Realized P&L
-$5.69K
Unrealized P&L
-$7.23K
Hit rate
35.0%
Resolved
737
Trades
10,510
lifetime
Volume
$3.28M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$312
Open exposure
$1.35M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 19:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Politics
57% 67% -$18
Other
34% 58% -$6,505
Sports
9% 95% +$832
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +297,402 $204,316 64¢ $191.8K -$12,492 11-01 21:35
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +236,431 $167,113 74¢ $173.8K +$6,664 11-03 08:34
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +120,282 $111,644 94¢ $113.7K +$2,023 11-02 19:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +295,809 $97,247 36¢ $105.0K +$7,765 11-01 21:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +115,271 $86,092 78¢ $89.3K +$3,244 11-02 07:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +103,525 $72,675 76¢ $79.2K +$6,522 11-03 17:23
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +245,144 $74,935 26¢ $65.0K -$9,972 11-03 08:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +68,427 $63,332 94¢ $64.7K +$1,332 11-02 20:55
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +75,362 $52,357 74¢ $56.1K +$3,788 11-02 02:58
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +54,586 $48,614 94¢ $51.6K +$2,970 11-02 02:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +52,326 $50,609 98¢ $51.2K +$619 10-25 03:43
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +37,916 $31,374 87¢ $33.1K +$1,709 10-25 19:53
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +34,362 $30,610 82¢ $28.2K -$2,433 10-23 22:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +106,559 $27,806 22¢ $24.0K -$3,830 11-02 07:00
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +23,510 $23,251 99¢ $23.2K -$82 10-31 12:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +35,317 $23,405 62¢ $22.0K -$1,368 11-01 22:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +86,342 $25,867 26¢ $22.0K -$3,850 11-03 16:45
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +16,110 $15,932 99¢ $15.9K +$8 10-31 14:36
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +17,503 $15,047 86¢ $15.0K -$73 11-01 20:37
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +27,195 $11,694 52¢ $14.0K +$2,312 11-01 03:56
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +14,284 $12,218 94¢ $13.4K +$1,138 10-23 11:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +35,317 $12,153 38¢ $13.3K +$1,126 11-01 22:22
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +27,195 $15,850 48¢ $13.2K -$2,660 11-01 03:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +55,293 $15,744 24¢ $13.0K -$2,751 11-03 00:44
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +16,110 $12,083 76¢ $12.3K +$242 11-03 19:58
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +48,232 $15,570 24¢ $11.3K -$4,236 11-03 17:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11,159 $10,727 97¢ $10.8K +$80 10-25 18:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +176,997 $14,488 6¢ $9.7K -$4,753 11-02 20:55
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +11,732 $9,014 76¢ $9.0K -$39 10-31 13:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +8,713 $8,552 96¢ $8.3K -$231 11-01 19:20