Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$350

Unrealized P&L

-$124

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$5.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$138

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-09 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% -$389

Tech

21% 57% +$47

Politics

16% 67% +$26

Crypto

2% 0% -$64

Sports

1% 20% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	+100	$77	72¢	$72	-$5	09-11 02:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+200	$140	32¢	$65	-$75	09-02 23:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+114	$45	0¢	$1	-$44	10-04 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	7	$469	400	300	+100	Yes	-$183	03-23 00:40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	33	$415	407	406	+0	Yes	+$10	01-09 17:43
will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	6	$391	200	200	+0	No	+$7	08-03 12:56
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	7	$364	395	279	+116	No	-$160	03-25 07:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$347	200	200	+0	Yes	+$35	06-15 01:42
will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	15	$313	300	210	+90	Yes	-$13	08-01 13:26
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	3	$309	170	170	+0	No	+$30	05-30 11:07
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	3	$280	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 04:00
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	1	$196	200	0	+200	Yes	+$4	07-05 13:16
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$194	200	0	+200	England	+$6	07-18 22:06
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	1	$194	200	0	+200	Yes	+$6	09-03 03:43
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$179	100	100	+0	No	+$19	04-23 08:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	4	$140	200	0	+200	open	—	09-02 23:01
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	2	$140	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	07-07 12:59
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	4	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	10-09 15:18
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	2	$105	100	63	+37	No	-$23	09-15 13:17
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	1	$99	0	100	-100	No	-$1	05-28 04:33
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	3	$98	100	100	+0	No	-$18	06-23 04:19
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$94	100	0	+100	No	+$6	03-17 17:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$90	100	0	+100	No	+$10	05-01 13:45
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	1	$90	100	0	+100	No	+$10	03-23 00:52
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	2	$86	150	150	+0	No	-$40	03-19 13:43
will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	6	$85	100	0	+100	Yes	-$85	03-18 11:28
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$83	50	50	+0	Yes	+$13	05-13 01:30
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?	2	$82	100	100	+0	No	-$20	09-11 17:30
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	2	$80	100	0	+100	Yes	+$20	10-02 11:04
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	5	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	09-11 02:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$45	114	0	+114	open	—	10-04 03:32
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 20	3	$40	50	0	+50	No	+$10	03-18 13:41
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	1	$28	40	0	+40	Yes	+$12	06-16 15:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 15:18:48	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x66f7a3…
10-08 22:59:56	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x3f975f…
10-04 03:32:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x1dce73…
10-02 11:04:23	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0xff184f…
10-02 11:04:20	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0x898daa…
09-17 14:34:42	Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x5c66c2…
09-15 13:17:09	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	65¢	$41	0xe57cae…
09-12 07:36:22	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x5e01cf…
09-11 17:30:54	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	31¢	$31	0x765ca0…
09-11 17:24:34	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x762df6…
09-11 02:05:21	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x0436c8…
09-11 00:17:21	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x0f449e…
09-11 00:17:15	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xe108eb…
09-11 00:17:12	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xaaef4a…
09-11 00:17:10	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x243cc8…
09-10 01:23:49	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xf716d1…
09-09 03:53:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5e6252…
09-08 21:49:42	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	66	58¢	$38	0xf95db8…
09-08 02:29:22	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x6e2006…
09-03 03:43:21	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xea561f…
09-02 23:01:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0xf38cfb…
09-02 23:01:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	70¢	$30	0x09646a…
09-02 23:01:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	70¢	$26	0x5d45d8…
09-02 23:01:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x2afea0…
08-03 12:56:59	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7a8ea4…
08-03 02:22:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	No	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x247816…
08-02 23:42:47	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xb042e2…
08-02 20:06:26	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfbead7…
08-01 13:26:51	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	29	74¢	$21	0x08cd10…
08-01 13:24:44	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xc73607…
