Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

9.7%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$4.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$511

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-21

last 10-20 18:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

47% 33% -$19

Other

46% 41% -$103

Sports

7% 33% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+399	$313	97¢	$386	+$73	07-10 02:20
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	+112	$77	86¢	$97	+$20	07-29 16:22
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	+112	$35	14¢	$15	-$20	07-29 22:22
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+399	$94	3¢	$13	-$81	07-19 05:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$1.1K	1,057	1,033	+25	Yes	-$2	08-11 12:32
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	24	$865	2,096	1,298	+797	open	—	07-19 05:07
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	6	$513	797	573	+224	open	—	07-29 22:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$357	235	235	+0	open	—	07-29 00:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$355	218	218	+0	open	—	07-02 13:39
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	4	$308	253	223	+29	No	-$3	07-24 02:44
Fed rate hike in 2026?	23	$293	457	143	+315	Yes	-$3	07-30 12:22
Will Londrina EC win on 2026-06-25?	1	$100	127	0	+127	No	-$100	06-26 00:25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?	8	$36	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	06-21 23:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$23	17	17	+0	No	+$3	10-20 18:19
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 22?	5	$22	17	17	+0	No	+$2	06-22 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 23?	4	$22	19	19	+0	No	+$0	06-22 12:43
Trump renames AI by September 30?	1	$20	27	0	+27	Yes	-$20	09-23 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?	3	$18	11	11	+0	No	+$4	06-22 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 22?	5	$18	14	14	+0	No	$0	06-22 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?	4	$16	14	14	+0	No	+$2	06-22 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 22?	3	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$4	06-22 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 22?	4	$16	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-22 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 22?	4	$14	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-22 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 22?	4	$12	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	06-22 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?	4	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	06-21 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 21?	2	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$3	06-22 02:16
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	06-22 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?	3	$9	9	9	+0	No	-$2	06-21 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 22?	2	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$2	06-22 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 22?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	06-22 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 22?	2	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-22 12:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-22 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 22?	2	$7	6	6	+0	No	$0	06-21 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 23?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	06-22 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 18:19:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0xee614b…
09-23 04:30:14	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xce7d3d…
09-22 15:46:43	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf270f1…
08-11 12:32:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	115	36¢	$41	0xa52b65…
08-11 12:26:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	115	36¢	$41	0x8b5262…
08-10 19:56:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	115	36¢	$41	0xefa4bd…
08-10 13:55:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	115	36¢	$41	0x827eb9…
08-09 17:04:46	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	348	63¢	$219	0x8fba14…
08-09 13:26:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	116	62¢	$72	0x5d8e8f…
08-09 13:26:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	116	63¢	$73	0x35da4f…
08-08 21:38:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	103	64¢	$66	0xdaa6dc…
08-08 21:38:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	115	64¢	$74	0xfbec75…
08-07 01:11:48	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x630195…
08-07 00:33:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x284a23…
08-06 01:53:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	117	64¢	$75	0x21203c…
08-05 19:52:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	64¢	$75	0xd388f9…
08-05 16:04:12	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	117	64¢	$75	0x10bdd3…
08-05 10:03:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	65¢	$76	0x471104…
08-05 09:43:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	118	34¢	$40	0x11cf71…
08-05 01:17:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	118	35¢	$41	0x7ce515…
07-30 12:22:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	67¢	$40	0x01a6f2…
07-30 09:02:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x2a3628…
07-30 07:47:08	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x54c9ea…
07-30 07:36:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x6de6ed…
07-30 07:18:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	83	32¢	$26	0x7415cb…
07-30 05:25:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0x311184…
07-30 05:18:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x57920f…
07-30 05:15:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xe4e467…
07-30 05:05:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	60	35¢	$21	0xf438bc…
07-30 04:46:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xedda9e…
07-30 04:43:29	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xc08b6a…
07-30 04:31:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2a5f95…
07-30 04:23:51	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x518f06…
07-30 03:57:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x0a9490…
07-30 03:57:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x6e2bee…
07-30 03:52:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfa60e7…
07-30 03:52:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfaf3d1…
07-30 03:52:48	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x26220b…
07-30 03:49:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xf67d86…
07-30 03:49:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xc2c8c6…
07-30 03:49:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$3	0x688991…
07-30 03:41:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xfc3375…
07-30 03:38:05	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xe2af5c…
07-29 22:22:33	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	358	29¢	$104	0x0b3247…
07-29 16:22:26	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	112	69¢	$77	0xbd124e…
07-29 16:21:53	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	235	29¢	$68	0xecc03d…
07-29 16:21:50	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	235	30¢	$70	0x4da1e9…
07-29 00:21:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	235	76¢	$179	0x7c3ffa…
07-28 22:17:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	235	76¢	$179	0x8bb902…
07-24 02:44:18	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	223	65¢	$145	0x8a2b5a…
07-24 02:07:03	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7e7659…
07-23 20:43:46	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	119	66¢	$79	0xb81d0b…
07-19 05:07:57	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	118	15¢	$18	0x554986…
07-18 23:07:39	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0x35094d…
07-17 00:50:37	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	118	16¢	$19	0x6153bb…
07-16 18:49:53	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	118	16¢	$19	0xf8f2ce…
07-16 17:46:20	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	472	16¢	$77	0xc5eca4…
07-16 11:45:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0xefab05…
07-16 11:45:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	118	15¢	$17	0x81d1aa…
07-16 03:52:13	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	328	18¢	$58	0x30283c…
07-16 03:51:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0x85285a…
07-13 14:25:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	121	22¢	$26	0x4be0e6…
07-13 14:25:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	121	20¢	$24	0x08660b…
07-11 15:56:55	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	227	22¢	$51	0x0a19c3…
07-11 09:00:23	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x140c30…
07-11 09:00:22	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	58	22¢	$13	0x32ac40…
07-11 09:00:20	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	103	22¢	$23	0x0e97ca…
07-10 02:20:31	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xf12a53…
07-09 16:56:25	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0xf32bd8…
07-08 23:03:07	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	79¢	$64	0x7ec1f1…
07-08 16:39:23	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	420	22¢	$91	0x0a118b…
07-07 17:41:40	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	215	45¢	$97	0xd36515…
07-07 14:33:31	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	215	45¢	$97	0xd82ed5…
07-02 13:39:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	218	81¢	$177	0x8d76b4…
07-02 07:08:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	218	82¢	$179	0xb2265b…
06-26 21:23:38	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x02a084…
06-26 20:52:44	Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xdb2d07…
06-26 01:28:19	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xa10a1d…
06-26 00:25:44	Will Londrina EC win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x2a04df…
06-23 09:15:05	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x6e9e5c…
06-22 12:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 23?	No	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x174ab2…
06-22 12:43:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x0dc5c1…
06-22 12:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 22?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x87b97b…
06-22 12:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 23?	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x99ff33…
06-22 12:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?	No	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x3b59ef…
06-22 12:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 23?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x4df4fa…
06-22 12:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 22?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x651904…
06-22 12:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x95c44d…
06-22 12:38:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7d13a7…
06-22 12:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7828d5…
06-22 12:37:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa1facb…
06-22 12:37:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb5c292…
06-22 12:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 23?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x563d03…
06-22 12:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 23?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x27cc1a…
06-22 12:36:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 22?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x57d738…
06-22 12:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 22?	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x7be8a6…
06-22 04:48:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 22?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x41906b…
06-22 04:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7e9b06…
06-22 04:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 22?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xe9f4c4…
06-22 04:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 23?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x0f5dcb…