Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$248

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

83 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$14.3K

$19.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

$2.26K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-22 01:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

84% 48% +$1,036

Politics

15% 33% -$285

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	No	+2,037	$600	30¢	$621	+$21	09-25 21:00
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+990	$500	60¢	$594	+$94	10-05 09:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+1,643	$400	31¢	$509	+$109	09-26 02:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	+1,000	$500	48¢	$475	-$25	09-25 21:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,900	$300	2¢	$51	-$249	10-19 14:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by november 30 2027	No	+19	$5	32¢	$6	+$1	09-08 04:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.9K	1,133	1,133	+0	open	—	09-25 02:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$1.8K	1,843	1,843	+0	open	—	09-25 02:21
cfb ncar tcu 2026 08 29	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	North Carolina	+$429	08-29 19:31
Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	9	$1.5K	2,200	1,350	+850	Colorado	+$551	09-04 02:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$1.3K	854	854	+0	No	+$340	06-20 14:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$920	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$80	08-31 21:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$900	900	450	+450	Yes	-$306	04-30 15:06
UMass vs. Rutgers	2	$859	500	500	+0	UMass	+$140	09-04 01:06
Idaho State vs. Utah State	2	$826	552	552	+0	Idaho State	+$276	09-06 02:44
Alabama vs. Kentucky	3	$807	994	462	+533	Alabama	-$262	09-12 21:52
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	4	$717	508	508	+0	No	+$117	09-30 00:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	1	$600	2,037	0	+2,037	open	—	09-25 21:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$540	377	377	+0	No	+$140	07-07 02:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	09-25 21:03
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	1	$500	990	0	+990	open	—	10-05 09:48
Arizona vs. BYU	2	$454	732	732	+0	BYU	-$146	09-12 22:10
Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	3	$444	244	244	+0	Oklahoma State	+$44	09-12 21:28
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	3	$441	787	787	+0	No	+$41	01-23 18:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	4	$400	1,643	0	+1,643	open	—	09-26 02:42
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	1	$300	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	10-19 14:47
Houston vs. Texas Tech	1	$250	610	0	+610	Texas Tech	-$250	09-19 01:44
South Alabama vs. Tulane	1	$250	543	0	+543	Tulane	-$250	09-13 01:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$247	152	152	+0	No	+$47	04-23 19:31
Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	3	$217	162	79	+83	open	—	10-22 01:21
will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31	1	$200	1,667	0	+1,667	No	-$200	09-29 03:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	2	$200	627	0	+627	Yes	+$427	04-17 20:39
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$175	500	500	+0	Yes	-$15	04-29 12:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$150	413	401	+13	Yes	-$38	04-29 08:27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	2	$135	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$73	05-26 18:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	2	$126	723	723	+0	No	-$60	05-26 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 01:21:36	Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	No	SELL	79	91¢	$72	0xb5da08…
10-19 14:47:02	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,900	10¢	$300	0x9579da…
10-17 19:17:38	Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x372f57…
10-13 16:10:01	Will Arch Manning be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?	No	BUY	156	90¢	$140	0x1c79b6…
10-05 09:48:17	Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	990	50¢	$500	0x853c97…
10-02 12:18:30	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	16¢	$20	0x438c03…
09-30 00:02:23	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	127	95¢	$121	0x424129…
09-29 03:48:12	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	127	80¢	$102	0x44d9bd…
09-29 03:47:36	will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31	Yes	BUY	1,667	12¢	$200	0x324e40…
09-26 02:47:00	Northwestern vs. Indiana	Northwestern	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x3bf8c9…
09-26 02:42:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	No	BUY	139	29¢	$40	0xabdd84…
09-25 23:37:02	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	254	76¢	$194	0x8f1e17…
09-25 23:35:44	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	46	90¢	$41	0x3cefe1…
09-25 21:03:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	No	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x2224bb…
09-25 21:00:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2,037	29¢	$600	0x683ec0…
09-25 20:56:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x2fde5d…
09-25 20:54:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by march 31 2027	No	BUY	622	22¢	$140	0x17b9a8…
09-25 02:45:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	790	25¢	$200	0x47c56d…
09-25 02:22:03	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,133	91¢	$1,032	0x96d755…
