Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$957

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$3.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 07:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

74% 25% -$484

Crypto

13% 20% -$207

Other

9% 27% -$147

Sports

3% 0% -$118

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		+200	$10	3¢	$5	-$5	10-19 18:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+22	$7	11¢	$2	-$4	05-03 21:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$478	10,000	500	+9,500	Yes	-$62	03-02 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:25 UTC	2	$259	152	150	+1	Down	+$40	03-05 15:31
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$168	99	99	+0	No	+$24	04-27 09:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$158	144	144	+0	Yes	+$128	04-08 01:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$147	10,100	100	+10,000	Yes	+$53	03-02 15:59
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$120	114	114	+0	Yes	-$80	03-04 20:49
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	1	$100	204	0	+204	Yes	+$104	01-08 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:30 UTC	1	$100	196	0	+196	Up	-$100	03-05 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 00:50 UTC	1	$100	147	0	+147	Up	-$100	03-06 00:51
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$88	100	0	+100	No	-$88	03-09 11:52
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$85	1,102	0	+1,102	No	-$85	04-11 12:23
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$83	100	100	+0	No	+$11	03-07 20:53
will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	2	$74	64	64	+0	Yes	+$54	03-07 20:54
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$68	100	100	+0	No	-$32	03-22 08:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$68	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$68	01-21 07:16
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$65	267	0	+267	No	-$65	01-21 07:17
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$64	105	0	+105	Yes	+$42	01-08 18:44
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$55	117	117	+0	No	-$45	03-12 22:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$55	71	71	+0	open	—	10-28 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$53	35	35	+0	No	+$7	05-05 06:38
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$51	150	0	+150	Yes	+$99	02-18 18:42
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$51	125	125	+0	No	-$49	04-29 06:53
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	2	$51	100	100	+0	No	-$49	04-01 11:31
Iran leadership change by October 31?	1	$50	2,552	0	+2,552	No	-$50	10-19 18:05
Iran leadership change by March 13?	1	$50	556	0	+556	No	-$50	03-10 13:14
iran leadership change by march 31	1	$50	192	0	+192	No	-$50	03-10 13:14
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$49	100	100	+0	No	-$17	03-04 08:59
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$44	100	0	+100	No	-$44	03-05 15:05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$43	14,433	0	+14,433	Yes	-$43	03-12 22:16
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$43	147	147	+0	No	-$7	01-12 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:32:38	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	71	49¢	$35	0x013d48…
10-19 18:08:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xccad0e…
10-19 18:07:56	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x72b76d…
10-19 18:07:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x281390…
10-19 18:07:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x2578a2…
10-19 18:05:53	Iran leadership change by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,552	2¢	$50	0x8a6350…
06-01 12:01:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x9100d5…
05-30 21:30:52	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0x860f9b…
05-24 08:04:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	82¢	$27	0xa733ae…
05-22 22:19:20	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x2dcc01…
05-13 21:40:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	48	27¢	$13	0xa530f6…
05-13 21:39:59	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x499e39…
05-05 06:39:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x74e59a…
05-05 06:39:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xaa8a9b…
05-05 06:38:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	35	84¢	$30	0xc3dd78…
05-03 21:13:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xef3846…
05-03 21:11:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xf872f0…
05-03 06:38:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	86	14¢	$12	0x4ca5c2…
04-29 10:09:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x21d5bb…
04-29 06:53:42	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$1	0x86d795…
04-27 09:03:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	99	97¢	$96	0xb45680…
04-15 21:21:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	99	73¢	$72	0x7cc9cf…
04-11 12:23:41	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	1,001	7¢	$71	0x8fe219…
04-08 01:04:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x3e2567…
04-07 20:00:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	144	10¢	$15	0x5a3f01…
04-01 11:31:33	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x11aa6f…
03-22 08:15:49	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x30b72c…
03-18 22:00:05	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2861d0…
03-18 19:58:27	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 ata1	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xa4e7a4…
03-18 19:57:53	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xea6f96…
03-12 22:16:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xf0b807…
03-12 22:13:47	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x19a2f8…
