Impish-Vision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$38

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

14.2%

Resolved

Trades

723

lifetime

Volume

$8.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$76

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-10 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 50% $-38

Other

35% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No		+100	$60	76¢	$76	+$16	06-04 09:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	22	$1.1K	694	694	+0	open	—	02-06 03:37
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	7	$588	400	400	+0	open	—	01-30 14:24
afc u23 final china vs japan	92	$527	4,839	5,114	-275	open	—	01-24 16:25
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	23	$394	1,190	1,170	+20	open	—	02-28 07:22
will analilia mejia be the democratic nominee for the nj 11 special election	9	$354	270	117	+153	open	—	02-06 22:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	5	$218	0	230	-230	open	—	01-24 05:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$200	152	152	+0	open	—	04-03 17:21
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	6	$198	110	110	+0	open	—	02-27 14:10
will china join the board of peace	2	$181	100	100	+0	open	—	01-27 00:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	4	$153	90	90	+0	open	—	04-16 05:37
will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	4	$149	53	112	-59	open	—	06-15 13:47
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	4	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	04-23 14:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 23:54
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$109	120	0	+120	open	—	02-18 09:16
atp djokovi sinner 2026 01 30	8	$102	108	44	+64	open	—	01-30 14:29
wbc jap aus 2026 03 08	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-08 12:26
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	06-04 02:18
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$88	125	125	+0	open	—	02-28 06:15
will tim walz drop out by	2	$87	97	0	+97	open	—	01-05 10:44
btc updown 15m 1770344100	5	$81	61	61	+0	open	—	02-06 02:27
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	2	$81	70	70	+0	open	—	03-04 03:52
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	5	$79	50	50	+0	open	—	02-01 11:14
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$75	200	0	+200	open	—	02-28 06:20
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	4	$74	100	50	+50	open	—	03-13 02:19
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$73	60	60	+0	open	—	03-18 15:19
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	4	$72	200	200	+0	open	—	01-12 15:20
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$64	150	150	+0	open	—	04-29 02:19
btc updown 15m 1770359400	8	$62	70	49	+20	open	—	02-06 06:35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	2	$61	66	0	+66	open	—	06-12 07:07
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	3	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	03-30 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 15:56:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2e2fa7…
07-10 15:55:35	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9efef0…
07-09 17:05:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x775d1c…
07-09 15:58:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe42e30…
07-09 15:51:10	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts first half	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x53f543…
07-09 15:47:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1526c8…
07-09 15:46:01	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4b7ce8…
07-07 16:22:08	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3d74d6…
07-07 16:19:58	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x12eb1c…
07-07 16:10:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd115a4…
07-06 12:13:20	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa03ccf…
07-06 11:53:41	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb75e6a…
07-06 10:54:08	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 btts	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5df2dc…
07-06 01:04:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x72cdfd…
07-05 15:18:41	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd5924d…
07-05 15:17:53	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x150aa7…
07-05 15:16:13	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xd3977a…
07-04 16:09:50	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x0c259f…
07-04 16:08:11	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 penalty shootout	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x464119…
07-04 08:55:13	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xdc9ffd…
07-04 00:27:08	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc673ff…
07-04 00:24:04	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x42ff20…
07-04 00:14:05	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x49ef57…
07-04 00:03:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xbdc476…
07-02 01:32:04	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x50caa3…
07-02 01:31:28	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xb85128…
07-01 16:21:32	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x82b7fd…
07-01 13:45:43	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x283c77…
07-01 13:45:29	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1bca52…
07-01 06:54:52	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x19e79b…
06-30 10:04:05	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xaf100c…
06-30 10:03:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x945cdb…
06-30 10:01:35	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x14a157…
06-29 14:06:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x570030…
06-29 13:22:56	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x78e704…
06-29 13:21:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xa67058…
06-29 02:01:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x74abc4…
06-26 16:13:13	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x349085…
06-23 00:32:08	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x01d781…
06-22 08:18:41	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xebff5b…
06-18 21:57:28	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5cd96d…
06-17 23:53:59	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xe69066…
06-17 10:51:47	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x809d91…
06-17 01:48:08	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcdae81…
06-16 11:12:27	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf5225a…
06-15 23:11:28	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x22a1af…
06-15 13:47:16	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	55	89¢	$49	0xbb6727…
06-15 12:38:48	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x19eb47…
06-14 16:18:43	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x951611…
06-13 15:39:12	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9537e1…
06-13 15:39:06	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xa97d7b…
06-13 09:32:09	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 btts	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4dda64…
06-12 07:07:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf84b2c…
06-12 03:46:00	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x97f82e…
06-12 03:31:39	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x72fff8…
06-12 03:30:27	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Czechia	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x282427…
06-11 14:37:30	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	55	89¢	$49	0xb01fc0…
06-11 14:36:30	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa3ddf8…
06-10 06:21:39	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa73cd4…
06-09 21:59:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x93b757…
06-09 01:40:19	will openais valuation hit low 600b by december 31 187 246	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x171c32…
06-07 08:58:40	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x347ed2…
06-07 05:52:09	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x366b08…
06-07 01:58:27	will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	Yes	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x7e90a9…
06-04 09:26:37	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x35fbb3…
06-04 02:18:48	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x67b22b…
05-31 14:58:16	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x07c31f…
05-29 10:21:58	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x52415d…
05-29 01:47:32	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xbd684a…
05-29 01:47:02	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x2a5915…
05-28 11:42:55	Claude 4.8 released by July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x100f10…
05-23 10:56:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x59ba1d…
05-18 01:08:18	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xbcd0b5…
05-17 04:35:59	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x78c7c4…
05-15 13:12:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xde440e…
05-15 12:02:31	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9f64bd…
05-15 05:45:31	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa2ed64…
05-15 05:44:24	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2d1d22…
05-15 05:44:10	Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xa347be…
05-14 10:41:52	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x4cfa8a…
05-14 10:40:03	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xef6873…
05-14 10:39:25	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x3940bf…
05-14 10:22:21	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa3f738…
05-14 10:13:18	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x273d8c…
05-14 10:12:52	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x77358f…
05-14 09:41:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x7f3c17…
05-14 09:41:41	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x2d90ba…
05-12 06:17:43	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xa0c926…
05-10 10:02:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x238aca…
05-10 10:02:08	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x828764…
05-10 10:01:38	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe03ec9…
05-03 03:00:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0x07e869…
05-03 03:00:22	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0xf43432…
05-02 06:32:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0xb662c9…
05-02 03:51:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc1cd0f…
04-29 02:19:50	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	75	25¢	$19	0xd9ac52…
04-26 04:01:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe359c3…
04-26 03:57:42	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xe9d4c9…
04-26 03:57:36	Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xc93cc7…
04-26 03:57:24	Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0x8b3827…