Hospitable-Garage 0x58ceeb…a657c4
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$7
Unrealized P&L
+$26
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
19
19 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$410
$410 lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$338
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-17 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57% — —
Politics
43% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? No -100 $-81 88¢ $-88 $-8 05-10 23:01
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? Yes -65 $-60 88¢ $-57 +$3 05-17 00:52
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-42 86¢ $-43 $-1 05-17 00:52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -50 $-35 70¢ $-35 +$0 05-17 00:52
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? No -157 $-42 13¢ $-20 +$22 05-17 00:52
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -50 $-18 39¢ $-20 $-2 05-11 19:24
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes -50 $-17 34¢ $-17 +$0 05-17 00:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes -35 $-21 48¢ $-17 +$4 05-10 20:22
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -50 $-17 30¢ $-15 +$2 05-13 06:12
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Yes -100 $-16 12¢ $-12 +$4 05-11 03:23
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No -20 $-9 42¢ $-8 +$1 05-17 00:53
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes -50 $-4 10¢ $-5 $-0 05-17 00:53
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May? Yes -4 $-1 24¢ $-1 $-0 05-17 00:53