Silver-Turf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$329

Hit rate

66.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$322

Open exposure

$638

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-19 19:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

78% 45% -$1,400

Crypto

12% 0% -$496

Sports

7% 50% +$650

Tech

3% 100% +$205

Politics

0% 0% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	+456	$371	43¢	$194	-$177	09-19 07:11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+800	$448	24¢	$188	-$260	10-19 19:04
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+466	$372	36¢	$168	-$204	10-13 10:42
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-5,712	-$400	2¢	$-89	+$312	05-12 22:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	5	$7.3K	4,199	4,199	+0	No	+$716	01-06 21:24
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	4	$3.6K	2,927	2,927	+0	Norway	+$1,724	07-05 22:08
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	5	$3.4K	6,681	500	+6,181	England	-$2,965	07-05 22:09
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$1.4K	926	926	+0	Yes	+$418	07-04 18:55
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	1	$1.0K	3,125	0	+3,125	No	-$1,000	07-05 22:08
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	10	$750	596	596	+0	Yes	+$175	03-03 06:42
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$729	435	435	+0	open	—	10-18 14:42
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$700	1,111	0	+1,111	Mexico	+$411	06-29 02:18
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$600	500	500	+0	Sean Strickland	+$400	05-10 05:04
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$582	1,861	0	+1,861	England	-$582	07-11 21:35
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$500	1,075	0	+1,075	76ers	-$500	05-03 00:37
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$500	833	0	+833	Spain	-$500	07-12 03:52
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$448	800	0	+800	open	—	10-19 19:04
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$440	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$440	04-21 20:21
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$400	0	5,712	-5,712	open	—	05-12 22:10
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$372	466	0	+466	open	—	10-13 10:42
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$371	456	0	+456	open	—	09-19 07:11
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$349	671	0	+671	Ciryl Gane	-$349	06-15 03:34
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	2	$338	200	200	+0	Yes	+$62	06-11 21:32
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	2	$328	1,384	1,384	+0	Yes	-$60	05-12 22:11
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?	1	$314	380	0	+380	open	—	09-19 07:10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	1	$300	536	0	+536	Yes	+$236	06-24 04:01
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$292	1,392	0	+1,392	Justin Gaethje	+$1,100	06-15 04:30
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	2	$290	594	0	+594	Yes	+$304	06-18 16:57
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	3	$209	578	578	+0	Yes	-$22	06-24 04:01
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	1	$200	364	0	+364	Under	-$200	07-06 18:22
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	1	$200	364	0	+364	Over	+$164	07-09 17:12
will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	13	$183	1,978	1,359	+619	No	-$2	03-02 19:57
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$119	159	0	+159	open	—	09-19 07:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$86	500	500	+0	Yes	-$24	03-02 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 19:04:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	56¢	$448	0x34abf1…
10-18 14:42:45	Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	415	89¢	$369	0x1208cd…
10-18 14:30:21	Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x31bf6f…
10-13 10:42:49	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xcf7d73…
09-19 07:11:15	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	161	90¢	$144	0xec531d…
09-19 07:11:06	Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	159	74¢	$119	0xb71e12…
09-19 07:10:57	Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	435	79¢	$342	0x78c7f5…
09-19 07:10:46	Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	380	83¢	$314	0x173e78…
09-19 07:10:40	Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	397	81¢	$322	0x684c17…
09-19 07:10:31	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	295	77¢	$226	0xe0b3bd…
07-12 03:52:05	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x1fbced…
07-11 21:35:07	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	1,861	31¢	$582	0xc0f70d…
07-09 17:12:59	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x45a7cd…
07-06 18:22:23	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x3a63c9…
07-05 22:09:32	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xbdd2c2…
07-05 22:08:53	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	3,125	32¢	$1,000	0x593e51…
07-05 22:08:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	2,573	100¢	$2,570	0xf8a2cc…
07-05 16:01:11	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0xf98962…
07-04 22:10:56	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	424	20¢	$85	0xc54c39…
07-04 22:10:17	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	355	32¢	$113	0xcc36d8…
