Leading-Raid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.0%

Resolved

Trades

103

lifetime

Volume

$817

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% $-51

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	7	$145	570	+570	Up	$-145	05-04 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$78	224	+224	Up	+$80	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$73	228	+228	Down	$-73	05-05 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$55	299	+299	Down	+$99	05-04 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	19	$53	273	+273	Up	$-46	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$47	416	+416	Down	+$30	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$42	85	+85	Down	+$43	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$39	109	+109	Up	+$70	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$34	123	+123	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$28	70	+70	Down	$-28	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$22	47	+47	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$21	85	+85	Up	+$57	05-05 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	3	$19	528	+528	Up	$-19	05-05 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$16	392	+392	Up	$-16	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$14	343	+343	Down	$-14	05-05 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$13	30	+30	Up	$-13	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$12	406	+406	Down	$-12	05-04 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$11	105	+105	Up	$-11	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$11	24	+24	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$10	30	+30	Up	$-10	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$10	723	+723	Up	$-10	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$9	90	+90	Down	$-9	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$7	17	+17	open	—	05-05 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$7	32	+32	Down	$-7	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$6	20	+20	Down	+$12	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	11	+11	Down	$-5	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$5	200	+200	Up	$-5	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$5	84	+84	Up	$-5	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$4	90	+90	Up	$-4	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$3	109	+109	Down	$-3	05-04 22:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 08:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	64	7¢	$5	0xf78894…
05-05 08:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x5caa63…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x679504…
05-05 07:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x047abb…
05-05 07:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2480f6…
05-05 07:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x3475f3…
05-05 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x45dc0d…
05-05 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	45¢	$13	0xec72c6…
05-05 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x511969…
05-05 04:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	78	42¢	$33	0xe85b2e…
05-05 04:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x6e44b0…
05-05 04:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0x846ee1…
05-05 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	77	50¢	$38	0x60e7cc…
05-05 04:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x34fafd…
05-05 03:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0xe4a23c…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x708cfc…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xf0fd3e…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0xc30cac…
05-05 03:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x9dcee2…
05-05 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x4424f0…
05-05 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x4e4016…
05-05 03:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2a0e4e…
05-05 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xc25c8f…
05-05 03:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa0da27…
05-05 03:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbb99ee…
05-05 03:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x8ed597…
05-05 03:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x910003…
05-05 03:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x1d5f0d…
05-05 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x66ef3e…
05-05 03:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x467666…
05-05 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3f9aec…
05-05 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x1ac7b3…
05-05 03:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xff46da…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	560	1¢	$6	0xdb2f42…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	163	3¢	$5	0x5e2009…
05-05 03:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x7d4fef…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0xe2a42a…
05-05 03:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xa2fdb7…
05-05 02:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	218	4¢	$8	0x6b900d…
05-05 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x3283a4…
05-05 02:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	77	38¢	$29	0x141779…
05-05 02:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1cb403…
05-05 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xcf28a8…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xa7ad5d…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	36¢	$19	0x410ffb…
05-05 02:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x9d089a…
05-05 02:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x2fad2b…
05-05 02:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x8640a8…
05-05 01:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6f233e…
05-05 01:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x054456…
05-05 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	43¢	$12	0xc5ce2b…
05-05 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x3e4e7b…
05-05 01:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x9bfe0e…
05-05 01:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x28763e…
05-05 01:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x7581c1…
05-05 00:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xc1b9c2…
05-05 00:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x82184b…
05-05 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x0c9faf…
05-05 00:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa583bd…
05-05 00:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xdede4f…
05-05 00:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xb51801…
05-05 00:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x886509…
05-05 00:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0x23c770…
05-05 00:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x931d9d…
05-05 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xc54408…
05-05 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xd3a5a5…
05-05 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0xbd48f7…
05-05 00:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x3da6de…
05-05 00:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x9b56af…
05-05 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	79	47¢	$37	0x48ebff…
05-05 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	79	48¢	$38	0x31b1dc…
05-05 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	138	6¢	$8	0x76bf7c…
05-05 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	280	1¢	$3	0xe2b9d6…
05-05 00:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	110	7¢	$8	0xfeea16…
05-04 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	187	3¢	$6	0xf315f2…
05-04 23:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	162	4¢	$6	0xbb43c1…
05-04 23:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xb1d359…
05-04 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x966263…
05-04 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0xa059a4…
05-04 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x1f9fd3…
05-04 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	155	9¢	$15	0xff3204…
05-04 23:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0xfc1308…
05-04 23:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	76	50¢	$38	0x55e685…
05-04 23:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	72	54¢	$38	0x4feb0e…
05-04 22:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	109	3¢	$3	0xc12f03…
05-04 22:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x416535…
05-04 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x099ba8…
05-04 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xe9b8f3…
05-04 22:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xb9b308…
05-04 22:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	280	2¢	$6	0xf36924…
05-04 22:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	126	5¢	$6	0x315cf7…
05-04 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	145	9¢	$13	0xe0aa74…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0xbde8bc…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	84	25¢	$21	0x14fba9…
05-04 22:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x46efd3…
05-04 22:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0xa13615…
05-04 22:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xc211ef…
05-04 22:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	66	11¢	$7	0xb5e659…
05-04 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc95f1f…
05-04 21:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xc6e8e1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	33	$4.02K	148	05-05 08:51
Deep-Observatory 0xc131…f5d5	29	$594	193	05-05 08:51
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	28	$6.57K	144	05-05 08:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	26	$3.85K	126	05-05 08:51
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	24	$1.60K	122	05-05 08:51
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	24	$1.49K	116	05-05 08:51
Hurtful-Infancy 0xb36b…0cb1	24	$695	71	05-05 08:51
Adored-Dory-Producer 0x04a1…3527	23	$3.07K	98	05-05 05:35