4016…
05-05 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xc25c8f…
05-05 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa0da27…
05-05 03:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbb99ee…
05-05 03:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8ed597…
05-05 03:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x1d5f0d…
05-05 03:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x910003…
05-05 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x66ef3e…
05-05 03:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x467666…
05-05 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3f9aec…
05-05 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x1ac7b3…
05-05 03:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xff46da…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	560	1¢	$6	0xdb2f42…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0x5e2009…
05-05 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x7d4fef…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xa2fdb7…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0xe2a42a…
05-05 02:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	218	4¢	$8	0x6b900d…
05-05 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x3283a4…
05-05 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	77	38¢	$29	0x141779…
05-05 02:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1cb403…
05-05 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xcf28a8…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xa7ad5d…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x9d089a…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x410ffb…
05-05 02:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x2fad2b…
05-05 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x8640a8…
05-05 01:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6f233e…
05-05 01:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x054456…
05-05 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0xc5ce2b…
05-05 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x3e4e7b…
05-05 01:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x9bfe0e…
05-05 01:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x28763e…
05-05 01:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x7581c1…
05-05 00:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x82184b…
05-05 00:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc1b9c2…
05-05 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0c9faf…
05-05 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa583bd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	38	$4.67K	180	05-06 02:19
Bulky-Bracket 0xabc2…7048	32	$517	210	05-06 01:34
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	31	$7.15K	211	05-06 01:34
Deep-Observatory 0xc131…f5d5	31	$644	205	05-06 01:34
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	30	$6.81K	136	05-06 02:18
Hurtful-Infancy 0xb36b…0cb1	29	$763	89	05-06 02:19
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	28	$1.92K	153	05-06 02:18
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	27	$1.39K	105	05-06 02:19