08-01 13:21:33	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x48efea…
08-01 13:16:33	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	47	74¢	$35	0x81a23d…
08-01 13:16:33	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x469a17…
08-01 08:59:03	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x213e20…
07-31 16:27:45	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	58	24¢	$14	0xfb6ca6…
07-31 16:21:59	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0x41b3e6…
07-31 15:27:11	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	38	83¢	$32	0x7ef592…
07-31 14:24:05	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	162	83¢	$134	0x603a9b…
07-31 11:33:09	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	No	BUY	132	96¢	$127	0xf7f335…
07-31 11:29:51	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	No	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0xc5d764…
07-31 01:57:06	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0xa374a3…
07-29 03:34:29	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0xa60553…
07-29 03:32:18	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0xb8f5e7…
07-29 03:30:24	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x3fa7ae…
07-29 03:29:36	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x70ff8f…
07-18 22:06:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xca1632…
07-07 13:58:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xfafa76…
07-07 12:59:40	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xa57f08…
07-05 13:16:20	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x7c08ed…
06-23 04:19:20	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x895678…
06-23 01:48:32	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x32070d…
06-22 18:30:55	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	58¢	$51	0x317d7b…
06-22 18:27:10	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xf0ee43…
06-19 14:54:46	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x4e315b…
06-16 15:13:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0xd3da10…
06-15 01:42:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$191	0x85e743…
06-15 00:29:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x07ec15…
06-14 22:29:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xba6602…
06-12 18:37:57	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x79bc93…
06-04 19:08:42	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xfa90a8…
06-03 23:29:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x553c1b…
05-30 11:07:29	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x73a568…
05-30 11:06:16	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5ba850…
05-28 04:33:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x095add…
05-25 21:44:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xcce6d0…
05-13 01:30:11	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xe6b585…
05-06 12:58:16	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xd01ff4…
05-01 13:45:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6751ae…
05-01 13:45:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	98	90¢	$88	0xe2ea70…
04-24 04:00:46	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0xed2081…
04-23 11:20:18	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	BUY	130	93¢	$121	0x98d70c…
04-23 08:34:00	DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xe5cb8d…
04-23 08:14:26	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xd443db…
04-21 19:42:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x9488d5…
04-15 08:13:52	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	82¢	$83	0x093512…
04-15 03:19:32	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	82¢	$57	0x53fec0…
04-06 16:35:55	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x2e95dd…
03-25 07:58:21	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	BUY	105	79¢	$83	0x3d5c64…
03-25 05:13:33	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xafe331…
03-25 01:28:55	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	SELL	79	20¢	$16	0xb95792…
03-23 06:47:51	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	Yes	BUY	79	86¢	$68	0xe75b01…
03-23 06:46:57	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xdb03b9…
03-23 00:52:53	will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of march	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa9c920…
03-23 00:40:21	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xefd679…
03-19 15:54:41	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	BUY	57	80¢	$46	0x95b922…
03-19 15:26:57	will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	No	BUY	143	80¢	$114	0x89cf8b…
03-19 14:12:11	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	37¢	$15	0x2d43fc…
03-19 13:43:35	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	150	15¢	$22	0x94f60d…
03-19 13:26:37	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	99	31¢	$31	0xbecc50…
03-19 13:24:37	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	198	31¢	$61	0x33fd1f…
03-19 13:23:15	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x86496e…
03-18 14:43:37	highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x2b71eb…
03-18 14:26:49	highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xf18677…
03-18 13:41:39	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 20	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x93e13c…
03-18 13:40:37	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 20	No	BUY	32	80¢	$26	0xbb5463…
03-18 13:31:43	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by march 20	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x47ee6f…
03-18 11:53:31	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	274	95¢	$261	0x50abec…
03-18 11:38:33	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xaa0ded…
03-18 11:32:01	will gold gc hit low 4500 by end of march	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xa71e5e…
03-18 11:28:31	will gold gc hit low 4700 by end of march	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe48313…