Pungent-Timeline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

Trades

394

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-28 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

68% 67% +$73

Crypto

16% 36% -$26

Sports

15% 46% -$49

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$12

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	No		-5	-$4	96¢	$-5	-$1	04-30 23:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	3	$86	70	70	+0	Yes	+$48	03-22 21:55
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	3	$60	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	03-22 21:58
uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	3	$46	50	50	+0	Yes	+$22	03-26 21:23
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	5	$45	32	32	+0	Yes	+$15	05-18 15:28
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$45	30	30	+0	No	+$1	03-09 00:45
nothing ever happens interest rates	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 13:50
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	1	$38	50	0	+50	No	-$38	04-16 19:59
uel not por1 2026 04 16 not	2	$37	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	04-16 21:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:00 UTC	6	$37	44	21	+23	Up	-$3	03-08 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:25 UTC	5	$34	32	16	+15	Down	-$2	03-07 23:31
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$2	03-22 21:58
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$6	03-14 10:00
wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	8	$31	65	0	+65	Venezuela	+$34	03-17 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:05 UTC	4	$26	17	17	+0	Up	+$8	03-08 00:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$25	29	15	+14	No	-$3	03-14 20:06
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$23	200	0	+200	No	-$23	04-25 15:10
fif nld ecu 2026 03 31 nld	1	$19	30	0	+30	No	-$19	03-31 17:54
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-17 00:56
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-22 21:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 00:08
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	1	$18	100	0	+100	No	-$18	04-04 15:46
uef wal bih 2026 03 26 bih	2	$18	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-26 20:55
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	2	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	03-19 21:54
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$17	500	0	+500	No	-$17	05-20 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:10 UTC	3	$17	26	0	+26	Down	-$17	03-08 00:14
lal esp ovi 2026 03 09 draw	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	03-09 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 23:50 UTC	3	$16	15	6	+9	Up	-$4	03-07 23:55
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	03-26 21:34
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	5	$16	100	0	+100	No	-$16	03-19 21:58
uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	03-26 21:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 21:30:29	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb70980…
05-28 20:43:38	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x31782c…
05-20 20:04:40	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x26b1b8…
05-20 20:03:23	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x144a1b…
05-20 20:02:10	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x31f7bc…
05-18 15:28:38	Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	32	94¢	$30	0xbcad4d…
05-08 10:53:00	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	Yes	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0x5fcf09…
04-30 23:07:14	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x8345e1…
04-30 23:06:16	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x215160…
04-25 15:10:54	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$23	0x4cbaf3…
04-16 21:18:46	uel not por1 2026 04 16 not	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3c1fb2…
04-16 19:59:12	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 bet1	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x4b0c6c…
04-16 19:58:54	uel not por1 2026 04 16 not	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x1f2482…
04-04 15:46:03	lal mal rea 2026 04 04 rea	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x4f0271…
03-31 18:35:51	es2 dep cor 2026 03 31 dep	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xf5db06…
03-31 17:55:29	es2 dep cor 2026 03 31 dep	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa8755f…
03-31 17:54:59	fif alg ury 2026 03 31 ury	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x90844a…
03-31 17:54:21	fif nld ecu 2026 03 31 nld	Yes	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x4b8342…
03-31 17:53:49	fif per hnd 2026 03 31 per	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa120f0…
03-26 21:34:01	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x206ad2…
03-26 21:23:07	uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	Yes	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0xf13854…
03-26 21:20:45	uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	Yes	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xcaaa2b…
03-26 21:12:07	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xd56613…
03-26 20:57:39	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 swe	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x9c0d37…
03-26 20:55:53	uef wal bih 2026 03 26 bih	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x5c1ea3…
03-26 20:44:51	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x1a8ddc…
03-26 20:43:51	uef wal bih 2026 03 26 bih	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x6df2e9…
03-26 20:43:21	uef pol alb 2026 03 26 pol	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x9910ce…
03-26 20:42:29	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 swe	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe4e43b…
03-26 20:41:55	uef ita nir 2026 03 26 ita	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xf621f0…
