Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$249

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

696

lifetime

Volume

$1.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-01 06:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-249

Politics

37% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes		-10	$-1	8¢	$-1	+$0	06-01 06:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	432	$568	111,622	0	+111,622	open	—	03-04 09:15
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	19	$437	53,690	0	+53,690	open	—	03-18 17:26
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	47	$215	22,347	0	+22,347	No	$-215	04-28 08:07
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$140	7,198	0	+7,198	open	—	01-27 03:16
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	9	$80	21,275	4	+21,270	open	—	01-30 12:13
march fed derivative 25bps cut flips pause by feb 28	9	$63	890	0	+890	open	—	02-18 01:23
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by february 6 2026 681	13	$31	3,097	0	+3,097	open	—	01-30 11:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$21	2,500	625	+1,875	open	—	04-19 02:08
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	7	$20	3,717	0	+3,717	No	$-20	04-25 04:41
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$14	244	0	+244	Yes	$-14	04-20 02:52
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$12	603	301	+301	open	—	01-31 10:09
btc updown 5m 1775777400	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 23:34
btc updown 5m 1775789400	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-10 02:54
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 14:16
will the us lose between 100k and 150k jobs in march	4	$6	77	0	+77	open	—	04-03 12:28
will the us lose more than 150k jobs in march	4	$6	70	0	+70	open	—	04-03 12:28
btc updown 5m 1775755800	6	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-09 17:33
btc updown 5m 1775711400	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	04-09 05:15
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	01-26 09:59
btc updown 5m 1775786700	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-10 02:08
btc updown 5m 1775778300	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-09 23:49
btc updown 5m 1775787300	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 02:19
btc updown 5m 1775756700	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-09 17:49
btc updown 5m 1775789100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 02:49
btc updown 5m 1775798400	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 05:23
btc updown 5m 1775802900	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-10 06:38
btc updown 5m 1775792400	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 03:44
btc updown 5m 1775786100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 01:59
btc updown 5m 1775781300	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 00:38
btc updown 5m 1775790900	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-10 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 06:27:15	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xb53a20…
04-28 08:07:02	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	657	0¢	$2	0xa0d52b…
04-25 10:27:32	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3,100	0¢	$16	0x26f8b2…
04-25 09:54:36	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,093	0¢	$4	0x449bf9…
04-25 07:00:00	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	722	0¢	$2	0x2ffe0e…
04-25 04:42:38	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	335	0¢	$1	0xf84398…
04-25 04:41:54	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2,333	0¢	$7	0x36dd9b…
04-24 07:22:00	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	310	1¢	$4	0x573fe5…
04-24 06:00:42	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xe88b62…
04-23 09:09:48	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	348	1¢	$5	0xfcccd9…
04-23 05:12:34	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	728	1¢	$9	0xb7091c…
04-22 06:44:02	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	677	1¢	$9	0xd65dd0…
04-22 05:24:04	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x201fe6…
04-22 03:41:12	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x4af68c…
04-21 07:24:36	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	776	1¢	$10	0x4e2bcc…
04-21 06:28:40	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	172	1¢	$2	0x425bbd…
04-21 04:40:56	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x26a2e7…
04-21 02:19:40	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0x9b3f3b…
04-20 06:27:32	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,420	1¢	$20	0xf54e2b…
04-20 02:52:50	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x8f6492…
04-20 02:47:06	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$8	0xf84196…
04-19 02:08:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	625	0¢	$1	0x49397b…
04-18 20:50:16	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	689	1¢	$4	0xba6e70…
04-18 14:28:40	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xd34244…
04-18 14:27:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x64ae26…
04-18 08:59:08	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	936	1¢	$11	0xdfb57e…
04-18 07:58:42	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x1c7c86…
04-18 07:05:24	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x6b95a0…
04-17 14:41:46	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	232	1¢	$3	0x361d39…
04-17 14:33:56	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	238	1¢	$3	0x59fb8d…
04-17 05:38:40	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$4	0x504061…
04-17 05:37:32	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x2f0f50…
04-17 03:27:18	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	343	1¢	$4	0xdc9132…
04-17 03:27:10	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0xe85a4a…
04-17 03:26:38	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	516	1¢	$6	0x90c16b…
04-16 06:30:38	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	420	2¢	$7	0x4809fe…
04-16 04:09:22	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$3	0x2df247…
04-16 01:58:40	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,029	1¢	$14	0x491362…
04-15 07:56:56	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	389	2¢	$6	0xb68f13…
