Aggravating-Tophat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$15.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-30 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$1

Other

29% 25% $-20

Sports

18% — —

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$649	325	325	+0	open	—	03-02 06:19
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$384	192	192	+0	open	—	03-07 10:58
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$375	188	188	+0	open	—	03-08 05:13
will cameron smith win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$363	183	183	+0	open	—	03-17 04:25
will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$351	176	176	+0	open	—	03-20 08:20
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$350	176	176	+0	open	—	03-20 08:46
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$340	170	170	+0	open	—	03-01 11:32
will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$332	167	167	+0	open	—	03-28 05:24
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$295	148	148	+0	open	—	02-03 12:43
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$292	146	146	+0	open	—	01-19 03:59
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$291	146	146	+0	open	—	01-19 04:47
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$275	138	138	+0	open	—	02-10 11:11
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$274	137	137	+0	open	—	01-16 09:42
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$273	137	137	+0	open	—	01-16 10:07
Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$272	136	136	+0	open	—	04-19 12:29
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$260	130	130	+0	open	—	01-16 10:40
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	04-23 05:25
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	04-20 10:48
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	2	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	04-20 11:06
Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$236	118	118	+0	open	—	04-23 05:50
bitcoin above 56k on march 3	1	$194	195	0	+195	open	—	03-03 12:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 1	1	$188	188	0	+188	open	—	03-01 11:38
will solana reach 110 march 2 8	1	$187	188	0	+188	open	—	03-08 07:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	1	$184	184	0	+184	open	—	03-10 12:40
bitcoin above 76k on march 12	1	$184	184	0	+184	open	—	03-12 06:46
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	1	$181	181	0	+181	open	—	03-16 12:38
will kate hudson win best actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$181	181	0	+181	open	—	03-14 11:27
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$175	175	0	+175	open	—	03-20 08:49
bitcoin above 80k on march 18	1	$170	170	0	+170	open	—	03-18 08:08
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$170	173	0	+173	open	—	02-26 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 07:46:05	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in june 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xa52430…
05-31 06:26:48	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2	Gen.G Esports	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xa42dc4…
05-30 12:06:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	88	100¢	$87	0xadc305…
05-29 10:44:29	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x5135f2…
05-28 08:53:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xc5f52a…
05-28 08:25:12	World Championships: Canada vs. USA	Canada	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x8a9da8…
05-26 05:35:49	Vicenza: Lautaro Midon vs Joao Lucas Da Silva	Joao Lucas Da Silva	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xa4854b…
05-24 07:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x855d99…
05-24 07:12:30	LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x26accd…
05-23 07:11:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xc123ad…
05-21 12:21:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x75ddf8…
05-19 11:22:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x9892ac…
05-15 07:44:40	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x3675e0…
05-14 07:05:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$91	0x5401ca…
05-13 12:02:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xaf18c1…
05-12 09:33:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xc858df…
05-11 12:40:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x65a9c3…
05-11 12:35:55	Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x41e224…
05-10 06:29:44	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x4e2fde…
05-09 07:45:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x4db240…
05-08 04:55:36	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $550 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x0574fa…
05-07 06:35:46	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x4c8304…
05-06 06:07:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 6?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xbc79ef…
05-06 05:42:56	Wuxi: Andre Ilagan vs Dane Sweeny	Andre Ilagan	BUY	11	33¢	$3	0x7de254…
05-04 12:08:04	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xa10d49…
05-03 07:41:16	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc49739…
05-01 06:58:26	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x802515…
04-30 06:30:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc109d2…
04-28 03:53:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe4c439…
04-27 08:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb35a6f…
04-26 12:55:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x7806e4…
04-26 12:24:10	Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Minnesota Twins	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xe9b0a3…
04-25 06:58:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x305da1…
04-24 07:04:48	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 24	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xb527a4…
