Vital-Voting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.69K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.47K

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$128.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$363

Open exposure

$10.6K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-21 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 77% +$241

Other

33% 68% -$2,887

Politics

5% 67% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-6,629	-$5,867	98¢	$-6527	-$659	09-19 08:44
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	-2,013	-$1,929	98¢	$-1978	-$48	08-16 04:30
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,145	-$927	97¢	$-1108	-$180	05-09 16:20
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1,108	-$442	92¢	$-1025	-$583	09-21 14:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	12	$8.6K	4,422	4,422	+0	No	+$126	02-27 20:30
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	23	$8.2K	4,231	4,231	+0	No	+$42	02-18 18:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	15	$7.4K	1,000	7,629	-6,629	open	—	09-19 08:44
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$6.6K	3,627	4,735	-1,108	open	—	09-21 14:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	8	$5.1K	2,650	2,650	+0	No	+$45	02-06 16:00
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	7	$5.1K	2,573	2,573	+0	No	+$59	01-30 19:44
will bitcoin hit 150k by march 31 2026	8	$4.3K	0	4,519	-4,519	No	-$171	01-02 00:58
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	11	$4.2K	2,673	1,809	+865	No	+$131	02-18 18:29
will spain join the board of peace	13	$4.2K	2,119	2,119	+0	No	+$44	03-18 15:27
will norway join the board of peace	22	$3.9K	1,965	1,965	+0	No	+$34	04-01 06:26
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$143	05-16 12:40
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	16	$3.7K	2,588	1,221	+1,367	No	+$1	03-27 16:31
will sweden join the board of peace	10	$3.5K	1,798	1,798	-0	No	+$22	03-23 15:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$3.5K	2,140	2,140	+0	open	—	08-28 21:19
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	6	$3.4K	1,784	1,784	+0	Yes	+$125	01-24 12:36
will italy join the board of peace	15	$3.4K	1,741	1,741	+0	No	+$32	04-01 06:26
megaquake by march 31	7	$3.3K	2,002	2,002	+0	No	-$61	01-19 14:40
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	17	$3.2K	1,760	1,760	+0	No	-$34	03-27 11:18
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	25	$2.9K	1,519	1,519	+0	No	+$62	03-20 04:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	09-18 13:46
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	15	$2.6K	1,732	1,030	+702	No	+$63	03-18 19:14
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	7	$2.6K	1,380	1,380	+0	No	+$48	02-06 17:28
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	7	$2.5K	1,850	1,271	+579	No	-$297	05-16 22:46
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$2.5K	2,670	0	+2,670	Yes	-$2,510	01-02 13:05
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	2	$2.0K	0	2,230	-2,230	No	-$237	04-29 12:16
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	0	2,013	-2,013	open	—	08-16 04:30
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	9	$1.9K	1,540	650	+889	No	+$40	03-24 15:56
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	5	$1.9K	1,042	911	+131	No	+$13	02-19 19:41
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	8	$1.9K	1,019	2,000	-981	Yes	-$750	05-16 22:55
will germany join the board of peace	3	$1.8K	914	914	+0	No	+$58	04-01 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 14:36:06	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,739	75¢	$2,054	0xbb1728…
09-21 14:35:11	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	138	76¢	$105	0xd0b8ab…
09-21 14:34:44	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	131	77¢	$101	0xd6425e…
09-21 14:34:41	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	78¢	$83	0x38da57…
09-19 20:58:18	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,857	86¢	$1,597	0xe41dda…
09-19 08:44:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	97¢	$967	0x5c3aaf…
09-18 13:46:05	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,800	80¢	$1,440	0xc45186…
08-29 07:14:52	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	448	86¢	$386	0xa35b93…
08-29 03:38:39	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	333	86¢	$286	0x77a04e…
08-29 02:39:21	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	86¢	$258	0x28c158…
08-28 21:46:16	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xbaf0cc…
08-28 21:20:12	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	86¢	$45	0xb06220…
08-28 21:19:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,140	86¢	$980	0xf0cb41…
08-24 14:09:40	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	504	83¢	$418	0x35e97e…
08-22 14:45:10	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	83¢	$104	0x9827d7…
08-22 00:55:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,800	73¢	$1,314	0x091230…
08-16 04:30:36	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,738	96¢	$1,669	0x1f6e74…
08-16 01:44:12	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	174	96¢	$167	0xc146f5…
06-06 20:48:18	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x5a7dcd…
06-05 14:17:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	707	79¢	$558	0x5a3da0…
06-05 09:57:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd67401…
06-05 06:40:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	287	79¢	$227	0x974fbf…
06-04 15:43:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,000	83¢	$830	0x25da3f…
05-16 22:55:35	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	48¢	$288	0x09113b…
05-16 22:53:52	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	48¢	$90	0x54ade4…
05-16 22:53:39	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xd81b9f…
05-16 22:53:27	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	46¢	$230	0x2c6216…
05-16 22:46:39	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x750649…
05-16 22:45:43	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	88¢	$67	0xedef43…
