Fluid-Churn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$152

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.2%

Resolved

Trades

770

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-15 10:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

56% 71% $-7

Sports

23% 50% +$85

Crypto

10% 100% +$74

Politics

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	24	$511	652	411	+241	open	—	02-08 00:20
FC Midtjylland vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5	3	$370	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 17:45
wti up or down on june 30 2026	9	$308	570	568	+2	open	—	06-30 13:29
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	02-08 00:08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	4	$291	200	400	-200	Down	+$1	05-08 07:08
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-26 14:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 18:22
Will Zoominfo Technologies (GTM) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$198	200	0	+200	Yes	+$2	05-11 17:09
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	2	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	01-25 09:15
val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	5	$192	314	30	+284	open	—	06-08 19:42
elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	3	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	01-26 19:55
fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	16	$141	1,132	1,132	+0	open	—	06-27 23:54
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 5.5	1	$138	230	0	+230	Over	+$92	05-11 17:27
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	6	$104	54	54	+0	open	—	06-25 08:39
jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 14 2026 2pt68	1	$103	110	0	+110	open	—	04-14 00:57
dis quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 02 2026 1pt57	1	$102	110	0	+110	open	—	02-02 07:08
Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$98	100	0	+100	Yes	+$2	05-11 16:34
spy up or down on june 10 2026	4	$98	138	138	+0	open	—	06-10 11:51
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	1	$93	97	0	+97	open	—	02-05 15:01
Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	05-04 19:26
nba phi ind 2026 04 10	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 21:19
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	6	$87	47	47	+0	open	—	06-30 10:03
spy up or down on june 4 2026	3	$83	76	76	+0	open	—	06-04 13:58
nba okc den 2026 04 10	1	$82	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 18:30
wti closes above 93 on june 4 2026	2	$81	100	100	+0	open	—	06-04 13:52
nba por phx 2026 04 14	1	$80	200	0	+200	open	—	04-14 08:13
Will Palantir (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$76	80	0	+80	open	—	05-04 19:19
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	2	$71	77	77	+0	open	—	07-07 14:31
nba det cha 2026 04 10	1	$64	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 21:12
t quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt47	2	$63	46	46	+0	open	—	01-28 09:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 10:30:04	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 15	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xad8c58…
07-15 09:31:47	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 15	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x88cacf…
07-15 08:30:10	wti up or down on july 15 2026	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x26e4a5…
07-15 08:30:02	wti up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xa3b210…
07-15 00:08:59	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 14	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x3ac965…
07-14 12:00:05	bnb up or down july 14 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9b7652…
07-14 10:36:53	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 14	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xdc3c97…
07-14 10:36:05	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 14	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1e764a…
07-14 10:35:13	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 14	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xf04e08…
07-14 09:24:35	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x066974…
07-14 08:51:20	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1fe69e…
07-14 08:21:05	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xfb6a57…
07-12 00:17:52	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 11	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4438b6…
07-10 17:38:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 10	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb701a4…
07-10 14:49:28	will solana reach 80 on july 10	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x9b558e…
07-10 11:39:56	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0cfd89…
07-10 08:59:19	will ethereum reach 2100 on july 10	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x388cce…
07-10 03:01:46	will solana reach 80 on july 9	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7db429…
07-10 03:00:22	will solana reach 80 on july 9	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x1e2e14…
07-10 01:59:25	will solana reach 80 on july 9	No	SELL	16	82¢	$13	0xabd958…
07-10 01:49:31	will solana reach 80 on july 9	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xe5fdbb…
07-10 01:49:31	will solana reach 80 on july 9	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x390370…
07-10 01:49:29	will solana reach 80 on july 9	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd5ffa8…
07-10 01:49:28	will solana reach 80 on july 9	No	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xbee675…
07-09 10:45:16	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 9	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x04dbb2…
07-09 09:51:56	wta brengle cross 2026 07 09	Madison Brengle	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0f7af4…
07-09 09:51:19	atp jung michels 2026 07 09	Alex Michelsen	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8a02ff…
07-09 09:49:31	atp mcdona krumich 2026 07 09	Niels McDonald	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5a8b62…
07-09 09:49:05	wta jones jeanjea 2026 07 09	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64db44…
07-09 09:48:46	atp mejia taverna 2026 07 09	Nicolas Mejia	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x736d91…
07-09 09:47:37	wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	Linda Noskova	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x39f2a9…
07-09 09:46:56	wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09	Coco Gauff	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc79a09…