03-22 21:58:29	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x654306…
03-22 21:58:23	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0xf98151…
03-22 21:55:15	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	Yes	SELL	70	95¢	$66	0xb92ba3…
03-22 21:29:49	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8c1a56…
03-22 21:10:49	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xc5a368…
03-22 21:09:59	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x4d1451…
03-22 21:09:49	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0xbc21a1…
03-22 21:04:21	lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x61e86a…
03-19 22:01:51	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xc42b90…
03-19 21:58:23	Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xda7c95…
03-19 21:54:35	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x7a9139…
03-19 21:54:11	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0ce167…
03-19 21:53:31	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x719778…
03-19 21:53:17	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x758154…
03-19 21:53:05	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x041159…
03-19 21:52:19	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by march 20	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9330b3…
03-19 21:49:29	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x2567ec…
03-19 21:49:19	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xdf1982…
03-19 21:47:47	Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xfb61a8…
03-19 21:47:47	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x788c3a…
03-19 21:47:45	Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xdc5edf…
03-19 21:47:41	Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc85b08…
03-19 21:47:41	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	118	10¢	$12	0x377ccd…
03-19 21:46:11	Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x44ebdd…
03-17 01:01:17	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x24f7f7…
03-17 01:00:53	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc8f918…
03-17 01:00:51	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x71c33e…
03-17 01:00:45	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x30e64e…
03-17 01:00:43	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xef5933…
03-17 00:57:01	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8c6019…
03-17 00:56:33	Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x927fe1…
03-17 00:25:49	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x89ec38…
03-17 00:25:47	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Venezuela	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x411f5a…
03-16 13:50:39	nothing ever happens interest rates	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x5069d0…
03-16 06:28:37	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x137940…
03-16 00:08:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x1d00ea…
03-15 23:43:57	will venezuela win the 2026 world baseball classic	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb1608b…
03-15 23:43:15	will polymarket be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xc8b7e0…
03-15 23:42:59	will middle east be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x630e8c…
03-15 23:42:27	will peace be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4218e0…
03-15 13:48:15	lal bet cel 2026 03 15 bet	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7a51d2…
03-15 13:47:35	epl liv tot 2026 03 15 btts	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x8d3197…
03-15 13:44:11	epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x634184…
03-14 21:21:55	lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xc33aac…
03-14 20:06:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc44a5e…
03-14 19:56:29	lal rea elc 2026 03 14 rea	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6a797d…
03-14 10:00:01	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xfc5a06…
03-10 23:46:13	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	1,240	0¢	$1	0x2848be…
03-10 21:35:55	Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5fbe47…
03-10 21:35:13	Will Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x86d2f4…
03-10 19:34:57	spx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x334a56…
03-10 19:23:59	spx up or down on march 10 2026	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x22a455…
03-10 19:07:01	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x176b53…
03-10 12:20:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x99ec83…
03-10 12:20:25	Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x88b526…
03-10 12:18:19	Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x4610c2…
03-10 12:17:55	Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x45df0c…
03-10 12:17:53	Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xf67d22…
03-10 12:13:39	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x163e7b…
03-10 06:29:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0xf47fbe…
03-09 22:29:47	will trump say iran 5 times during monday press conference	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x04495b…
03-09 22:01:49	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xcfa547…
03-09 21:59:01	nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	Kings	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7efebe…
03-09 21:55:05	lal esp ovi 2026 03 09 draw	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf6f37a…
03-09 21:45:17	lal esp ovi 2026 03 09 draw	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb0b585…
03-09 20:29:19	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x980b71…
03-09 19:28:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x2dc697…
03-09 19:28:29	Will Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7a2e97…
03-09 19:24:01	will trump say iran 5 times during monday press conference	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x17e96f…
03-09 12:16:55	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xf54132…