04-23 05:59:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	660	0¢	$1	0xb096af…
04-23 05:58:00	ethereum above 2600 on april 23	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x0bf82a…
04-23 05:50:36	Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x4d5160…
04-23 05:33:24	Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x3185ad…
04-23 05:28:52	lol fly sen 2026 04 23	FlyQuest	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf11035…
04-23 05:25:34	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x8c3d00…
04-23 04:27:54	Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xbd12a4…
04-22 06:30:48	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x98126f…
04-21 06:07:54	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x3121af…
04-21 05:07:34	nhl utah las 2026 04 21	Golden Knights	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x26ab74…
04-20 11:10:58	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	Yes	BUY	765	0¢	$2	0x02f52f…
04-20 11:08:14	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 20	Yes	BUY	745	0¢	$1	0x362690…
04-20 11:06:04	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xfcc755…
04-20 10:49:46	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xa06a5f…
04-20 10:48:36	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x4ebdf0…
04-20 09:39:56	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x3e9b8a…
04-20 09:36:36	lol sk kc 2026 04 20	Karmine Corp	BUY	10	86¢	$8	0xeeb5e4…
04-19 12:45:48	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	Yes	BUY	502	0¢	$2	0x5833f5…
04-19 12:38:02	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 19	Yes	BUY	319	0¢	$1	0xd3a6ab…
04-19 12:33:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	810	0¢	$2	0x7ab2b5…
04-19 12:29:32	Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x3edc91…
04-19 12:10:20	Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x700c7f…
04-17 04:24:28	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x48d417…
04-16 10:21:14	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x3196f4…
04-15 12:06:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xbaeed0…
04-14 09:12:07	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0xc99b1b…
04-14 08:27:57	wta semenis jeanjea 2026 04 13	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2402b4…
04-12 07:48:59	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 12	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x40a175…
04-10 10:34:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x6caec5…
04-09 12:06:11	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xf6c874…
04-08 04:52:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	825	0¢	$2	0x4857fb…
04-08 04:50:15	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 140 164	Yes	BUY	735	0¢	$1	0x88ecce…
04-08 04:45:57	atp musetti vachero 2026 04 08	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x6a87ec…
04-07 06:27:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 7	No	BUY	153	100¢	$152	0x25c36c…
04-06 08:25:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x057865…
04-05 05:21:05	bitcoin above 72k on april 5	Yes	BUY	784	0¢	$2	0xf16bb5…
04-05 05:19:27	ethereum above 2300 on april 5	Yes	BUY	830	0¢	$2	0x43fd24…
04-04 11:27:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xd15c55…
04-03 04:29:55	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	No	BUY	825	0¢	$2	0xf82060…
04-03 04:27:43	ethereum above 2300 on april 3	Yes	BUY	685	0¢	$1	0xb0f9e2…
04-02 07:15:35	ethereum above 2300 on april 2	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x984188…
04-01 08:17:27	ethereum above 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xbeb43d…
03-31 12:19:39	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0xdf969b…
03-31 12:16:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	690	0¢	$1	0x173bb1…
03-30 16:17:45	will xrp reach 1pt5 on march 30	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xf2f2c4…
03-30 16:17:35	will xrp dip to 1pt15 on march 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbfd88f…
03-29 10:22:04	will bitcoin dip to 56k march 23 29	No	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0x9f0ea0…
03-29 08:54:50	lol sk th 2026 03 29	SK Gaming	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x70c3a7…
03-28 05:32:01	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x4de255…
03-28 05:24:43	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0x392961…
03-28 04:54:31	will billy horschel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x354c0c…
03-27 10:06:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xf36b34…
03-25 04:48:41	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0xebb9ed…
03-25 03:41:33	nba lal ind 2026 03 25	Lakers	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xc27f04…
03-24 11:57:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x1a9007…
03-22 10:22:39	will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd86e92…
03-22 10:21:35	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	Yes	BUY	1,067	0¢	$3	0x85c518…
03-22 10:20:43	bitcoin above 72k on march 22	Yes	BUY	1,033	0¢	$3	0x89ce43…
03-21 11:59:15	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 190 214	Yes	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0xb1b3d3…
03-21 11:57:37	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	No	BUY	690	0¢	$1	0x474c1f…
03-20 08:49:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xcffcd1…
03-20 08:46:51	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0x63e4c7…
03-20 08:22:29	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x235f7f…
03-20 08:20:13	will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	176	99¢	$175	0x2a7905…
03-20 08:02:21	will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x72520b…
03-19 12:23:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 19	Yes	BUY	720	0¢	$1	0x805212…