Valid-Mansard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

Trades

983

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-17 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$1.0K	525	525	+0	open	—	04-30 04:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$610	538	538	+0	open	—	04-30 04:35
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$400	693	0	+693	open	—	04-30 04:21
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	4	$400	713	0	+713	open	—	04-30 04:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$400	706	0	+706	open	—	04-30 02:46
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$400	705	0	+705	open	—	04-30 02:36
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	4	$400	684	0	+684	open	—	04-30 01:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$300	556	0	+556	open	—	04-30 01:05
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$300	536	0	+536	open	—	04-30 02:41
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$200	363	0	+363	open	—	04-29 21:50
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$200	364	0	+364	open	—	04-30 01:35
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$200	361	0	+361	open	—	04-30 02:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 08:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 12:25
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 11:51
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 21:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 05:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 21:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 13:48
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	8	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 17:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 08:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 07:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 12:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	8	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 11:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	05-01 14:10
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	7	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 14:25
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	10	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 17:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 00:14:43	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x70f661…
05-17 00:14:29	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x999434…
05-17 00:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x78bb6a…
05-17 00:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4c7edd…
05-16 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5b2593…
05-16 19:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9feaa4…
05-16 19:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x52ccc2…
05-16 18:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4db313…
05-16 18:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd30168…
05-16 18:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc18766…
05-16 18:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x37ae0c…
05-16 18:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x11dc42…
05-16 18:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xcddf27…
05-16 18:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xebbec4…
05-09 22:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xb7d2d4…
05-09 22:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x934eca…
05-09 22:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1b7cb7…
05-09 22:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe6b046…
05-09 22:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3402ee…
05-09 22:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe17b9b…
05-09 22:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9d146c…
05-09 22:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd5ca38…
05-09 22:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x41d8f0…
05-09 21:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc44757…
05-09 21:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb103db…
05-09 21:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x469e90…
05-09 21:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35aca9…
05-09 21:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcb16bd…
05-09 21:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xcd80f3…
05-09 21:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf9c68d…
05-09 21:17:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc1b547…
05-09 21:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x05a717…
05-09 21:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfc44af…
05-09 21:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8bc3c4…
05-09 21:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfbccd1…
05-09 21:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x85aea8…
05-09 21:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x86bbb6…
05-09 20:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9d48ae…
05-09 20:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c0de3…
05-09 20:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1663e5…
05-09 20:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0a97f0…
05-09 20:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5a64f8…
05-09 20:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x37d973…
05-09 20:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x973f33…
05-09 20:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x21d971…
05-09 20:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1444cb…
05-09 19:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdd223e…
05-09 19:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8e79ff…
05-09 19:52:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb79052…
05-09 19:43:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a222e…
05-09 19:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9a2aa8…
05-09 19:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb77931…
05-09 19:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x141a65…
05-09 19:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7318a0…
05-09 19:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa59a06…
05-09 19:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x200823…
05-09 18:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb66b16…
05-09 18:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xab6441…
05-09 18:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x787452…
05-09 18:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb821ab…
05-09 18:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf64eef…
05-07 14:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd63b51…
05-07 06:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe8402d…
05-06 14:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa100f5…
05-06 13:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x143adb…
05-03 22:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x06a322…
05-03 22:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc7c9f7…
05-03 22:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xb5e37b…
05-03 22:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe13147…
05-03 22:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9b8796…
05-03 21:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0xa0aa2a…
05-03 21:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb1043e…
05-03 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x66b05f…
05-03 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x08b57e…
05-03 21:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xceaa88…
05-03 21:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb38aac…
05-03 21:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe3444b…
05-03 21:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe0b083…
05-03 21:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x42368e…
05-03 20:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8bd039…
05-03 20:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2a6adb…
05-03 20:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4af3a1…
05-03 20:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1e267d…
05-03 20:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf2817d…
05-03 20:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x538fb4…
05-03 19:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc829c3…
05-03 19:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xee5df5…
05-03 19:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x489c5b…
05-03 19:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x2a96c3…
05-03 18:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x972c7e…
05-03 18:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb35b42…
05-03 18:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x822e0f…
05-03 18:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa9f02b…
05-03 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8963f2…
05-03 18:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xad1845…
05-03 17:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xaed6ff…
05-03 17:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x330d22…
05-03 17:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x75b9e6…
05-03 17:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdddd38…
05-03 17:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb9b41d…