Realized P&L
-$4.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.31K
Hit rate
37.9%
Resolved
732
Trades
10,474
lifetime
Volume
$2.95M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$281
Open exposure
$1.18M
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 06:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Politics
54% 70% -$18
Other
38% 59% -$5,946
Sports
8% 95% +$1,345
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +297,402 $204,316 64¢ $191.8K -$12,492 11-01 21:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +295,809 $97,247 36¢ $105.0K +$7,765 11-01 21:35
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +108,570 $100,415 94¢ $102.6K +$2,183 10-29 20:38
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +138,148 $93,692 72¢ $98.8K +$5,084 11-01 17:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +115,271 $86,092 78¢ $89.3K +$3,244 11-02 07:00
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +75,362 $52,357 72¢ $53.9K +$1,527 11-02 02:58
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +55,789 $51,326 94¢ $52.7K +$1,395 10-28 20:06
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +52,326 $50,609 98¢ $51.3K +$645 10-25 03:43
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +54,586 $48,614 94¢ $51.0K +$2,424 11-02 02:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +146,861 $49,116 29¢ $41.9K -$7,261 11-01 17:50
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +37,916 $31,374 99¢ $37.5K +$6,164 10-25 19:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +48,702 $32,520 74¢ $35.8K +$3,276 11-01 19:20
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +34,362 $30,610 82¢ $28.2K -$2,433 10-23 22:01
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +106,559 $27,806 22¢ $24.0K -$3,830 11-02 07:00
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +23,510 $23,251 99¢ $23.3K +$35 10-31 12:51
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +35,317 $23,405 64¢ $22.4K -$979 11-01 22:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +75,362 $23,012 28¢ $20.7K -$2,288 11-02 02:58
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +20,298 $19,100 97¢ $19.6K +$538 10-17 06:41
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? No +16,110 $15,932 99¢ $15.9K -$16 10-31 14:36
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +17,503 $15,047 84¢ $14.7K -$389 11-01 20:37
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +27,195 $15,850 52¢ $14.3K -$1,572 11-01 03:56
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +14,284 $12,218 92¢ $13.2K +$995 10-23 11:42
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +27,195 $11,694 48¢ $12.9K +$1,224 11-01 03:56
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +35,317 $12,153 36¢ $12.9K +$738 11-01 22:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11,159 $10,727 97¢ $10.8K +$80 10-25 18:48
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +11,732 $9,014 80¢ $9.3K +$313 10-31 13:36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +164,359 $13,730 6¢ $9.0K -$4,690 10-29 20:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +8,713 $8,552 94¢ $8.2K -$318 11-01 19:20
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +26,250 $7,612 26¢ $7.0K -$656 11-01 19:20
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 Yes +34,362 $5,580 18¢ $6.2K +$605 10-23 22:01