Hospitable-Garage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$144

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,640

lifetime

Volume

$135.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-05 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

67% 0% $-9

Other

30% 0% $-135

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No		+3	$7	100¢	$3	$-4	06-19 21:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	132	$10.9K	9,551	10,403	-853	open	—	04-16 21:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	60	$8.9K	7,598	7,597	+1	open	—	04-12 02:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	80	$8.3K	8,114	8,113	+1	open	—	04-07 23:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	78	$6.1K	7,734	8,698	-964	open	—	04-21 21:13
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	51	$5.9K	5,334	5,833	-499	open	—	04-12 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	73	$5.4K	4,843	5,143	-299	open	—	04-29 00:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	81	$4.8K	4,952	4,952	+0	open	—	05-01 16:43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	62	$4.5K	3,604	3,604	+1	open	—	04-12 14:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	51	$4.4K	5,140	5,138	+2	open	—	04-14 18:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	54	$3.7K	3,681	4,431	-750	open	—	04-16 18:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	21	$3.0K	2,043	2,043	+0	open	—	04-15 00:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	45	$2.3K	1,614	2,013	-400	open	—	04-26 04:30
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	41	$2.1K	2,469	2,468	+1	open	—	04-07 12:15
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	59	$2.0K	2,205	2,205	+0	open	—	04-12 00:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	12	$1.9K	1,324	1,322	+1	open	—	04-07 22:49
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	28	$1.8K	2,931	2,931	+0	open	—	04-13 17:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	39	$1.7K	1,554	2,051	-497	open	—	04-15 10:29
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	19	$1.7K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	04-14 01:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	33	$1.6K	1,337	1,537	-200	open	—	04-28 14:43
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	36	$1.5K	1,119	1,585	-466	open	—	04-12 13:35
Iran leadership change by April 30?	16	$1.5K	2,464	2,464	+0	open	—	04-29 02:57
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	9	$1.4K	864	864	+0	open	—	04-08 17:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	19	$1.4K	902	901	+1	open	—	04-23 00:40
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	29	$1.4K	1,888	1,888	+0	open	—	04-01 10:40
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	32	$1.3K	1,320	1,402	-82	open	—	04-12 03:51
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	41	$1.2K	1,999	1,999	+1	open	—	04-14 01:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	26	$1.2K	2,287	2,287	+0	open	—	04-29 21:52
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	21	$1.2K	3,854	3,854	+0	open	—	04-13 17:12
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	20	$1.2K	645	1,052	-408	open	—	04-24 15:22
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	21	$1.1K	1,313	1,312	+1	open	—	04-05 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 22:08:31	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xf892c0…
07-05 21:46:35	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xf3d505…
07-05 02:32:41	moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260702184246099	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x3ee071…
07-05 02:08:58	moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260702184246099	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x296361…
07-04 08:44:56	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0x5a2d72…
07-04 06:00:44	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x6ae7f7…
07-04 06:00:41	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8873cd…
07-04 05:36:41	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xc1fbc0…
07-04 05:34:50	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x6c0a57…
07-04 04:04:44	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xda2abf…
07-03 18:00:05	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xa4e45c…
07-03 15:25:17	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x1df462…
07-03 09:26:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	47	20¢	$9	0x9214c6…
07-03 09:06:01	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0x6d3880…
07-03 08:47:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xbcdf39…
07-03 08:26:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xe47c44…
07-03 08:26:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0x97ec50…
07-03 08:08:05	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd8adff…
07-03 08:07:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	21	67¢	$14	0xe060d7…
07-03 04:06:26	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0x9ab842…
07-03 00:20:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x31cd4f…
07-02 22:57:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xc2e787…
07-02 22:57:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0xc1e34f…
07-02 22:25:01	fda approves sanofi subcutaneous sarclisa 07 23 2026	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xbb1dc0…
07-02 21:59:23	fda approves sanofi subcutaneous sarclisa 07 23 2026	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xf80272…
07-02 14:08:41	california high earner permanent tax proposition	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xf34708…
07-02 13:51:05	california high earner permanent tax proposition	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x391b68…
07-02 13:36:20	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	SELL	16	68¢	$11	0x003d1a…
07-02 13:04:41	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xb839f4…
07-02 11:39:29	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xb00ef9…
07-02 11:19:44	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	BUY	35	79¢	$28	0x465013…
07-02 10:42:41	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xefd413…
