Ill-Octavo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

Trades

839

lifetime

Volume

$3.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-01 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 77% $-1

Sports

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1768536900	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	01-16 04:23
btc updown 15m 1770660900	1	$88	89	0	+89	open	—	02-09 18:25
btc updown 15m 1768541400	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	01-16 05:40
btc updown 15m 1770671700	2	$62	64	0	+64	open	—	02-09 21:29
btc updown 15m 1768529700	2	$55	49	48	+1	open	—	01-16 02:25
btc updown 15m 1768534200	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	01-16 03:38
btc updown 15m 1768536000	1	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	01-16 04:08
btc updown 15m 1768533300	1	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	01-16 03:23
btc updown 15m 1768535100	1	$50	65	0	+65	open	—	01-16 03:52
btc updown 15m 1770669900	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	02-09 21:00
btc updown 15m 1770649200	2	$45	52	0	+52	open	—	02-09 15:09
sol updown 15m 1768875300	3	$45	41	36	+4	open	—	01-20 02:23
btc updown 15m 1768538700	2	$44	26	25	+0	open	—	01-16 04:58
btc updown 15m 1768532400	1	$43	48	0	+48	open	—	01-16 03:11
sol updown 15m 1768846500	3	$41	41	26	+15	open	—	01-19 18:29
btc updown 15m 1768716000	3	$41	60	30	+30	open	—	01-18 06:13
btc updown 15m 1770660000	1	$41	62	0	+62	open	—	02-09 18:14
bad bunny wears a dress at the super bowl	2	$41	44	0	+44	open	—	02-09 01:24
btc updown 15m 1770848100	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	02-11 22:26
btc updown 15m 1768537800	2	$37	22	22	+0	open	—	01-16 04:42
btc updown 15m 1768540500	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	01-16 05:24
btc updown 15m 1768530600	1	$35	41	0	+41	open	—	01-16 02:40
btc updown 15m 1768574700	2	$31	36	0	+36	open	—	01-16 14:55
btc updown 15m 1768531500	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	01-16 02:54
btc updown 15m 1770849000	2	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	02-11 22:43
btc updown 15m 1770753600	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	02-10 20:12
btc updown 15m 1769211900	3	$29	32	8	+24	open	—	01-23 23:55
btc updown 15m 1770833700	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	02-11 18:22
btc updown 15m 1768539600	1	$28	0	30	-30	open	—	01-16 05:08
btc updown 15m 1768602600	4	$27	39	24	+15	open	—	01-16 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 22:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x61e463…
06-01 22:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbf6f2a…
06-01 22:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbe6492…
06-01 03:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x899dd3…
06-01 03:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x09c563…
06-01 03:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x366ad4…
06-01 03:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xce270c…
06-01 03:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6e2ddc…
06-01 03:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x06ff8d…
06-01 02:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdcd03c…
06-01 02:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3a53b6…
06-01 02:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x49999e…
06-01 02:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x103cb8…
06-01 02:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9a2ae2…
06-01 02:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6f8165…
06-01 02:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa0433e…
06-01 02:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa45fba…
06-01 02:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7d1013…
05-24 22:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x47135c…
05-24 22:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc38d8d…
05-24 22:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x608323…
05-24 21:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe67543…
05-24 21:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x36a3cd…
05-17 23:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5e66bc…
05-17 23:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x11276e…
05-17 22:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcc8e0e…
05-16 20:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa3ea0e…
05-16 20:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8c2bfc…
05-16 20:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x197993…
05-16 20:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x317aff…
05-16 20:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6dbe74…
05-16 20:23:44	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x2c8965…
05-14 04:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2658e6…
05-14 04:36:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x2cd6af…
05-14 04:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4e2d9f…
05-14 04:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb25379…
05-14 04:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x10fa77…
05-14 04:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa3b2b1…
05-14 04:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x79346d…
05-14 04:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x588aaf…
05-14 04:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x691148…
05-14 04:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x09537c…
05-14 04:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0e93d7…
05-14 04:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66c516…
05-14 04:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x62b6c2…
05-14 04:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x9db7ed…
05-14 04:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x975d5c…
05-14 04:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x322ba7…
05-14 04:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x812cfc…
05-14 04:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xde339d…
05-14 04:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf9acf4…
05-14 04:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6af343…
05-14 04:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x21dc6e…
05-14 04:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1a6ca4…
05-14 03:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x1a3650…
05-14 03:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4bbf39…
05-14 03:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x563f57…
05-14 03:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0xe72749…
05-14 03:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0bacd9…
05-14 03:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55449a…
05-14 03:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x03d24a…
05-14 03:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2fdba…
05-14 03:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7980ab…
05-14 03:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x38147f…
05-14 03:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4ba67c…
05-14 03:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x4cae48…
05-14 03:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x07a304…
05-14 03:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd23080…
05-14 02:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x0137cf…
05-14 02:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x164c07…
05-14 02:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa4ca4a…
05-14 02:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb6a149…
05-14 02:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x376d67…
05-14 02:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd38d00…
05-14 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xed5420…
05-14 02:43:39	Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xe44349…
05-14 02:43:19	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xc64646…
05-14 02:43:07	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x92ea85…
05-14 02:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x9676a0…
05-14 02:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8ec6d5…
05-14 02:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x28180e…
05-14 02:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc16dd6…
05-14 02:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc00bb1…
05-14 02:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x00a84a…
05-14 02:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x27c674…
05-14 02:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2ebcaf…
05-14 02:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc0e1d9…
05-14 02:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x73bf80…
05-14 01:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5a251e…
05-14 01:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3439d0…
05-14 01:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xe934d3…
05-14 01:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf280c4…
05-14 01:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8ba2c8…
05-14 01:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd67e8e…
05-14 01:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x48f139…
05-14 00:37:25	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfec6a0…
05-14 00:34:12	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcd5f9c…
05-14 00:28:15	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe31731…
05-14 00:28:01	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9141e6…
05-14 00:27:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb40688…