09-25 02:21:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	1,843	77¢	$1,419	0x2e9d2c…
09-19 01:44:52	Houston vs. Texas Tech	Houston	BUY	610	41¢	$250	0x9c80fc…
09-15 20:56:25	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0x06e6aa…
09-13 01:06:27	South Alabama vs. Tulane	South Alabama	BUY	543	46¢	$250	0xfad9d3…
09-12 22:10:21	Arizona vs. BYU	Arizona	SELL	732	21¢	$154	0x6b24f2…
09-12 21:52:43	Alabama vs. Kentucky	Kentucky	BUY	533	44¢	$234	0x647b4f…
09-12 21:36:46	Arizona vs. BYU	Arizona	BUY	732	41¢	$300	0x4c1451…
09-12 21:35:33	Alabama vs. Kentucky	Alabama	SELL	462	59¢	$272	0x7ba554…
09-12 21:28:18	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0x6677f2…
09-12 21:01:54	Alabama vs. Kentucky	Alabama	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0xe6c517…
09-12 21:00:07	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x689886…
09-12 20:57:45	Oregon vs. Oklahoma State	Oklahoma State	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xf1f144…
09-08 04:41:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by november 30 2027	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x554e2b…
09-06 02:44:15	Idaho State vs. Utah State	Idaho State	SELL	552	100¢	$551	0xc04f02…
09-06 01:19:21	Idaho State vs. Utah State	Idaho State	BUY	552	50¢	$275	0xd755d6…
09-04 02:40:25	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Colorado	SELL	850	27¢	$230	0x06060c…
09-04 02:12:24	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Colorado	BUY	1,700	29¢	$493	0xf2ed3b…
09-04 02:03:42	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	SELL	500	71¢	$355	0xef3833…
09-04 01:42:13	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	BUY	146	78¢	$114	0xead9f0…
09-04 01:42:12	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe1ddcf…
09-04 01:42:12	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	BUY	125	78¢	$98	0xc782ab…
09-04 01:42:10	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	BUY	125	78¢	$98	0x0ded39…
09-04 01:42:10	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0573a3…
09-04 01:42:07	Colorado vs. Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	BUY	95	78¢	$74	0x741c9c…
09-04 01:06:48	UMass vs. Rutgers	UMass	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xc6c30f…
09-03 23:26:09	UMass vs. Rutgers	UMass	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x94e613…
09-01 14:34:06	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	455	78¢	$355	0x863581…
08-31 21:21:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	42¢	$420	0xee3178…
08-29 19:31:48	cfb ncar tcu 2026 08 29	North Carolina	SELL	1,000	100¢	$999	0x71aa61…
08-29 18:20:57	cfb ncar tcu 2026 08 29	North Carolina	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0x54bc35…
08-28 20:28:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x57d613…
08-07 18:09:04	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	46	79¢	$36	0xfbb4a7…
07-28 15:28:13	andrew tate released from custody by december 31 2026 20260719025109264	No	BUY	678	74¢	$500	0x4ec2c6…
07-07 02:33:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	506	40¢	$200	0x0590ba…
07-07 02:32:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	377	90¢	$340	0xd138d4…
06-24 17:10:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	377	53¢	$200	0x194444…
06-20 14:43:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,337	15¢	$200	0x674536…
06-20 14:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	854	94¢	$802	0x6b8542…
06-10 21:21:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0xa5c1a7…
06-10 21:21:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	72	84¢	$60	0x262511…
06-01 11:50:11	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	72	86¢	$62	0x86bdd8…
05-26 18:09:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,300	2¢	$31	0x02c02c…
05-26 18:09:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	723	5¢	$33	0xdd6173…
04-30 15:07:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	589	52¢	$306	0x55e0a7…
04-30 15:06:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	450	66¢	$297	0xfdcae4…
04-30 14:32:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	600	67¢	$402	0x656bc8…
04-30 14:31:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	67¢	$201	0xf10a4b…
04-29 21:26:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0x93dc62…
04-29 21:20:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe9d620…
04-29 20:47:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd5d2fa…
04-29 20:23:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	122	48¢	$59	0xc38b50…
04-29 16:10:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1,300	8¢	$104	0x89b88d…
04-29 12:48:56	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0xac8340…
04-29 12:40:38	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x7e77fe…
04-29 08:47:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	723	13¢	$93	0x010ce4…
04-29 08:27:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	401	12¢	$50	0xa20a9f…
04-23 19:31:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	152	97¢	$147	0xb17fd7…
04-19 21:40:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	413	24¢	$100	0x818bce…
04-17 20:41:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xadd50b…
04-17 20:39:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xf7b551…
04-17 20:39:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x00e20a…
01-23 18:47:50	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	SELL	787	31¢	$241	0x1ed1c0…
01-10 18:29:02	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xdc726f…
01-07 21:17:55	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x3b8f19…