Several-Toothpaste — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$54

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-09 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

49% — —

Other

40% — —

Sports

11% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+66	$50	78¢	$51	+$1	06-09 18:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	+88	$3	2¢	$2	$-0	06-01 21:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	+15	$1	7¢	$1	+$0	06-02 14:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alberta join the US?	19	$490	407	407	+0	open	—	06-07 03:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	11	$251	198	197	+1	open	—	06-07 13:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$215	273	273	+0	open	—	06-05 00:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	16	$177	243	228	+15	open	—	06-07 22:21
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	5	$169	115	115	+0	open	—	05-23 19:18
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	5	$169	86	229	-143	open	—	05-26 23:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	7	$160	152	152	+0	open	—	06-02 03:48
Netanyahu out by April 30?	11	$160	165	165	+0	open	—	04-08 04:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	3	$159	142	142	+0	open	—	05-29 05:01
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	3	$158	81	81	+0	open	—	06-01 01:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$156	173	173	+0	open	—	06-08 19:26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$155	80	80	+0	open	—	05-30 09:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$142	121	121	+0	open	—	05-28 20:06
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	04-13 17:45
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	9	$130	106	106	+0	open	—	05-17 17:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	8	$130	102	102	+0	open	—	04-22 14:58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	4	$115	74	74	+0	open	—	06-05 19:28
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	5	$110	79	79	+0	open	—	05-26 09:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	4	$106	141	53	+88	open	—	06-01 21:16
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	8	$97	205	205	+0	open	—	03-21 19:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$95	69	69	+0	open	—	05-23 23:18
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$89	62	62	+0	open	—	05-28 08:34
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$88	46	46	+0	open	—	03-23 00:55
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$88	80	80	+0	No	+$0	04-24 21:29
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$88	45	45	+0	open	—	03-27 19:23
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	03-21 12:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$78	79	79	+0	open	—	05-24 04:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$78	40	40	+0	open	—	05-19 04:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	05-21 10:57
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	04-11 03:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 03:08:42	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	142	11¢	$16	0xf505db…
06-09 18:27:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xe0cb5c…
06-09 03:22:01	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$4	0xf13915…
06-09 00:26:21	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$4	0x3dcaee…
06-08 19:26:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	149	46¢	$69	0xabc731…
06-08 19:26:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0x09b847…
06-08 17:07:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	173	44¢	$76	0x862660…
06-07 22:21:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x56e4d2…
06-07 22:21:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x418acd…
06-07 22:21:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x012375…
06-07 17:57:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xe8112c…
06-07 17:57:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xb54be6…
06-07 17:57:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x4dec17…
06-07 13:20:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	64	70¢	$45	0x838615…
06-07 13:20:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0xbfdc1a…
06-07 13:20:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xff613a…
06-07 13:20:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xbc8d31…
06-07 13:20:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x35fe38…
06-07 13:20:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x7fc746…
06-07 13:20:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0x1e1029…
06-07 10:56:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0x611b8a…
06-07 03:05:39	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x803716…
06-07 03:05:39	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x2bfd9f…
06-07 03:05:37	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x5afdd7…
06-06 23:36:03	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0x7ff65a…
06-06 11:32:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$2	0xafefb4…
06-06 11:30:57	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$2	0xc40938…
06-06 08:44:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xfe3029…
06-06 08:44:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0xb71c96…
06-06 08:44:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0xa6b246…
06-06 08:44:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x5f8ccb…
06-06 08:44:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0x36da32…
06-06 05:06:52	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	158	5¢	$7	0x6f85f3…
06-05 19:28:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	41	78¢	$32	0xd4ada6…
06-05 19:28:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x85ea6c…
06-05 14:52:30	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa935dc…
06-05 14:52:30	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	73	78¢	$57	0xa7dd09…
06-05 05:14:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0xdcaa5f…
06-05 05:14:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x30e880…
06-05 05:14:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x06f788…
06-05 02:28:33	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0x53cf6e…
06-05 00:23:48	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	163	19¢	$31	0x4f2547…
06-04 21:22:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	163	19¢	$31	0x4ffbbf…
06-02 14:30:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x8e9107…
06-02 14:30:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xa1a7bc…
06-02 14:28:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x712af1…
06-02 14:27:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe5f170…
06-02 14:24:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2a64c8…
06-02 14:24:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$1	0x217e79…
06-02 14:23:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xdfd736…
06-02 14:22:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	6¢	$4	0x3841c0…
06-02 14:22:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	6¢	$2	0x0d0482…
06-02 10:14:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xe88fbc…
06-02 03:48:42	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	71	53¢	$37	0xa319cc…
06-02 03:48:42	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	64	53¢	$34	0x9314bd…
06-02 03:48:40	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xc9b93b…
06-02 02:10:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xcaf2b7…
06-02 02:10:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x5be353…
06-02 02:10:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x4a1c85…
06-02 02:10:14	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	87	52¢	$45	0x1bb9c4…
06-01 21:16:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xc525c1…
06-01 17:41:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	46	97¢	$45	0x7a500a…
06-01 17:41:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x19197f…
06-01 13:10:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0xb87165…
06-01 01:23:13	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$68	0xcf2b26…
06-01 01:22:28	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xc09527…
06-01 01:20:59	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xaa5c7d…
05-31 12:28:54	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xbec261…
05-31 12:28:54	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x4c8e74…
05-31 12:28:54	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x498751…
05-31 07:59:16	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xf1e188…
05-31 07:59:16	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x6bcf41…
05-30 09:04:26	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x8b88d0…
05-30 09:04:26	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x890329…
05-30 06:26:54	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x16ee8b…
05-30 06:26:54	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	73	97¢	$71	0x10428b…
05-29 19:07:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x1f2c40…
05-29 19:07:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0x2f9a89…
05-29 14:25:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0xa4e00d…
05-29 05:01:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	142	56¢	$80	0x8f5481…
05-29 00:55:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	83	56¢	$46	0xbe713c…
05-29 00:55:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	56¢	$33	0x6df898…
05-28 20:06:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	77	58¢	$45	0xe0719e…
05-28 20:06:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x9aafa0…
05-28 20:06:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	32	58¢	$19	0x490960…
05-28 20:06:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x33fe0c…
05-28 18:45:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	121	59¢	$71	0x83cbf3…
05-28 17:17:08	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	51	76¢	$39	0x2d66d5…
05-28 15:50:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	59	73¢	$43	0x8e9e95…
05-28 11:36:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	110	66¢	$72	0x634ac6…
05-28 08:34:11	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0x9b02c2…
05-28 06:29:14	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	30	72¢	$22	0x3aabeb…
05-28 05:03:41	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0xc59211…
05-26 23:34:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	19¢	$8	0xffac73…
05-26 23:34:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x7e95b2…
05-26 09:44:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xdfb92b…
05-26 09:44:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0xd53c77…
05-26 09:44:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	71¢	$33	0x59f776…
05-26 04:58:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0xc8c987…
05-26 04:58:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x78f66c…