Realized P&L
-$7.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$756
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
8,245
Trades
52,081
lifetime
Volume
$333.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$5.00K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 21:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 159 days
Categories
Crypto
66% 64% -$2,213
Other
24% 46% -$4,930
Politics
9% 54% -$718
Sports
0% 49% +$119
Tech
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,098 $840 80¢ $884 +$44 10-29 17:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +854 $450 78¢ $670 +$220 10-27 20:18
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +599 $443 71¢ $425 -$18 10-19 06:05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +625 $400 68¢ $422 +$22 10-20 17:03
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +510 $348 70¢ $354 +$6 09-24 06:45
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +427 $363 72¢ $307 -$56 10-19 13:21
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +434 $296 69¢ $299 +$3 09-22 17:03
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +411 $300 70¢ $290 -$10 10-13 03:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 No +185 $18 98¢ $181 +$163 08-05 22:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +366 $220 40¢ $146 -$75 10-26 08:52
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +150 $41 88¢ $132 +$92 09-29 18:14
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +128 -$354 92¢ $117 +$472 10-28 00:39
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +812 $133 10¢ $81 -$52 09-14 07:24
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +406 $64 20¢ $81 +$17 10-29 15:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +193 $80 36¢ $69 -$11 10-27 01:04
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +95 $51 64¢ $60 +$9 08-18 18:47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +189 $65 30¢ $58 -$7 08-24 00:01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $66 56¢ $57 -$10 10-27 21:15
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +102 $15 48¢ $48 +$33 09-17 21:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +206 $52 22¢ $44 -$7 10-11 13:52
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +47 $14 74¢ $35 +$21 09-11 21:32
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $32 68¢ $34 +$2 10-08 01:03
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +272 $33 12¢ $34 +$1 09-22 17:33
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +81 $13 37¢ $30 +$17 09-13 08:39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +30 $22 96¢ $28 +$6 10-21 21:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +75 $12 37¢ $28 +$16 09-17 20:50
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +31 $21 81¢ $25 +$4 09-01 23:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +74 $25 30¢ $22 -$3 10-07 12:29
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +40 $24 48¢ $19 -$6 10-20 14:30
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +221 $156 8¢ $18 -$139 08-16 20:02