Hospitable-Garage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,343

lifetime

Volume

$132.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-15 23:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

67% 0% $-9

Other

30% 0% $-135

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 344 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	132	$10.9K	9,551	10,403	-853	open	—	04-16 21:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	60	$8.9K	7,598	7,597	+1	open	—	04-12 02:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	80	$8.3K	8,114	8,113	+1	open	—	04-07 23:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	78	$6.1K	7,734	8,698	-964	open	—	04-21 21:13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	51	$5.9K	5,334	5,833	-499	open	—	04-12 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	73	$5.4K	4,843	5,143	-299	open	—	04-29 00:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	81	$4.8K	4,952	4,952	+0	open	—	05-01 16:43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	62	$4.5K	3,604	3,604	+1	open	—	04-12 14:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	51	$4.4K	5,140	5,138	+2	open	—	04-14 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	54	$3.7K	3,681	4,431	-750	open	—	04-16 18:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	21	$3.0K	2,043	2,043	+0	open	—	04-15 00:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	45	$2.3K	1,614	2,013	-400	open	—	04-26 04:30
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	41	$2.1K	2,469	2,468	+1	open	—	04-07 12:15
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	59	$2.0K	2,205	2,205	+0	open	—	04-12 00:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	12	$1.9K	1,324	1,322	+1	open	—	04-07 22:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	28	$1.8K	2,931	2,931	+0	open	—	04-13 17:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	39	$1.7K	1,554	2,051	-497	open	—	04-15 10:29
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	19	$1.7K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	04-14 01:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	33	$1.6K	1,337	1,537	-200	open	—	04-28 14:43
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	36	$1.5K	1,119	1,585	-466	open	—	04-12 13:35
Iran leadership change by April 30?	16	$1.5K	2,464	2,464	+0	open	—	04-29 02:57
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	9	$1.4K	864	864	+0	open	—	04-08 17:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	19	$1.4K	902	901	+1	open	—	04-23 00:40
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	29	$1.4K	1,888	1,888	+0	open	—	04-01 10:40
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	32	$1.3K	1,320	1,402	-82	open	—	04-12 03:51
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	41	$1.2K	1,999	1,999	+1	open	—	04-14 01:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	26	$1.2K	2,287	2,287	+0	open	—	04-29 21:52
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	21	$1.2K	3,854	3,854	+0	open	—	04-13 17:12
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	20	$1.2K	645	1,052	-408	open	—	04-24 15:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	21	$1.1K	1,313	1,312	+1	open	—	04-05 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 23:43:31	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0xe78886…
06-15 23:37:24	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xc5f2d5…
06-15 23:37:18	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xca8d40…
06-15 23:37:13	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x6d6cc7…
06-15 23:37:12	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x754246…
06-15 23:27:07	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x153baf…
06-15 23:27:04	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x73cdc5…
06-15 23:27:00	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xdfd498…
06-15 23:26:58	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x5c42e6…
06-15 23:22:57	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x0fa70c…
06-15 23:22:36	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x28af2e…
06-15 23:14:03	will steve witkoff sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950071	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x2d388e…
06-15 23:11:58	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x44dd9e…
06-15 21:25:37	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	71	25¢	$18	0x00be61…
06-15 21:08:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	88	20¢	$18	0x9d8252…
06-15 21:02:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	184	37¢	$68	0x4724c3…
06-15 20:44:52	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xc45543…
06-15 20:02:27	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0xaf24c4…
06-15 19:54:00	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xb31722…
06-15 18:39:19	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xdde49a…
06-15 18:30:07	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x95dbf0…
06-15 18:30:06	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7c67ce…
06-15 18:30:04	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb7c1b0…
06-15 17:44:21	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	Yes	SELL	63	19¢	$12	0xff329e…
06-15 17:44:21	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	122	25¢	$30	0xb5761d…
06-15 17:28:34	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xe4569a…
06-15 17:12:40	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Up	SELL	80	92¢	$74	0x453bd4…
06-15 15:37:24	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	No	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0xad628a…
06-15 14:47:42	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x333526…
06-15 14:47:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x4512df…
06-15 12:26:04	will masoud pezeshkian sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950072	Yes	BUY	63	30¢	$19	0x9ae56a…
06-15 12:00:39	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Up	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x1eb00b…
06-15 08:10:42	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	60	13¢	$8	0x812191…
06-15 07:59:06	spacex ipo closing share price updown on second day 20260608224427017	Down	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0x611ea0…
06-15 07:53:03	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0x2a1831…
06-15 07:49:01	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x2112ca…
06-15 07:47:42	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x64e349…
06-15 07:47:07	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xa0fa3a…
06-15 07:46:07	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0xaeebe6…
06-15 07:42:34	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xc67e2c…
06-15 07:42:33	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x7b2547…
06-15 07:42:25	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xe08d81…
06-15 07:42:01	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x65b877…
06-15 07:40:31	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x459b53…
06-15 07:38:39	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x947ab2…
06-15 06:27:30	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0x117bdf…
06-15 06:26:45	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe06d71…
06-15 06:26:25	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb0d7a3…
06-15 06:26:19	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	37	34¢	$13	0xa79916…
06-15 05:32:36	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	SELL	26	33¢	$9	0xcb3ead…
06-15 05:32:13	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0x662517…
06-15 05:24:07	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0x9ebddd…
06-15 05:21:48	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xd728fd…
06-15 04:57:54	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x43d0e4…
06-15 04:01:18	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xafed62…
06-15 04:00:33	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x5b73a1…
06-15 03:50:52	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x70411a…
06-15 03:48:58	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xa58600…
06-15 03:41:18	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	44	28¢	$12	0xa43884…
06-15 00:22:48	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x954af4…
06-14 22:16:39	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x830fd9…
06-14 19:32:37	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x2c85db…
06-14 19:32:36	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	Yes	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0xc79dcb…
06-14 19:22:34	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0x359818…
06-14 18:32:30	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x4d4809…
06-14 18:30:39	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	54¢	$23	0xa2063a…
06-14 18:30:37	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x75ca03…
06-14 16:05:52	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0xfc1d8b…
06-07 08:59:51	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x50bae8…
06-06 11:02:51	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$2	0xbc1fe9…
06-06 11:02:49	vance announces he wont run for president in 2028 this year	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x764a86…
05-31 22:03:22	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0x0b54a4…
05-30 22:08:10	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0x8d6912…
05-24 00:53:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	SELL	54	16¢	$9	0x6b7bf4…
05-24 00:48:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xee2854…
05-24 00:14:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xb533b6…
05-24 00:14:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0xb205b8…
05-24 00:14:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xf097e2…
05-23 23:59:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0xfcaac5…
05-23 23:41:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x7e73d9…
05-23 23:40:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x030d99…
05-23 22:42:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xe41298…
05-23 22:32:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x6fad22…
05-23 20:34:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x55d285…
05-23 20:32:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xdb1404…
05-23 20:31:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x938aa6…
05-23 19:28:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	99	79¢	$78	0x14e34a…
05-23 19:27:02	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3ed444…
05-23 19:26:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0xdd8f8e…
05-23 19:24:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xdccf5a…
05-23 00:15:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x5531ab…
05-23 00:08:22	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xc6a08d…
05-22 23:55:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x16ee49…
05-22 23:40:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	SELL	39	20¢	$8	0xa06c38…
05-22 23:40:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xb41eac…
05-22 23:39:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x067cc3…
05-22 23:38:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa0215d…
05-22 23:38:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x8138fd…
05-22 23:37:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x850593…
05-22 23:37:30	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xe48285…