07-04 18:55:40	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	2,727	33¢	$900	0x3cbfa5…
07-04 18:55:04	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	926	99¢	$918	0x2e0529…
07-04 16:37:53	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0xb2f605…
07-04 03:56:17	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	500	47¢	$235	0x582241…
07-03 03:05:43	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	1,489	47¢	$700	0x6b7742…
07-03 03:05:22	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	1,064	47¢	$500	0x54d46b…
07-02 15:21:22	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	2,128	47¢	$1,000	0xd37a45…
06-29 02:18:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x9a1500…
06-29 02:18:32	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	1,111	63¢	$700	0x2b1e7f…
06-24 17:53:44	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xb641bc…
06-24 04:01:31	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	192	16¢	$31	0x50eb19…
06-24 04:01:01	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xb4e1ee…
06-23 19:39:25	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0xfca638…
06-18 16:57:16	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xb008bb…
06-15 04:30:37	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	440	21¢	$92	0x19bbea…
06-15 04:28:09	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0xe1e333…
06-15 03:34:24	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	BUY	671	52¢	$349	0xaed9c6…
06-11 21:33:42	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x6f556c…
06-11 21:32:39	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x08aeea…
06-11 18:29:33	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0xe5de62…
05-12 22:11:07	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	387	16¢	$62	0xab071c…
05-12 22:11:00	Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,384	10¢	$134	0x669eca…
05-12 22:10:55	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,712	7¢	$400	0xe6a941…
05-10 05:04:34	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x8dc823…
05-10 02:47:48	Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,384	14¢	$194	0xd6f1a8…
05-10 02:46:33	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xf04960…
05-09 05:43:19	Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	578	20¢	$116	0x39a121…
05-03 00:37:06	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	1,075	47¢	$500	0x5113f5…
04-21 20:41:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xe52e75…
04-21 20:21:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,000	22¢	$440	0x636a11…
04-21 20:20:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x4c4d6d…
04-21 20:19:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	Yes	BUY	965	6¢	$53	0x9f9e85…
03-03 06:42:47	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	596	78¢	$463	0xa6c88d…
03-02 19:58:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	500	6¢	$32	0x654799…
03-02 19:57:47	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	302	2¢	$6	0xa022d0…
01-31 10:52:22	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	937	6¢	$60	0x221bc4…
01-30 04:54:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xf2d03c…
01-30 01:23:10	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x5405b7…
01-29 20:23:38	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	92	6¢	$6	0x82182c…
01-19 00:22:28	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	300	8¢	$23	0xfb07b4…
01-18 10:41:58	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x4b8422…
01-18 10:22:00	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8ad41e…
01-18 10:21:58	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	76	49¢	$37	0xac65be…
01-18 10:21:58	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8a8140…
01-18 10:21:40	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xdda98b…
01-18 10:21:40	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1b413c…
01-16 22:57:56	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	121	50¢	$61	0x2f83b6…
01-16 22:55:14	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	108	49¢	$53	0x45744d…
01-16 22:54:30	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	225	47¢	$105	0xe923c9…
01-15 16:29:18	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	107	28¢	$30	0x1b0651…
01-15 02:03:04	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	157	6¢	$10	0xb8cf9f…
01-14 21:01:22	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	243	6¢	$16	0x4ff514…
01-14 17:13:58	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	102	7¢	$7	0x2cdf0f…
01-14 17:13:44	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	107	6¢	$7	0x54ffe7…
01-14 17:13:36	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	135	6¢	$9	0xfbf180…
01-06 22:24:13	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xa3c238…
01-06 21:34:13	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	354	5¢	$16	0x11cde1…
01-06 21:24:31	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	492	96¢	$472	0x24f5de…
01-06 21:24:27	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0x475a7f…
01-06 21:24:21	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	3,646	96¢	$3,500	0x038d98…
01-06 21:15:33	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	BUY	3,679	79¢	$2,905	0x628795…
01-06 21:15:15	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	BUY	519	79¢	$410	0x8714a5…
01-06 06:09:35	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x6ba1bc…