Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$824

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$128.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$412

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 10-03 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

91% 76% -$588

Politics

9% 27% -$236

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Fed rate hike in 2026?	11	$25.4K	16,178	16,178	+0	Yes	+$5,371	09-15 21:48
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?	1	$25.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	+$25	07-18 03:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	14	$23.4K	9,936	19,061	-9,125	Yes	-$8,856	09-16 07:09
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	7	$7.0K	6,221	6,221	+0	Yes	+$574	08-29 03:57
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?	16	$6.1K	6,175	0	+6,175	Yes	+$60	08-31 16:49
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	5	$5.3K	7,997	7,997	+0	open	—	08-18 13:45
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	25	$4.0K	7,945	2,951	+4,994	Yes	+$2,890	09-28 11:45
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	6	$3.9K	3,871	0	+3,871	Yes	+$8	08-04 01:57
Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	6	$3.5K	7,573	7,573	+0	Yes	-$313	08-16 16:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	26	$3.4K	0	28,875	-28,875	No	+$3,366	09-16 04:10
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	2	$3.0K	21,111	0	+21,111	No	-$2,956	09-11 04:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$2.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	08-11 16:29
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	2	$2.3K	3,090	0	+3,090	Yes	+$768	09-11 01:48
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	2	$2.3K	8,342	8,342	+0	open	—	10-03 04:19
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	5	$2.2K	4,065	0	+4,065	No	-$2,159	09-07 18:31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	32	$2.0K	2,107	2,107	+0	Yes	+$446	09-10 18:14
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?	17	$1.6K	3,392	3,392	+0	Yes	+$11	08-13 09:57
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	4	$1.4K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	08-18 13:45
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	12	$933	5,355	5,355	-0	No	-$78	08-13 09:58
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$561	5,085	5,085	+0	No	-$253	09-01 12:25
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	3	$368	920	920	+0	No	-$35	08-04 06:36
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m?	1	$278	331	0	+331	No	+$53	09-08 16:48
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$242	2,276	2,276	+0	Yes	-$214	09-21 07:47
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?	3	$184	411	411	+0	No	-$13	08-16 16:13
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$183	300	300	+0	No	+$15	09-09 13:32
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$163	0	28,875	-28,875	No	+$163	09-16 07:27
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 52m?	1	$139	139	0	+139	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:06
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m?	1	$136	136	0	+136	No	+$0	07-20 19:18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$135	0	28,875	-28,875	No	+$135	09-16 06:29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$125	0	25,000	-25,000	No	+$125	07-27 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 04:19:57	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8,342	13¢	$1,084	0x14a7cc…
10-03 04:19:35	Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8,342	14¢	$1,168	0x875d7d…
09-28 11:45:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	443	100¢	$442	0x6d11b2…
09-28 11:45:38	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xab4c26…
09-21 07:47:06	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2,276	1¢	$14	0xc7ba65…
09-19 20:25:53	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	1,465	10¢	$147	0xd3e303…
09-19 10:37:37	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	810	10¢	$81	0xdec638…
09-16 07:27:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19,000	1¢	$133	0xf7e01f…
09-16 07:09:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	17,458	88¢	$15,363	0x4fa9fa…
09-16 07:08:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xdb5c0e…
09-16 07:07:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	790	88¢	$695	0x317b1a…
09-16 07:06:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	188	88¢	$165	0xe04f07…
09-16 07:04:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xf8de9b…
09-16 07:04:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xe3ba81…
09-16 07:03:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0xfbf4f6…
09-16 07:00:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	468	88¢	$412	0x5a54bc…
09-16 06:29:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19,000	0¢	$19	0xe1129c…
09-16 04:10:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x9cafba…
09-16 04:04:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,220	12¢	$146	0x38ce57…
09-16 04:03:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x529b31…
09-16 04:03:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,415	12¢	$170	0xf12986…
09-16 04:03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0xbbe1a7…
09-16 04:03:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	833	12¢	$100	0x3e3f1d…
09-16 04:02:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	417	12¢	$50	0x039152…
09-16 04:02:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x189d70…
09-16 04:02:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x3e38bc…
09-16 04:01:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	125	12¢	$15	0x924d34…
09-16 04:01:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x2648f3…
09-16 04:00:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	239	12¢	$29	0xd0a5f5…
