Mortified-Deformation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.99K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.88K

Hit rate

61.8%

Resolved

641

Trades

2,055

lifetime

Volume

$1.73M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$843

Open exposure

$6.70K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 23:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Other

38% 58% -$26,728

Sports

28% 58% +$3,523

Crypto

17% 64% +$1,559

Politics

16% 64% +$12,880

Tech

1% 100% +$860

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+10,000	$7,200	55¢	$5.5K	-$1,750	10-26 23:00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	No		-1,285	-$1,119	98¢	$-1254	-$135	06-10 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$34.2K	20,957	20,957	+0	No	-$918	06-26 06:00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$26.3K	96,933	13,571	+83,362	No	-$15,735	07-13 07:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$24.6K	24,567	24,567	+0	No	+$249	06-26 20:32
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	6	$20.3K	13,758	13,758	+0	No	-$422	06-18 05:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$19.8K	12,120	12,120	+0	No	+$4,081	04-28 04:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	2	$18.4K	9,795	9,795	+0	No	+$161	05-14 20:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$18.3K	11,036	11,036	+0	No	+$326	01-22 02:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	15	$18.2K	9,576	9,557	+19	No	+$588	04-29 17:15
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$16.4K	7,362	13,233	-5,870	Yes	-$1,996	06-13 06:43
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	8	$16.3K	11,531	11,531	+0	No	+$4,776	05-06 21:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	13	$15.9K	8,602	8,602	+0	No	+$1,141	04-18 21:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$14.5K	11,810	3,802	+8,008	Yes	-$558	04-09 05:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$14.3K	7,645	7,645	+0	No	+$263	05-10 04:23
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	14	$13.9K	16,513	16,513	+0	Yes	+$4,579	07-07 01:11
Spurs vs. Thunder	7	$13.3K	16,087	16,087	+0	Spurs	-$3,713	05-31 02:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	19	$12.8K	8,373	8,373	+0	Yes	+$3,874	06-17 19:15
ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	3	$12.4K	8,628	8,628	+0	Mario Bautista	+$4,870	07-12 02:52
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	4	$12.2K	8,821	8,821	+0	No	-$1,824	01-23 23:31
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$12.1K	7,155	7,155	+0	Yes	+$2,147	10-26 22:58
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 30 april 5	4	$11.8K	7,246	7,168	+78	No	-$121	04-02 02:44
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	15	$11.2K	8,008	8,008	+0	No	+$882	04-30 06:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	27	$11.1K	18,989	18,989	+0	Yes	-$2,821	03-06 02:13
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$11.1K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$700	05-13 17:19
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$11.0K	10,512	10,512	+0	Sean Strickland	-$954	05-10 04:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$11.0K	12,646	4,571	+8,075	Yes	+$2	04-08 14:57
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$10.9K	9,582	9,582	+0	Yes	+$693	06-18 21:10
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	3	$10.8K	10,892	10,892	+0	Ciryl Gane	-$327	06-15 03:03
ufc bel gab3 2026 06 06	4	$10.8K	15,727	6,000	+9,727	Gabriel Bonfim	+$4,834	06-07 01:47
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	2	$10.7K	13,813	13,813	+0	Yes	-$1,253	01-07 19:09
ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	6	$10.6K	7,777	7,777	+0	Strickland	+$905	02-22 04:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:00:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10,000	72¢	$7,200	0xcb442c…
10-26 22:58:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	7,155	100¢	$7,147	0xbfff46…
10-26 17:26:56	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	7,155	70¢	$5,000	0x8f8c06…
10-18 00:37:15	UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	21,277	47¢	$10,000	0x145a72…
09-07 19:09:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,167	48¢	$2,000	0x01b560…
08-28 15:55:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,082	49¢	$2,000	0x40db4e…
08-28 15:22:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,922	51¢	$2,000	0xc6ac47…