04-15 07:24:58	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	365	1¢	$5	0x7994b5…
04-14 14:47:45	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	128	2¢	$2	0x027f5e…
04-14 14:47:17	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x58a002…
04-14 13:21:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa5108c…
04-14 06:34:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xb952d8…
04-14 03:25:03	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xe2906d…
04-14 03:00:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xc95b8b…
04-14 02:44:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x159792…
04-13 03:25:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0x7e4939…
04-13 03:20:49	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,261	1¢	$13	0xf666f9…
04-13 02:34:57	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$1	0x3db00b…
04-13 02:31:55	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	599	1¢	$5	0xe8e910…
04-10 06:38:29	btc updown 5m 1775802900	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x571165…
04-10 05:23:37	btc updown 5m 1775798400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6c5d4…
04-10 05:15:09	btc updown 5m 1775797800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8f91e0…
04-10 03:44:59	btc updown 5m 1775792400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7b7149…
04-10 03:19:57	btc updown 5m 1775790900	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x05c0d6…
04-10 03:05:03	btc updown 5m 1775790000	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8ffd44…
04-10 02:54:53	btc updown 5m 1775789400	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5f9692…
04-10 02:54:19	btc updown 5m 1775789400	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x920e91…
04-10 02:49:23	btc updown 5m 1775789100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2d4215…
04-10 02:44:59	btc updown 5m 1775788800	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x85ff65…
04-10 02:19:59	btc updown 5m 1775787300	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc375e1…
04-10 02:08:17	btc updown 5m 1775786700	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x207872…
04-10 01:59:33	btc updown 5m 1775786100	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x841841…
04-10 00:38:59	btc updown 5m 1775781300	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfe9898…
04-10 00:14:09	btc updown 5m 1775779800	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x4202d6…
04-09 23:49:41	btc updown 5m 1775778300	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x616886…
04-09 23:39:31	btc updown 5m 1775777700	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe52240…
04-09 23:34:03	btc updown 5m 1775777400	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x373044…
04-09 23:33:41	btc updown 5m 1775777400	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5c5ba4…
04-09 18:59:31	btc updown 5m 1775760900	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4bfb80…
04-09 18:54:51	btc updown 5m 1775760600	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4bba0b…
04-09 18:11:31	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0x1ccab3…
04-09 18:09:31	btc updown 5m 1775757900	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x717652…
04-09 17:54:51	btc updown 5m 1775757000	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4128de…
04-09 17:49:09	btc updown 5m 1775756700	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x174d8b…
04-09 17:44:49	btc updown 5m 1775756400	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6d10e3…
04-09 17:37:53	btc updown 5m 1775756100	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a7386…
04-09 17:33:41	btc updown 5m 1775755800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x59b701…
04-09 17:33:13	btc updown 5m 1775755800	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xceca22…
04-09 17:32:39	btc updown 5m 1775755800	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe23df8…
04-09 17:32:13	btc updown 5m 1775755800	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04c39e…
04-09 17:31:55	btc updown 5m 1775755800	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbef781…
04-09 17:31:35	btc updown 5m 1775755800	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9e18b7…
04-09 17:01:59	btc updown 5m 1775754000	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2fff62…
04-09 16:18:57	btc updown 5m 1775751300	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf6178e…
04-09 16:18:19	btc updown 5m 1775751300	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf1ca96…
04-09 16:17:47	btc updown 5m 1775751300	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc555c2…
04-09 16:13:49	btc updown 5m 1775751000	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee7773…
04-09 16:13:17	btc updown 5m 1775751000	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd59715…
04-09 16:12:47	btc updown 5m 1775751000	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b1441…
04-09 16:09:03	btc updown 5m 1775750700	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3f0af…
04-09 16:03:49	btc updown 5m 1775750400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa2ab10…
04-09 16:02:31	btc updown 5m 1775750400	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x99052f…
04-09 15:59:21	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$3	0xe535c9…
04-09 15:22:47	btc updown 5m 1775748000	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xedefc0…
04-09 15:19:29	btc updown 5m 1775747700	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2bbc9c…
04-09 14:59:35	btc updown 5m 1775746500	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x645d2b…
04-09 14:48:27	btc updown 5m 1775745900	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd03629…
04-09 14:43:41	btc updown 5m 1775745600	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x80bdc5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	70	$27.9K	1,303	05-08 18:29
Instructive-Pain 0x10bc…76be	67	$8.52K	1,181	04-10 06:40
(anonymous) 0xc71f…bd62	67	$560	150	04-10 06:34
(anonymous) 0x05c1…45b7	66	$12.4K	3,152	04-10 06:40
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	66	$2.33K	631	04-10 06:37
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	65	$87.9K	2,805	04-10 06:39
(anonymous) 0x1b40…ae7e	65	$58.5K	14,301	04-10 06:39
(anonymous) 0x3c77…2104	65	$42.7K	14,582	04-10 06:40