Frosty-Intervention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,066

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-02 20:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 76% +$8

Other

19% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 1 12pm et	21	$115	122	120	+2	open	—	02-01 18:08
bitcoin up or down february 2 4am et	10	$109	62	62	+0	open	—	02-02 09:48
bitcoin up or down february 4 4pm et	4	$85	43	43	+0	open	—	02-04 22:02
bitcoin up or down february 1 3pm et	14	$83	58	58	+0	open	—	02-01 20:50
btc updown 5m 1777002000	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	04-24 03:44
bitcoin up or down february 4 5pm et	4	$68	63	32	+31	open	—	02-04 22:49
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	6	$67	53	53	+0	open	—	04-24 15:44
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	2	$65	33	33	+0	open	—	04-27 20:48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$63	36	36	+0	open	—	04-27 15:13
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	32	$55	52	42	+10	open	—	05-15 20:02
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-26 04:00
btc updown 5m 1777042200	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-24 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$44	39	30	+9	Up	+$1	05-11 20:19
btc updown 5m 1777043100	2	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-24 15:09
arg def est 2026 02 02 total 4pt5	3	$43	29	14	+14	open	—	02-03 00:46
btc updown 5m 1777003500	1	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	04-24 04:09
btc updown 5m 1777003200	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-24 04:04
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$36	36	1	+35	Up	+$1	05-14 05:04
btc updown 15m 1770158700	3	$36	31	5	+26	open	—	02-03 22:58
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 580 599	7	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	01-21 13:46
btc updown 5m 1776302700	12	$35	24	23	+0	open	—	04-16 01:29
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	4	$34	35	1	+34	Up	$-0	05-14 04:48
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$34	34	0	+34	Down	+$0	05-14 04:59
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Up	+$1	05-14 04:54
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	04-25 04:39
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$33	34	0	+34	Up	+$1	05-14 04:39
bitcoin up or down february 2 8am et	6	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	02-02 14:01
btc updown 5m 1776307500	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	04-16 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	05-15 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	05-15 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2e7c61…
06-02 20:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc2ea52…
06-02 20:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x67322e…
06-02 20:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x131beb…
06-02 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9b7a2c…
06-02 16:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7f93fc…
06-02 16:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4a0525…
06-02 03:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x88244b…
06-02 03:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x635853…
06-02 03:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd22583…
06-02 03:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1e8196…
06-02 03:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf2066c…
06-02 03:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcbaea0…
06-01 03:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x4a36e9…
06-01 03:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4a62cc…
06-01 03:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x9d5460…
06-01 03:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xafe904…
06-01 03:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x23edce…
05-30 00:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb3377d…
05-29 21:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfc1514…
05-29 21:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1e89e6…
05-29 21:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4da353…
05-29 20:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x009fe1…
05-29 18:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd08856…
05-29 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xbfe4d0…
05-29 18:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf99c6f…
05-29 18:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1e8a06…
05-29 18:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x17926a…
05-29 18:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0d635b…
05-29 18:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd9fe23…
05-29 18:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf20646…
05-29 18:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x682b34…
05-29 18:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xfa55a9…
05-29 18:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e68be…
05-29 18:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x51b417…
05-29 17:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x91526e…
05-29 17:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd26083…
05-29 17:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xd6c40f…
05-29 17:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x61d711…
05-29 17:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x77b24b…
05-29 16:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xba6cc2…
05-29 16:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x70b4ed…
05-29 16:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x75f96b…
05-29 16:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5eab54…
05-29 16:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x0b19ab…
05-29 16:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x874503…
05-29 15:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xf8e140…
05-29 15:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbc3c17…
05-29 15:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x541369…
05-29 02:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x21efd5…
05-29 02:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x36227f…
05-29 01:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb0c16b…
05-29 01:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbd942b…
05-28 14:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x886bef…
05-28 14:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xc9ff29…
05-28 14:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9115d2…
05-28 01:07:21	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x780f8d…
05-27 19:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xdf0ce6…
05-27 19:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3ab35…
05-27 19:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xfe6aa9…
05-27 19:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x089910…
05-27 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6e2d6…
05-27 19:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd39bb0…
05-27 18:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x052101…
05-27 16:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xaad3a2…
05-27 16:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x300016…
05-27 03:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$2	0xa03a75…
05-27 03:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd9c66f…
05-26 18:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5838d0…
05-26 18:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x26daa4…
05-26 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x322672…
05-26 17:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x1ef98a…
05-26 17:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6469bb…
05-26 16:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xade4e7…
05-26 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x200197…
05-21 20:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x33f5f0…
05-21 20:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x79e888…
05-21 18:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x5f14d8…
05-21 18:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdda216…
05-21 18:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x001cd3…
05-21 18:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb29bbd…
05-21 18:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x830309…
05-21 18:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6228d0…
05-21 18:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x64a19c…
05-21 18:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa7a895…
05-21 18:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8c733c…
05-21 18:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xb6fa56…
05-21 17:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd20275…
05-21 17:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcd967c…
05-21 17:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1a6044…
05-21 17:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc92127…
05-21 17:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x31d476…
05-21 17:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xdc88f3…
05-21 17:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x83842d…
05-21 17:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x84a16b…
05-20 22:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa0d2bc…
05-19 14:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x77d1a4…
05-19 14:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5105b9…
05-18 20:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc5318b…
05-18 20:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa167c4…