Frail-Stamp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$106

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 07-20 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

38% 0% $-0

Crypto

28% — —

Sports

20% 100% +$18

Politics

15% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$396	202	202	+0	open	—	05-20 11:42
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$396	199	199	+0	open	—	02-03 13:39
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$395	199	199	+0	open	—	02-04 07:38
will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$395	200	200	+0	open	—	03-25 21:20
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	5	$390	202	202	+0	open	—	05-22 05:08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	2	$390	201	201	+0	open	—	02-12 06:33
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	2	$388	215	215	+0	open	—	07-20 08:03
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$386	195	195	+0	open	—	03-26 18:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	7	$373	190	190	+0	open	—	05-21 10:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$371	186	186	+0	open	—	06-30 14:08
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$339	172	172	+0	No	$-0	04-16 07:42
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	3	$199	102	102	+0	open	—	02-10 18:16
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	1	$195	196	0	+196	open	—	02-03 13:42
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	1	$195	197	0	+197	open	—	03-26 18:49
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$132	150	0	+150	No	+$18	04-16 10:41
will super bowl lx have at least 140m viewers	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	02-10 18:14
bitcoin above 78k on february 9	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	02-08 17:40
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	06-14 03:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$26	30	0	+30	open	—	04-12 01:29
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-16 12:10
will bnb reach 1000 in february	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-12 06:35
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$5	10	10	+0	open	—	04-08 19:08
ethereum above 1900 on february 12	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-12 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 08:03:09	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	SELL	215	90¢	$194	0x0707eb…
07-20 07:33:54	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	BUY	215	90¢	$194	0x14cf02…
06-30 14:08:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x1d4121…
06-23 09:27:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	186	99¢	$185	0x1e16e9…
06-14 03:03:13	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x5ccae1…
06-03 19:32:33	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$43	0x4164ea…
05-22 05:08:37	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0x52b7c7…
05-22 04:26:30	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xec5192…
05-22 04:17:59	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x6c43c0…
05-22 03:23:28	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	120	97¢	$116	0xa51b65…
05-21 16:49:02	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	202	97¢	$195	0x36d00e…
05-21 10:18:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$44	0xda0e0e…
05-21 10:14:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0xb4bb22…
05-21 09:52:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x3c35ea…
05-21 08:41:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x01c76b…
05-21 08:35:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x6743e1…
05-21 08:28:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5bfa72…
05-21 08:27:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xba1a5c…
05-20 11:42:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	202	98¢	$198	0x27cb14…
05-20 11:34:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	202	98¢	$198	0x6a2003…
04-16 12:10:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x93b8f6…
04-16 10:41:48	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	150	88¢	$132	0x7fdd94…
04-16 07:42:38	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	172	98¢	$169	0xd864c5…
04-16 04:09:22	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	155	98¢	$153	0x2df247…
04-15 19:25:10	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xbecd7c…
04-12 01:29:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xab2a2b…
04-08 19:08:51	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xc2683f…
03-26 18:49:03	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0xf20403…
03-26 18:48:07	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	195	99¢	$193	0xb69aeb…
03-26 12:37:05	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	195	99¢	$193	0xa1d0bd…
03-25 21:20:47	will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x96914f…
03-25 14:52:23	will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x3b5216…
03-25 14:15:21	will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x9ee968…
03-25 12:53:15	will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c5e05…
03-25 12:53:07	will nebraska win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0x469f82…
03-16 08:35:19	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf0650f…
02-12 06:35:31	will bnb reach 1000 in february	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f7763…
02-12 06:34:23	ethereum above 1900 on february 12	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x471639…
02-12 06:33:57	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	SELL	201	97¢	$195	0x92af77…
02-12 06:26:21	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	BUY	201	97¢	$195	0x6943b9…
02-10 18:16:41	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	82	97¢	$79	0xa08e63…
02-10 18:14:21	will super bowl lx have at least 140m viewers	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x837d12…
02-10 18:09:09	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xbc5f38…
02-08 17:40:57	bitcoin above 78k on february 9	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5933a3…
02-04 11:34:28	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xfc8122…
02-04 07:38:56	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	199	99¢	$197	0x209f4a…
02-04 06:19:10	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xd36460…
02-03 13:42:58	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	No	BUY	196	99¢	$195	0x95fe1b…
02-03 13:39:34	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	199	99¢	$198	0xa6b155…
01-31 09:26:58	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	199	99¢	$198	0x83ded2…