Excitable-Stall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-01 08:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$0

Other

17% 100% +$0

Sports

13% 100% +$3

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$492	248	248	+0	open	—	03-12 07:39
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$247	123	123	+0	open	—	03-12 07:08
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	01-28 04:06
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$238	119	119	+0	open	—	02-13 04:57
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$237	119	119	+0	open	—	03-18 05:13
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	01-30 21:28
will the price of solana be less than 80 on february 3	1	$135	135	0	+135	open	—	02-03 11:02
solana above 120 on february 2	1	$135	135	0	+135	open	—	02-02 11:08
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	03-07 05:13
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	1	$123	124	0	+124	open	—	03-14 11:54
will bitcoin dip to 58k march 2 8	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	03-08 12:44
ethereum above 1700 on march 12	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	03-12 07:54
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	03-06 05:57
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 3	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	03-03 12:44
ethereum above 2100 on february 28	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	02-28 08:51
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	03-02 08:01
open above 7 on february 27 2026	1	$123	123	0	+123	open	—	02-27 16:03
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$121	123	0	+123	open	—	02-26 15:53
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-10 07:12
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	05-15 08:45
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 13?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-13 08:21
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	01-28 04:13
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 23	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	02-23 10:54
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	1	$119	120	0	+120	open	—	03-16 10:51
will bitcoin reach 76k march 23 29	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	03-29 06:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 22	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	02-22 09:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	05-14 05:55
will bitcoin reach 69k on march 27	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	03-28 01:31
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	03-28 12:04
will ethereum dip to 1400 february 9 15	1	$119	119	0	+119	open	—	02-15 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 08:47:22	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x651d69…
06-01 08:45:13	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x5d509a…
05-29 07:13:44	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xeb8590…
05-28 11:01:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x4c9c73…
05-27 05:23:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x61f026…
05-26 11:27:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xb56533…
05-25 10:45:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xcea2a7…
05-24 11:23:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x916c9c…
05-24 11:19:50	Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants	Chicago White Sox	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5e771d…
05-23 04:12:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x6c5ff3…
05-23 03:36:19	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Rex Regum Qeon	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa7f61a…
05-22 09:49:45	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $114 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xdc63b7…
05-21 12:46:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x2d1c13…
05-20 11:31:50	spy closes above 715 on may 20 2026	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x4ba7bc…
05-19 04:59:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc74349…
05-19 04:55:48	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd027c1…
05-18 04:29:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	833	0¢	$2	0x6f1f0c…
05-17 06:12:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x6d3922…
05-16 11:44:48	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x9562d2…
05-15 08:45:32	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x77ec49…
05-14 05:55:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x58511f…
05-13 08:21:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 13?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf4d1e0…
05-10 07:12:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb5090e…
05-09 12:56:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x773a3f…
05-09 12:31:35	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfba637…
05-08 03:23:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x3b5c7d…
05-04 06:01:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x76135e…
05-01 07:59:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $695 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x4ed9c4…
04-30 06:52:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x99ea35…
04-28 09:21:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xa0a715…
04-27 08:56:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x56955d…
04-27 08:54:52	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x86100c…
04-26 12:27:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xaba8fe…
04-25 12:35:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x016e69…
04-24 11:22:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x53ec5a…
04-23 07:33:00	bitcoin above 84k on april 23	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xc86067…
04-22 09:10:46	ethereum above 2100 on april 22	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x9155e0…
04-21 09:01:48	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x932842…
04-21 08:09:04	Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x0d5071…
04-20 03:32:54	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x9b9f68…
04-20 03:02:30	Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancaccio	Anna Blinkova	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x22c58a…
04-19 06:38:08	ethereum above 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xfbb4b4…
04-17 09:48:20	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xf4ee15…
04-14 10:05:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 14	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xde0011…
04-13 05:34:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xc62c15…
04-12 11:06:39	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x6ae098…
04-12 10:59:03	atp alcaraz sinner 2026 04 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0x1acaf5…
04-10 04:35:07	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xc250f9…
04-09 09:49:45	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x681a2a…
04-08 06:17:47	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x0df687…
04-07 03:54:39	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x178b0a…
04-07 03:33:17	mlb cin mia 2026 04 07	Miami Marlins	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x6bf47c…
04-06 07:05:23	ethereum above 1900 on april 6	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$114	0x5eb1e2…
04-05 10:56:07	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x921a2b…
04-03 05:05:39	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x4c7183…
04-02 10:15:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x588109…
04-01 07:26:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9a2aa2…
03-31 04:15:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x6cf5ad…
03-31 04:14:51	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 31	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x66aaaf…
03-31 03:45:57	nhl mon tb 2026 03 31	Lightning	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x5f8ae2…
03-30 11:29:08	bitcoin above 64k on march 30	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x98eb8a…
03-30 10:36:48	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd79cc1…
03-29 06:10:10	will bitcoin reach 76k march 23 29	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x21b08b…
03-28 12:04:27	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x49c5a5…
03-28 01:31:51	will bitcoin reach 69k on march 27	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x90ed77…
03-27 14:48:21	zelenskyy of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 120 139	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x5d4e5b…
03-26 14:34:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 26	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x3c71f2…
03-25 04:10:01	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xd0918f…
03-24 04:56:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc9e01a…
03-22 08:06:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 22	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x8697ca…
03-21 11:38:31	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 21	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x4eedc7…
03-18 05:17:41	ethereum above 2000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0xb1e8ba…
03-18 05:13:01	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0xb981a6…
03-18 04:57:29	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc6a30b…
03-17 07:00:27	ethereum above 2000 on march 17	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x754d3d…
03-17 06:59:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 17	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3f8db9…
03-17 06:32:19	atp langmo molcan 2026 03 17	Christian Langmo	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x968a41…
03-16 10:51:27	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x1e4007…
03-16 10:40:17	nhl bos nj 2026 03 16	Bruins	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x710419…
03-14 11:54:47	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x4abc84…
03-12 07:54:11	ethereum above 1700 on march 12	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x3bb722…
03-12 07:39:17	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xa8359c…
03-12 07:12:05	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0xee91d7…
03-12 07:08:49	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x4fd3b8…
03-12 06:50:59	Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf6b1ce…
03-08 12:44:07	will bitcoin dip to 58k march 2 8	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x006075…
03-07 05:13:47	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x71d978…
03-06 05:57:51	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xae4395…
03-03 12:44:55	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 3	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xcaf712…
03-02 08:01:07	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x36e2e2…
03-02 07:50:21	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0x938a02…
03-02 07:33:55	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x57d65e…
02-28 08:51:29	ethereum above 2100 on february 28	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x8db6e3…
02-27 16:03:29	open above 7 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xb6b660…
02-26 15:53:28	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0x523d52…
02-24 06:54:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 24	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x303eaa…
02-24 06:50:14	atp humbert tsitsip 2026 02 23	Humbert	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x4d1f90…
02-23 10:54:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 23	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x925c4a…
02-22 09:30:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 22	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x7d6c68…
02-15 10:27:13	will ethereum dip to 1400 february 9 15	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xa626b4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	61	$94.6K	1,757	05-28 11:04
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	58	$2.44K	59	05-29 00:12
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	51	$63.7K	1,026	05-26 15:55
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	50	$198.9K	1,829	05-28 15:28
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	50	$553	2,371	04-27 14:25
Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5	47	$90.3K	607	05-28 03:44
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	45	$7.93K	2,588	04-16 14:25
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	40	$215.2K	3,148	04-27 06:04