05-16 22:45:21	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	88¢	$352	0x1b7a69…
05-16 22:45:05	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x731632…
05-16 22:44:04	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	777	88¢	$683	0x0ce4b8…
05-16 22:32:27	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	592	66¢	$391	0xeccce6…
05-16 22:22:55	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xffeacd…
05-16 12:40:41	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,454	99¢	$1,442	0x8c4bad…
05-16 11:44:15	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	546	99¢	$542	0x78f9ba…
05-15 00:38:11	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	599	79¢	$473	0x2b5616…
05-10 20:01:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	91	67¢	$61	0x31280e…
05-10 19:53:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	78¢	$780	0xc3d235…
05-10 19:53:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	91	67¢	$61	0x061603…
05-10 19:52:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	479	67¢	$321	0xbf4e22…
05-10 19:52:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xfabe3c…
05-10 19:47:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	290	68¢	$197	0x85a889…
05-09 22:22:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,680	86¢	$2,305	0x8dba5a…
05-09 21:23:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	71	86¢	$61	0xa77ff6…
05-09 16:20:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,140	80¢	$912	0xa7e73e…
05-09 16:20:05	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,145	81¢	$927	0x049377…
05-09 11:57:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	960	73¢	$701	0xbb28cc…
05-09 11:18:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	86¢	$29	0x03502e…
05-09 11:11:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0x3cc0d8…
05-09 07:58:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x48235f…
05-09 03:35:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	86¢	$115	0xd4971b…
05-08 22:27:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	508	86¢	$437	0x1a00c3…
05-06 16:41:43	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	81¢	$810	0x7f42c9…
05-06 16:26:10	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x2be09b…
05-04 10:51:28	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	113	92¢	$104	0x0711a3…
05-03 22:14:08	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x868065…
05-03 13:51:10	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x165099…
05-03 10:28:40	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	263	81¢	$213	0xeb420f…
05-03 08:53:32	Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	81¢	$57	0xae1b49…
05-02 13:39:06	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	91¢	$911	0x4d8bb1…
05-02 01:09:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	86¢	$75	0x8e8388…
05-02 01:07:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb7cf54…
05-02 01:07:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,911	86¢	$1,644	0x634334…
05-01 14:44:02	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,621	74¢	$1,200	0xe433cf…
05-01 13:39:20	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	76¢	$760	0x10bb1f…
04-30 20:20:22	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	77¢	$654	0x0c6311…
04-29 12:16:18	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,445	89¢	$1,286	0x6fca46…
04-29 11:14:40	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x066220…
04-29 11:11:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,092	85¢	$928	0x9b5070…
04-29 10:15:52	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	785	90¢	$706	0x85a1ee…
04-01 06:27:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	750	100¢	$748	0x4690e7…
04-01 06:26:27	will norway join the board of peace	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x9b3801…
04-01 06:26:17	will france join the board of peace	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x7370cb…
04-01 06:26:03	will italy join the board of peace	No	SELL	1,312	100¢	$1,310	0x0bac13…
04-01 06:25:49	will ukraine join the board of peace	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xcf8d46…
04-01 06:22:27	will germany join the board of peace	No	SELL	914	100¢	$914	0x3f4f27…
03-28 19:17:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x919346…
03-27 16:31:19	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	82	97¢	$80	0xc75662…
03-27 16:30:13	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xdf91ca…
03-27 16:29:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x7d904c…
03-27 16:28:53	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x2040b5…
03-27 16:28:13	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x9de524…
03-27 16:27:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	87	97¢	$85	0xe1f3c2…
03-27 16:27:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xc2ea56…
03-27 16:26:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xf499ba…
03-27 16:23:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	174	97¢	$169	0xe22686…
03-27 16:22:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x70c123…
03-27 14:41:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	710	96¢	$684	0xc8cdc9…
03-27 14:41:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7b043f…
03-27 14:41:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xa9450c…
03-27 11:18:55	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	150	89¢	$133	0xcfca7d…
03-27 11:18:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x8380a4…
03-27 11:18:15	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	148	89¢	$131	0x15f569…
03-26 18:27:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,820	98¢	$1,789	0x588c63…
03-26 18:26:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	442	93¢	$411	0xee0786…
03-26 17:27:43	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0xc732d0…
03-26 17:27:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	600	98¢	$591	0x17b84c…
03-25 02:42:33	will norway join the board of peace	No	SELL	1,333	99¢	$1,322	0xcafdcc…
03-25 02:07:37	will norway join the board of peace	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x015e36…