07-09 09:44:10	will solana reach 100 on july 9	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e2794…
07-09 08:32:01	will solana reach 100 on july 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cb270…
07-09 08:31:17	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 9	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3d3bf…
07-08 21:53:01	will solana reach 85 on july 8	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e84e0…
07-08 20:02:07	googl close above 360 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf60b2c…
07-08 20:02:05	googl close above 360 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83d426…
07-08 09:05:40	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 8	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb8a62d…
07-07 14:31:17	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	77	46¢	$36	0xb87c5e…
07-07 14:31:08	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	77	46¢	$36	0xe2ccd4…
07-07 11:01:32	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 7	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3fde17…
07-07 00:38:59	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x01d5ac…
07-07 00:37:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7f270a…
07-07 00:32:47	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xffe6ca…
07-07 00:31:56	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb4df66…
07-07 00:12:55	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 6	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9cac71…
07-06 23:07:35	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf26512…
07-06 23:07:32	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x374b59…
07-06 23:07:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x10c6b5…
07-06 23:07:29	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x805421…
07-06 23:07:28	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5cb477…
07-06 23:07:26	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x70d2fb…
07-06 23:07:25	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7c59aa…
07-06 23:07:25	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4b0827…
07-06 23:07:23	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x32aa14…
07-06 23:07:22	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4a5d4b…
07-06 23:07:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x55e201…
07-06 23:07:17	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x021ef8…
07-06 23:06:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xdcd4b8…
07-06 23:06:56	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3969a4…
07-06 23:06:55	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x25eaa1…
07-06 23:06:53	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6ce242…
07-06 23:06:52	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x87f929…
07-06 23:06:01	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xe7ddea…
07-06 22:58:53	will ethereum dip to 1700 on july 6	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d1a73…
07-06 22:22:16	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 6	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xec03b0…
07-06 22:01:44	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 6	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2bc7ae…
07-06 21:17:58	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x919d1a…
07-06 20:02:01	tsla close above 420 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe130ac…
07-06 16:55:40	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 6	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0757f7…
07-06 16:30:19	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 6	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4a66f2…
07-06 08:13:26	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 6	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xcad55a…
07-06 05:28:50	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 6	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xce7906…
07-06 05:21:10	will ethereum reach 1900 on july 6	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x747284…
07-05 22:35:38	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 5	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf84ef1…
07-04 23:39:40	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdcce23…
07-04 21:38:23	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 4	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x64573d…
07-04 13:40:07	btc updown 5m 1783172100	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e9eb6…
07-04 12:23:31	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0x5fe639…
07-04 08:03:10	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 4	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0xf46bed…
07-04 07:27:01	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 4	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x138903…
07-04 02:08:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfb5fa1…
07-04 00:28:32	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc49807…
07-04 00:26:32	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x75140e…
07-03 17:56:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x4050d0…
07-03 15:30:47	will bitcoin dip to 56k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02c0ce…
07-03 12:44:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06b02b…
07-02 21:51:38	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 2	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd212d…
07-02 21:00:43	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 2	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f88f3…
07-02 20:31:22	msft above 390 on july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xee8055…
07-02 20:21:22	msft above 390 on july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x0b41f8…
07-02 20:08:34	msft above 390 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x007984…
07-02 20:08:25	msft above 390 on july 3 2026	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xba0ae8…
07-02 20:08:23	msft above 390 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa2ba65…
07-02 20:01:16	googl above 370 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaffc26…
07-02 20:01:14	msft above 370 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdae52a…
07-02 20:01:14	googl above 345 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbab63b…
07-02 20:01:14	msft above 400 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf7ee0…
07-02 20:01:14	nvda above 195 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae0fa9…