Hard-To-Find-Allegation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$37.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$287

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-30 17:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Sports

52% 100% +$147

Other

19% 73% +$1

Crypto

17% 100% +$5

Politics

12% 100% +$3

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	6	$6.7K	4,028	2,684	+1,344	Yes	+$5	07-16 17:53
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.7K	1,339	1,339	+0	No	+$9	07-12 03:33
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$2.6K	1,330	1,330	+0	No	+$9	07-07 18:05
Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$2.6K	1,321	1,321	+0	No	+$3	07-04 22:34
Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	4	$2.6K	1,316	1,316	+0	No	+$1	06-25 18:06
will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	14	$1.8K	996	806	+190	Yes	+$1	08-06 03:56
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	11	$1.7K	851	851	+0	No	+$1	08-25 08:48
Will White House post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$1.7K	845	845	+0	No	+$0	08-11 18:09
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	3	$1.4K	1,353	0	+1,353	No	+$1	10-30 17:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?	2	$1.3K	1,350	0	+1,350	No	+$1	08-25 23:03
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1.3K	1,316	0	+1,316	No	+$1	06-25 19:07
will nvda dip to 168 in july 2026	1	$1.2K	1,246	0	+1,246	No	+$1	07-31 19:06
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$1	08-08 20:44
mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 total games 2pt5	1	$912	913	0	+913	Under	+$1	06-16 16:41
Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	2	$899	450	450	+0	No	+$0	09-23 16:08
Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September?	2	$799	400	400	+0	No	+$0	09-24 05:01
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	1	$685	686	0	+686	No	+$1	07-28 17:17
will wti reach 150 in august 2026	18	$544	273	273	+0	No	+$1	08-14 19:47
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	3	$534	267	267	+0	No	+$0	07-29 07:04
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?	3	$445	223	223	+0	No	+$0	10-01 04:00
Will Devin Vassell win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	06-08 06:47
Will Julian Champagnie win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	1	$400	400	0	+400	No	+$0	06-08 06:47
mlbb thewor aterio 2026 06 15 game2	2	$400	200	200	+0	Aterion Esports	+$0	06-16 18:23
mlbb thewor aterio 2026 06 15 game handicap home 1pt5	3	$400	200	200	+0	The World	$0	06-17 00:47
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$337	338	0	+338	No	+$0	06-08 06:50
Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	2	$315	158	158	+0	No	+$0	06-16 19:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	1	$279	280	0	+280	No	+$0	09-22 22:36
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	1	$175	175	0	+175	Under	+$0	06-10 21:00
Will White House post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$162	162	0	+162	No	+$0	07-28 17:14
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	1	$148	148	0	+148	Yes	+$0	06-09 17:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:52:12	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	931	100¢	$930	0x8bab99…
10-30 10:11:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x91edc1…
10-30 10:04:45	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$321	0x8635d8…
10-01 04:00:24	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf5a7fb…
09-25 10:38:14	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x181493…
09-24 05:01:30	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x7a1f44…
09-23 16:08:40	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	SELL	450	100¢	$450	0xb555c2…
09-22 22:36:32	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x44cd29…
09-22 22:35:38	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x351d78…
09-22 22:33:04	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0x196021…
09-22 22:31:02	Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xe1f1dd…
08-25 23:03:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?	No	BUY	850	100¢	$849	0x73e63a…
08-25 08:48:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0xc88d1b…
08-25 07:49:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x6d78e3…
08-25 06:45:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x35185e…
08-25 06:13:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xd6fae8…
08-25 05:43:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x99d88e…
08-25 04:55:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xd90a0c…
08-25 04:02:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x2f9e34…
08-25 03:52:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xfec30f…
08-25 03:41:25	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x5d614f…
08-25 03:30:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$170	0x8f2101…
08-21 23:50:57	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	851	100¢	$849	0xfa8911…
08-21 23:31:48	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x069a53…
08-14 19:47:13	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x18df18…
08-11 18:09:16	Will White House post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	SELL	845	100¢	$844	0xf09aca…
08-11 18:04:22	Will White House post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	845	100¢	$844	0xc97925…
08-11 18:04:10	Will White House post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x01e7a6…
08-09 18:10:52	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x50d271…
08-09 15:41:33	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x389714…
08-09 15:06:21	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x7067d8…
08-09 14:41:22	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xce403c…
08-09 13:41:55	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3544a3…
08-09 13:27:28	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc7f82f…
08-09 12:33:06	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xca1619…
08-09 12:33:00	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xceb297…