07-02 10:21:14	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x4a57c1…
07-02 07:31:31	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x9b21ab…
07-02 07:22:32	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcd3e1a…
07-02 04:44:04	will perplexitys valuation hit low 15b by december 31	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x3bbf32…
07-02 04:26:25	will perplexitys valuation hit low 15b by december 31	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x2d545f…
07-02 02:58:43	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x95f133…
07-02 02:58:31	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x9a25c9…
07-01 22:57:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x366734…
07-01 22:39:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x2ddf3d…
07-01 20:41:29	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xa50320…
07-01 18:20:13	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 20260629202434614	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xcbeff0…
07-01 16:10:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	22	61¢	$13	0xd40660…
07-01 16:04:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x2b899e…
07-01 14:17:05	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0x28cb41…
07-01 13:47:25	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x82bfa2…
07-01 09:48:14	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x696a7e…
07-01 09:39:10	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x75a79e…
07-01 08:04:37	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	No	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x442e37…
07-01 07:43:55	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa1e688…
07-01 07:43:38	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xa6a339…
07-01 07:37:49	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0x4f009b…
07-01 07:35:35	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x9f54fa…
06-30 23:28:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	54	2¢	$1	0xd7b280…
06-30 22:40:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0xe68454…
06-30 22:23:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138 872 385 636	No	BUY	81	9¢	$7	0x47066d…
06-30 20:14:29	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0xfc348e…
06-30 19:56:58	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0x59df8f…
06-30 11:31:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0xa0cf9b…
06-30 11:08:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	23	77¢	$18	0x6936e7…
06-30 01:04:25	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xc88b4b…
06-29 23:48:50	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x29651f…
06-29 22:13:14	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0xaac47e…
06-29 21:33:49	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xf371db…
06-29 18:41:02	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0x2a6ebc…
06-29 18:22:53	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xdac5b0…
06-29 16:04:17	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x0d0c30…
06-29 15:39:28	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	Yes	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0x96fc39…
06-29 15:32:32	will eisenkot join the bennett lapid alliance by august 31 2026 20260628215113848	Yes	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x4c146c…
06-29 14:21:56	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x28195c…
06-29 13:53:02	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xa590a1…
06-29 13:52:59	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x564668…
06-29 13:52:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0xfd1d7a…
06-29 13:48:19	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062	No	BUY	46	68¢	$31	0xc38b3c…
06-29 03:47:41	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0x376118…
06-28 20:36:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0xaf64fd…
06-28 17:34:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0x6fad8a…
06-28 17:10:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x51ff62…
06-28 17:03:16	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xfee57d…
06-27 13:27:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	138	16¢	$22	0xe54a64…
06-27 13:08:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	43	17¢	$7	0xdf2a53…
06-27 13:05:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	95	18¢	$17	0xc915c0…
06-27 10:42:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x682fec…
06-27 10:27:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x9b0f57…
06-27 06:10:55	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x5b7d9d…
06-27 06:08:31	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	27	86¢	$23	0x5cc1d2…
06-26 22:15:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	38	16¢	$6	0x68c9f1…
06-26 21:48:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	38	25¢	$10	0xc88912…
06-26 21:15:53	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	SELL	27	38¢	$10	0xbe4a9f…
06-26 21:15:53	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	SELL	34	34¢	$12	0x0e3be1…
06-26 21:15:10	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	Yes	BUY	34	60¢	$20	0x5f2139…
06-26 21:03:10	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	Yes	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x49205a…
06-26 19:09:28	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0x15697b…
06-26 18:43:37	will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	No	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xf0f737…
06-26 18:37:59	will russia enter krasnoiarske by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x1bf77f…
06-26 18:06:41	will russia enter krasnoiarske by september 30	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x0dc81d…
06-26 18:03:37	will steve witkoff attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044258	No	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x072ad9…
06-26 17:33:38	will steve witkoff attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044258	No	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xbb110f…
06-26 17:29:52	will jptdpt vance attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044256	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x74d56c…