Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

179

Trades

1,046

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-22

last 10-30 03:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 44% -$81

Politics

22% 85% -$1

Other

18% 67% -$6

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 398 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+10	$8	84¢	$8	+$0	10-26 21:00
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+10	$2	24¢	$2	$0	10-30 03:29
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	24¢	$1	$0	10-19 02:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	35	$143	150	150	+0	open	—	10-25 17:08
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	11	$97	90	90	+0	open	—	09-07 04:28
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	16	$89	70	70	+0	open	—	10-25 19:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	27	$89	100	100	+0	open	—	10-23 19:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	17	$81	80	80	+0	open	—	09-23 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 06:15 UTC	6	$72	116	56	+60	Up	-$7	08-23 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	8	$62	81	27	+54	Up	$0	08-23 08:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	12	$55	60	60	+0	Yes	+$1	09-18 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?	4	$55	60	60	+0	Up	-$6	08-23 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	9	$54	57	57	+0	Up	-$1	08-23 08:03
ethereum up or down on august 23 2026	4	$52	60	60	+0	Up	-$1	08-23 08:26
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 16:30 UTC	28	$46	30	30	+0	Up	+$14	08-22 16:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	13	$43	50	50	+0	open	—	10-06 20:48
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	9	$43	50	50	+0	No	+$1	09-03 14:22
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	8	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	10-27 03:32
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	6	$36	30	30	+0	No	+$0	09-02 12:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 17:15 UTC	9	$35	70	19	+51	Down	-$9	08-22 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	13	$35	50	50	+0	Down	-$9	08-23 06:56
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 06:15 UTC	2	$34	26	26	+0	Up	-$1	08-23 06:16
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	6	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	09-04 10:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 06:15 UTC	5	$32	26	26	+0	Down	-$1	08-23 06:16
BNB Up or Down - August 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	6	$32	66	0	+66	Up	+$1	08-23 09:11
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-24 10:49
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	09-13 00:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 15:45 UTC	8	$30	60	0	+60	Down	+$0	08-22 15:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 15:00 UTC	9	$30	60	0	+60	Down	+$0	08-22 15:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 15:15 UTC	3	$30	60	0	+60	Up	+$0	08-22 15:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 14:45 UTC	7	$29	60	0	+60	Up	+$1	08-22 14:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 14:30 UTC	6	$29	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	08-22 14:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 15:45 UTC	8	$29	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	08-22 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:29:28	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xdc973e…
10-29 23:41:30	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xa09409…
10-29 16:29:13	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x061b22…
10-28 22:33:10	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5960c3…
10-28 21:51:28	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xcfb4a5…
10-28 21:03:41	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xa78b8e…
10-28 10:39:35	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x5784a5…
10-28 07:55:02	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xdc07b5…
10-28 03:32:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xfcab6d…
10-28 03:32:19	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfcab6d…
10-28 01:28:33	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x38b8f9…
10-27 04:57:42	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xee4bc0…
10-27 03:32:18	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xe295f8…
10-27 03:31:41	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xafd646…
10-27 01:33:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x688668…
10-27 01:32:17	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x7ce3e1…
10-26 21:00:33	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x1b1cb7…
10-26 17:56:50	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x0520e3…
10-26 17:50:14	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x37892a…
10-26 10:22:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xe63a41…
10-26 09:13:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xa88431…
10-26 00:03:47	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xad800b…
10-25 19:29:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x295df0…
10-25 18:10:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xe2173d…
10-25 18:10:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x83da18…
10-25 17:25:21	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x29e09a…
10-25 17:08:50	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xfcdf5a…
10-25 17:06:51	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x0d0b73…
10-25 15:33:35	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc73293…
10-25 15:16:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0xf3c52f…
10-25 15:16:38	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xeb98e2…
10-25 13:49:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x76520b…
10-25 13:26:09	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x2f90cf…
10-25 13:16:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x46f992…
10-25 13:16:53	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x9c7e2b…
10-25 12:56:56	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6f1eed…
10-25 12:56:54	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x55cd1b…
10-25 10:46:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x2a83bc…
10-25 10:46:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x2a83bc…
10-25 10:23:48	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x37fe63…
10-25 10:13:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xa50b1f…
10-25 06:03:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x60c927…
10-24 20:57:42	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x7bbc1c…
10-24 20:57:06	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xa4fc51…
10-24 19:43:41	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x778606…
10-24 15:32:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x4f2c93…
10-24 14:56:11	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xb0bbb9…
10-24 12:50:59	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x82e5ca…
10-24 06:55:08	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x029a62…
10-24 04:01:44	Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9c4eda…
10-23 21:12:36	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x9a5780…
10-23 19:07:08	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x06cbcf…
10-23 18:49:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5676e6…
10-23 16:14:21	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x1d22f2…
10-23 15:36:53	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xae056a…
10-23 15:23:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xaf4ccf…
10-23 15:23:05	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xaf4ccf…
10-23 15:22:32	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xf091b2…
10-23 15:22:12	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x7a807e…
10-23 14:37:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x1d88f9…
10-23 14:34:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x92ec17…
10-23 14:34:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x92ec17…
10-23 14:16:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x583880…
10-23 14:03:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x7ba431…
10-23 14:02:23	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x3d6525…
10-23 13:34:17	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x9293b7…
10-23 09:24:14	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x115da0…
10-23 09:24:12	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x2e4390…
10-23 09:23:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd634f7…
10-22 20:29:27	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xaff3cc…
10-21 14:31:57	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xc45c09…
10-21 09:01:15	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xc8bced…
10-20 14:48:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xcf307d…
10-20 12:22:27	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x3ff83a…
10-20 08:29:46	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xfcd0e4…
10-20 08:23:23	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x46c800…
10-20 07:30:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x0bd29c…
10-20 06:59:56	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x8f9eed…
10-19 15:04:24	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x185ef9…
10-19 14:13:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc4f4df…
10-19 11:07:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xc196ff…
10-19 11:00:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x7abed5…
10-19 02:58:51	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xd99b90…
10-18 22:01:50	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x1f21f8…
10-18 21:02:53	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x50ce1d…
10-18 12:03:51	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0c2bc3…
10-17 03:34:17	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x3322d5…
10-16 20:35:33	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xd561df…
10-16 20:27:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x05155a…
10-16 09:14:15	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xe04429…
10-16 08:40:55	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xb1de91…
10-16 08:40:55	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb1de91…
10-16 06:38:48	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x5db8ba…
10-16 05:58:57	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xa670f9…
10-16 05:58:39	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x5d64ea…
10-16 02:49:55	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x0722cf…
10-15 16:35:17	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xf67742…
10-15 11:34:40	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x5b63e1…
10-15 10:18:10	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xb66123…
10-15 07:00:08	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xc3306d…