09-16 03:59:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x0d979c…
09-16 03:59:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xc8ef02…
09-16 03:59:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	417	12¢	$50	0xf33a50…
09-16 03:59:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	12¢	$5	0x0fe5c0…
09-16 03:59:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x6c513f…
09-16 03:59:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	417	12¢	$50	0x2176c9…
09-16 03:58:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x18bebc…
09-16 03:58:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,939	12¢	$473	0x979ed6…
09-16 03:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	208	12¢	$25	0xa84e34…
09-16 03:58:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	333	12¢	$40	0xc25ee7…
09-16 03:57:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0x6ee1f5…
09-16 03:57:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	12¢	$10	0xbe799f…
09-16 03:57:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8,658	12¢	$1,039	0x640f66…
09-16 00:14:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9,875	11¢	$1,086	0x0337b9…
09-15 21:48:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16,167	95¢	$15,359	0x0bbc07…
09-11 04:03:36	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	88	14¢	$12	0x95d2e9…
09-11 04:02:55	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	Yes	BUY	21,023	14¢	$2,943	0x6c840f…
09-11 01:48:12	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	Yes	BUY	3,000	75¢	$2,250	0x0dc52f…
09-11 00:33:19	Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m?	Yes	BUY	90	80¢	$72	0xfb2bf2…
09-10 18:14:49	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	257	58¢	$149	0x6c9150…
09-10 18:03:58	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xa885c2…
09-10 18:03:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x2c5469…
09-10 18:03:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0xb39dc5…
09-10 17:17:16	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	807	59¢	$476	0x704a4d…
09-10 16:59:30	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0x36356a…
09-10 16:49:36	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	339	59¢	$200	0x4ef2be…
09-10 16:49:18	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	270	59¢	$159	0xc5fef1…
09-10 16:49:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	270	59¢	$159	0x98aa24…
09-10 16:49:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x586a0d…
09-10 16:25:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x14a62b…
09-10 16:21:04	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xb20fc1…
09-10 16:18:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x72fd33…
09-10 16:05:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x2d76d3…
09-10 15:48:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x3b70d3…
09-10 15:30:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	35	59¢	$21	0x6f5cfd…
09-10 15:27:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xb73434…
09-10 15:27:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x122a5a…
09-10 15:27:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x0748a2…
09-10 15:24:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x3c294f…
09-10 15:24:42	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x11adbb…
09-09 22:01:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0xf50af3…
09-09 22:01:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0xab35a4…
09-09 22:01:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe50658…
09-09 22:00:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x831a35…
09-09 22:00:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x335700…
09-09 22:00:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x8f02bf…
09-09 22:00:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	1,372	40¢	$549	0x756266…
09-09 22:00:55	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0x4dba8b…
09-09 22:00:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	241	40¢	$97	0x89c53e…
09-09 21:47:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x115385…
09-09 21:45:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	429	27¢	$116	0x3392e7…
09-09 13:32:55	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0xfb58bd…
09-08 16:48:43	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m?	No	BUY	331	84¢	$278	0x487b86…
09-07 18:31:30	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	490	43¢	$210	0x23aef1…
09-07 17:38:04	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	230	42¢	$96	0x3a2818…
09-07 17:37:51	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	153	40¢	$61	0xf9bae7…
09-07 17:36:51	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	763	42¢	$318	0xbc1f62…
09-07 08:08:45	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	663	37¢	$245	0x42ce0c…
09-07 08:05:48	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	130	38¢	$49	0x0ce67c…
09-07 00:43:01	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,430	61¢	$1,474	0x1cae8b…
09-07 00:43:00	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x48d259…
09-05 01:00:45	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xfa27e0…
09-05 00:54:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xc122f0…
09-05 00:54:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x64f17e…
09-05 00:54:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x2a5845…
09-05 00:54:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x0cfeb8…
09-05 00:54:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x7e0445…
09-05 00:54:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x6cd9b4…
09-05 00:54:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x51d0aa…
09-05 00:54:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x02f5f0…
09-05 00:54:10	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	750	31¢	$232	0x283f8d…