08-27 18:28:01	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	5,000	60¢	$3,000	0xed80ed…
08-22 23:28:03	ufc ser2 vit3 2026 08 22	Serghei Spivac	BUY	3,659	41¢	$1,500	0xd7e1f8…
08-22 23:26:28	ufc ken sha27 2026 08 22	Shamil Gaziev	SELL	5,898	100¢	$5,892	0xc8debb…
08-16 21:39:42	ufc ken sha27 2026 08 22	Shamil Gaziev	BUY	5,898	55¢	$3,248	0x10fe8b…
08-15 22:07:01	ufc vic tre3 2026 08 15	Tresean Gore	BUY	2,047	50¢	$1,024	0x3fd625…
08-15 21:37:48	ufc vic tre3 2026 08 15	Tresean Gore	BUY	2,500	50¢	$1,250	0x24595e…
08-01 16:00:26	ufc du rob19 2026 08 01	Robert Valentin	BUY	5,000	60¢	$3,000	0xbda38d…
07-22 22:42:16	ufc ram10 ste14 2026 07 25	Steve Erceg	BUY	2,710	50¢	$1,355	0x53b352…
07-19 19:28:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	5,042	59¢	$3,000	0xa37581…
07-18 23:37:40	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Austin Bashi	BUY	5,172	58¢	$3,000	0x9021f3…
07-13 16:47:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	9,955	55¢	$5,500	0x454f11…
07-13 07:24:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	13,571	39¢	$5,265	0x0d0c87…
07-12 20:10:40	Will Jean Silva fight Alexander Volkanovski next?	Yes	SELL	335	0¢	$0	0xde2565…
07-12 18:24:52	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	1,733	82¢	$1,427	0x4fcfc9…
07-12 18:18:35	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	2,310	88¢	$2,039	0x7cefd8…
07-12 18:09:58	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	9,163	11¢	$1,000	0xa48842…
07-12 03:28:02	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 2pt5	Over	SELL	2,355	52¢	$1,224	0xaaa34b…
07-12 02:52:23	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	SELL	8,628	100¢	$8,620	0x09b1e0…
07-11 22:24:22	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	3,977	44¢	$1,750	0x230e89…
07-11 20:35:22	ufc cor mar 2026 07 11	Mario Bautista	BUY	4,651	43¢	$2,000	0x8d2fcb…
07-11 20:25:40	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Tracy Cortez	BUY	4,629	48¢	$2,222	0x8cb54e…
07-10 04:20:02	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10	G2 Esports	BUY	2,564	78¢	$2,000	0x95fcdd…
07-09 22:22:59	lol g2 ly 2026 07 10	G2 Esports	BUY	3,205	78¢	$2,500	0x058ee0…
07-09 07:09:22	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 2pt5	Over	BUY	9,419	53¢	$5,000	0xf4a7fd…
07-09 06:13:11	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	3,947	76¢	$3,000	0x08f6eb…
07-07 01:11:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	5,402	32¢	$1,729	0xeffb59…
07-07 00:29:37	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	2,216	15¢	$332	0x7bc9d4…
07-06 23:53:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	1,124	25¢	$281	0x5bb5aa…
07-06 23:51:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,104	24¢	$500	0x6d3575…
07-06 23:50:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	2,174	23¢	$500	0xb4e589…
07-06 23:48:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,464	80¢	$1,971	0x243380…
07-06 23:02:56	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	900	37¢	$333	0x60a9f5…
07-06 23:02:50	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	3,704	54¢	$2,000	0x39afc3…
07-06 22:49:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,367	86¢	$2,036	0xa36870…
07-06 22:48:28	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	1,316	38¢	$500	0xb3a3b2…
07-06 22:41:50	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	United States	BUY	7,547	53¢	$4,000	0xcb331d…
07-06 22:36:32	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	2,459	61¢	$1,500	0x66a779…
07-06 21:32:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1,610	68¢	$1,095	0xeea6b1…
07-06 21:23:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,147	77¢	$1,662	0x5f774c…
07-06 21:08:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0x16f21f…
07-06 16:42:05	Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,076	45¢	$1,834	0xb5952c…
07-06 16:26:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2,523	30¢	$767	0x6117a8…
07-06 01:54:04	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	4,839	31¢	$1,500	0xa5b41f…
07-06 00:23:14	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	6,122	49¢	$3,000	0xac4b63…
07-05 19:56:52	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	5,435	46¢	$2,500	0xef651a…
07-04 23:35:13	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6,731	52¢	$3,500	0x6c8fcf…
07-04 22:22:25	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6,667	30¢	$2,000	0xc2d35b…