08-09 11:10:10	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x7bca44…
08-09 10:49:16	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xa7ff14…
08-09 10:20:01	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xff4928…
08-09 09:53:09	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x73b635…
08-09 09:47:10	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xafd976…
08-09 08:10:42	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6b54a2…
08-09 05:14:55	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7ea0cc…
08-09 04:56:19	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x204f5a…
08-08 20:44:21	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0x33f61e…
08-06 03:56:20	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x415192…
08-05 23:59:06	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0x457a12…
08-05 22:45:33	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	341	100¢	$340	0x5fdfb9…
08-05 22:45:18	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1fe323…
08-05 22:43:20	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x93e382…
08-05 22:40:50	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5d81c5…
08-05 22:34:50	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xcf9a5c…
08-05 22:31:05	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x0f6ad8…
08-05 22:29:14	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0x2e5f7e…
08-05 22:28:50	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xef38a9…
08-05 22:27:47	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x78b7a7…
08-05 22:24:02	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5713c4…
08-05 22:17:09	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x84411a…
08-05 21:56:50	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x42744e…
08-05 21:32:06	will trump say stock market during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421457	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3d6e1…
08-05 21:26:30	will trump say manufacturing during remarks in las vegas 20260804184614725	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x93ae06…
08-05 06:22:03	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	273	100¢	$272	0xc3e6a6…
07-31 19:06:09	will nvda dip to 168 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,246	100¢	$1,245	0x5c3ed8…
07-29 07:04:15	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x23ff0a…
07-28 18:18:26	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0xf57731…
07-28 17:17:13	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	686	100¢	$685	0x916a72…
07-28 17:16:37	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x921b02…
07-28 17:16:05	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$267	0x66e826…
07-28 17:14:43	Will White House post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeae2c0…
07-28 17:14:31	Will White House post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf9d8cc…
07-28 17:14:22	Will White House post 0-19 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0d0a71…
07-27 22:01:24	will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a7073…
07-27 21:59:10	will trump say toyota during michigan remarks 20260724162420362	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04b0be…
07-27 21:18:40	will trump say afford or affordable or affordability during michigan remarks 20260724162420373	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x5c8ed7…
07-27 20:45:31	Will White House post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x22cdb2…
07-16 17:53:37	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,344	100¢	$1,341	0xc14561…
07-15 21:32:53	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,343	100¢	$1,341	0x3f3827…
07-15 17:08:55	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,178	100¢	$1,175	0xad5a0a…
07-15 16:58:35	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x0dc05c…
07-14 02:05:47	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	SELL	1,341	100¢	$1,340	0x68c314…
07-13 19:06:46	2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?	Yes	BUY	1,341	100¢	$1,338	0x92abea…
07-12 03:33:02	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,339	100¢	$1,338	0x2928c9…
07-07 19:20:49	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,339	99¢	$1,329	0x12c393…
07-07 18:05:20	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1,330	100¢	$1,329	0x1f95b6…
07-04 22:55:50	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1,330	99¢	$1,320	0xf98250…
07-04 22:34:17	Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1,321	100¢	$1,320	0xb2b6e1…
07-03 20:39:04	Will Paraguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1,321	100¢	$1,317	0x11234f…
06-25 19:07:17	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,316	100¢	$1,315	0x050893…
06-25 18:06:58	Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	299	100¢	$299	0xf7ab6c…
06-25 18:02:17	Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	848	100¢	$847	0xf613f0…
06-25 17:00:05	Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x496dd2…
06-22 17:05:26	Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1,316	100¢	$1,313	0x9a3156…
06-17 00:47:23	mlbb thewor aterio 2026 06 15 game handicap home 1pt5	The World	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x0048c5…
06-16 19:15:17	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$157	0x9973fa…
06-16 18:26:23	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$157	0x6a806f…
06-16 18:25:58	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x31d73f…
06-16 18:23:55	mlbb thewor aterio 2026 06 15 game handicap home 1pt5	The World	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb46406…
06-16 18:23:29	mlbb thewor aterio 2026 06 15 game2	Aterion Esports	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x9af3ae…
06-16 16:41:25	mlbb forzee tst 2026 06 16 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	913	100¢	$912	0x1264b7…
06-15 22:28:03	will trump say trade during meeting with french president 20260615070515606	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8c2c84…