Realized P&L
+$67
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
12
Trades
470
lifetime
Volume
$2.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$93
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-01 14:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
38% 50% +$61
Other
37% 25% +$6
Crypto
23%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +42 $35 100¢ $42 +$7 06-25 15:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -39 $-32 70¢ $-28 +$4 06-24 15:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -474 $-9 $-9 +$1 06-07 14:40
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -7 $-7 96¢ $-7 +$0 06-24 12:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +14 $7 30¢ $4 $-3 06-26 21:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -10 $-4 38¢ $-4 +$1 06-15 18:24