03-12 22:13:03	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	117	4¢	$5	0x0f0a76…
03-12 22:12:49	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	SELL	123	10¢	$13	0x37af7f…
03-12 22:12:07	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	159	2¢	$3	0x5ab41f…
03-12 22:11:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc2f5c4…
03-11 23:35:05	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x059466…
03-11 23:34:51	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	101	14¢	$14	0x8f3b1b…
03-11 23:34:35	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x78d32a…
03-11 11:39:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0xa9ab4f…
03-11 11:39:19	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x2c441b…
03-10 13:14:43	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x0f3f6a…
03-10 13:14:33	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x7ee47c…
03-10 13:14:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0xae1fcd…
03-09 11:52:17	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xa45da7…
03-08 21:37:37	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x9ddf06…
03-08 21:33:01	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	42	64¢	$27	0x660917…
03-08 12:43:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xdfe715…
03-07 23:36:09	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x8b2f32…
03-07 20:54:19	will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xf3d318…
03-07 20:53:31	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0xf6321d…
03-07 18:55:37	will israel strike gaza on march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xf64b01…
03-06 00:57:49	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 cel	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x5ef3a4…
03-06 00:57:07	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 draw	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x4de39c…
03-06 00:51:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x74429f…
03-06 00:46:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x0ce81c…
03-05 15:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:25 UTC	Down	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x9d071e…
03-05 15:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x465b29…
03-05 15:26:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	152	73¢	$111	0x8b061c…
03-05 15:12:11	will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x636e2d…
03-05 15:11:35	will israel strike gaza on march 7 2026	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x908ae0…
03-05 15:11:29	will israel strike gaza on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf40ffe…
03-05 15:05:07	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x41dc2f…
03-05 09:58:09	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5dca48…
03-05 09:57:31	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x0c05fd…
03-05 09:53:15	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xe2220c…
03-04 20:49:13	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	114	18¢	$20	0xc8afad…
03-04 11:52:19	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x11f34d…
03-04 09:00:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xf32289…
03-04 09:00:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x6c5051…
03-04 08:59:25	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x83b626…
03-04 08:59:23	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xc3add7…
03-03 14:50:03	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x51c24e…
03-03 14:45:21	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0xb2391d…
03-02 22:01:09	lal rea get 2026 03 02 draw	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6e0f2b…
03-02 20:37:53	lal rea get 2026 03 02 draw	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x595715…
03-02 20:37:35	lal rea get 2026 03 02 get	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x618a4f…
03-02 15:59:43	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x786512…
03-02 15:59:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xbf5dc0…
03-02 15:59:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xd17b15…
03-02 15:54:37	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xe1f252…
03-02 15:05:11	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	BUY	123	16¢	$20	0xef4fe6…
03-02 14:30:51	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0x9a994c…
03-01 20:57:33	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xb3ef3f…
03-01 20:55:37	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xea97d2…
03-01 20:54:55	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xb4d9f6…
03-01 20:54:37	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x2c4d1a…
02-28 21:04:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	500	92¢	$458	0xd51275…
02-23 20:36:06	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$2	0xd9fa99…
02-19 18:40:22	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0x249528…
02-19 18:33:30	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x0e8095…
02-18 18:44:24	us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	Yes	BUY	164	6¢	$10	0x406422…
02-18 18:43:40	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	204	6¢	$12	0x462d65…
02-18 18:42:36	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0xe56ad2…
02-08 21:10:03	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	Yes	BUY	777	1¢	$5	0xe82825…
01-25 07:30:00	israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	Yes	SELL	588	0¢	$1	0x26f2c3…
01-22 05:57:52	will the us next strike iran on january 22 2026 et 837	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0x77dd86…
01-22 05:57:22	will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	Yes	SELL	1,654	0¢	$2	0x83ea5b…
01-21 22:05:10	will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$3	0xf1cbbd…
01-21 07:21:50	will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	Yes	BUY	332	3¢	$10	0xd6e8db…