07-04 17:12:31	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	5,934	47¢	$2,784	0xcf89c7…
07-04 06:59:19	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	1,389	54¢	$750	0x7db1ed…
07-04 00:19:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5,455	51¢	$2,797	0xb66ab5…
07-03 19:24:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 btts	No	BUY	3,043	69¢	$2,100	0x3738e0…
07-03 19:23:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	3,488	58¢	$2,035	0x72f045…
07-03 16:54:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3,103	29¢	$900	0x747a31…
07-03 06:58:29	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	4,545	55¢	$2,500	0x99da53…
07-03 06:56:32	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026	No	SELL	1,612	67¢	$1,080	0x8b1bd6…
07-03 05:59:31	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	4,441	56¢	$2,487	0xc9a01f…
07-03 05:58:38	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	2,342	55¢	$1,288	0xf99531…
07-03 02:47:41	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	6,122	49¢	$3,000	0x74a0d6…
07-03 00:18:59	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	5,042	18¢	$920	0x232bb3…
07-02 23:10:08	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5,042	59¢	$3,000	0x1e4769…
07-02 22:04:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,769	28¢	$500	0xd1a271…
07-02 22:01:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,724	29¢	$500	0x13265c…
07-02 21:58:53	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3,494	29¢	$1,000	0x928cbd…
07-02 07:11:23	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026	No	BUY	822	58¢	$477	0x882dde…
07-02 01:32:47	Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	220	60¢	$133	0x25d10d…
07-02 01:32:37	Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	225	56¢	$126	0x767ad4…
07-01 23:47:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026	No	BUY	789	57¢	$450	0x9bf6a6…
07-01 22:51:52	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	5,121	100¢	$5,115	0xf74019…
07-01 22:33:49	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	1,789	56¢	$1,000	0xd365f3…
07-01 22:33:38	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	No	SELL	4,364	100¢	$4,359	0x0b8b33…
07-01 22:33:22	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	3,332	56¢	$1,861	0xedcb20…
07-01 16:04:05	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	4,364	55¢	$2,400	0xaf7214…
07-01 07:32:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6,215	85¢	$5,283	0x5c1626…
06-28 18:38:11	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	5,172	29¢	$1,500	0xccaff3…
06-28 02:17:13	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10,000	13¢	$1,300	0x22bb2e…
06-28 00:07:32	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	3,509	26¢	$912	0x6ed6ac…
06-27 21:46:43	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5,933	21¢	$1,250	0x83a9a8…
06-27 19:14:08	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	3,509	57¢	$2,000	0xba8e61…
06-27 16:13:56	ufc raf man6 2026 06 27	Rafael Fiziev	BUY	5,500	50¢	$2,750	0x3dfd79…
06-27 06:17:59	Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0xbfe455…
06-27 06:15:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96,933	22¢	$21,000	0x9b425c…
06-27 04:31:11	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	6,667	15¢	$1,000	0x1dad91…
06-26 23:22:05	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	3,766	59¢	$2,222	0xcb605c…
06-26 20:32:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	9,002	49¢	$4,395	0x3b1e87…
06-26 18:29:25	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	3,333	60¢	$2,000	0x055847…
06-26 18:29:14	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3,496	57¢	$2,000	0x364789…
06-26 07:42:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	785	60¢	$471	0xbc3cf2…
06-26 06:14:23	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25,424	6¢	$1,500	0x3e83e1…
06-26 06:09:41	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50,847	6¢	$3,000	0x153c01…
06-26 06:00:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	11,809	89¢	$10,483	0xe8edfb…
06-26 03:51:23	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	SELL	6,863	87¢	$5,971	0x46fe5b…
06-26 01:43:28	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 btts	No	BUY	3,279	61¢	$2,000	0x5182ee…
06-26 01:11:17	Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	6,863	51¢	$3,500	0x885a06…