Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

71.4%

Resolved

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$4.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-08 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% — —

Other

9% 100% +$3

Politics

1% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+43	$20	52¢	$23	+$3	06-08 11:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775998500	4	$315	372	0	+372	open	—	04-12 12:59
btc updown 5m 1774868100	3	$125	153	0	+153	open	—	03-30 10:59
btc updown 5m 1774619700	4	$113	167	0	+167	open	—	03-27 13:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$111	114	7	+107	open	—	05-01 08:19
btc updown 5m 1774534500	2	$105	134	0	+134	open	—	03-26 14:18
btc updown 5m 1776668700	4	$96	115	0	+115	open	—	04-20 07:09
btc updown 5m 1775483100	6	$75	98	0	+98	open	—	04-06 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776420300	2	$55	65	0	+65	open	—	04-17 10:09
btc updown 5m 1775971800	6	$55	87	0	+87	open	—	04-12 05:34
btc updown 5m 1775998800	1	$49	53	0	+53	open	—	04-12 13:02
eth updown 5m 1774892700	3	$47	58	0	+58	open	—	03-30 17:50
btc updown 5m 1776420600	2	$46	61	0	+61	open	—	04-17 10:12
btc updown 5m 1775490300	4	$45	66	0	+66	open	—	04-06 15:49
btc updown 5m 1775892900	6	$45	76	0	+76	open	—	04-11 07:39
btc updown 5m 1775897400	6	$45	62	0	+62	open	—	04-11 08:54
btc updown 5m 1776668400	3	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 07:04
btc updown 5m 1774538100	2	$40	46	0	+46	open	—	03-26 15:18
btc updown 5m 1774856400	4	$40	72	0	+72	open	—	03-30 07:43
btc updown 5m 1774542600	3	$40	52	0	+52	open	—	03-26 16:34
btc updown 5m 1775482200	4	$40	48	0	+48	open	—	04-06 13:34
btc updown 5m 1774871400	4	$40	53	0	+53	open	—	03-30 11:54
btc updown 5m 1776419700	5	$37	64	0	+64	open	—	04-17 09:58
btc updown 5m 1776694800	3	$36	55	0	+55	open	—	04-20 14:21
btc updown 5m 1775968500	5	$35	61	0	+61	open	—	04-12 04:39
btc updown 5m 1775892000	5	$35	53	0	+53	open	—	04-11 07:24
btc updown 5m 1774618500	4	$35	58	0	+58	open	—	03-27 13:39
btc updown 5m 1775971200	4	$35	44	0	+44	open	—	04-12 05:23
btc updown 5m 1774533900	3	$32	109	0	+109	open	—	03-26 14:09
btc updown 5m 1775484000	4	$32	45	0	+45	open	—	04-06 14:02
btc updown 5m 1776669300	3	$31	56	0	+56	open	—	04-20 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:39:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x937563…
05-02 19:41:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcf5a61…
05-01 09:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2f0616…
05-01 09:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xfe4181…
05-01 09:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x203c86…
05-01 09:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x4cdb4a…
05-01 09:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x61a666…
05-01 09:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4009c9…
05-01 09:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$2	0xbd2d7e…
05-01 09:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x28229e…
05-01 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x9e2256…
05-01 08:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe2f8f6…
05-01 08:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x908f11…
05-01 08:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x87324f…
05-01 08:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x728031…
05-01 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x220d5b…
05-01 08:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4de7c7…
05-01 08:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x6d1bba…
05-01 08:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x90895e…
05-01 08:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd0a25a…
04-28 17:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6628ea…
04-28 17:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa0ebe5…
04-28 04:16:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0298e3…
04-28 04:16:02	Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x919365…
04-28 03:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x8b6382…
04-27 12:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd470f9…
04-27 12:56:48	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3c9e1d…
04-27 12:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x416532…
04-27 11:56:46	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2ab731…
04-27 11:46:30	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x42d058…
04-27 11:45:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x0b4f30…
04-27 11:43:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xed1bd7…
04-27 10:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcd2c0d…
04-25 07:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xed1f63…
04-25 07:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3a42db…
04-25 07:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1ef902…
04-25 07:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xeab7b1…
04-25 07:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x2b7b8d…
04-25 07:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0a5dbc…
04-24 08:51:56	btc updown 5m 1777020600	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x1c3f6d…
04-24 04:56:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4e884f…
04-24 04:56:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8fc556…
04-24 04:56:20	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6be610…
04-24 04:55:48	FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5b4634…
04-23 19:07:50	btc updown 5m 1776971100	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2ff413…
04-23 19:04:22	btc updown 5m 1776970800	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xab6e09…
04-23 19:03:38	btc updown 5m 1776970800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x999ed8…
04-23 19:02:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7e8c87…
04-23 19:02:08	btc updown 5m 1776970800	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2a6e15…
04-23 18:57:06	btc updown 5m 1776970500	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x878f9d…
04-23 18:56:54	btc updown 5m 1776970500	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5f5cc7…
04-23 18:46:02	btc updown 5m 1776969900	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x198a45…
04-23 06:02:02	btc updown 5m 1776924000	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf1b059…
04-23 05:28:16	btc updown 5m 1776921900	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1e2a16…
04-23 05:18:30	btc updown 5m 1776921300	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x444126…
04-23 05:13:08	btc updown 5m 1776921000	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x16f8a6…
04-23 05:12:36	btc updown 5m 1776921000	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x10392c…
04-23 05:11:38	btc updown 5m 1776921000	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x186102…
04-23 05:10:40	btc updown 5m 1776921000	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x19f117…
04-23 05:06:20	btc updown 5m 1776920700	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xae071a…
04-23 04:47:26	spx opens up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x7be291…
04-23 04:47:12	dax up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x287082…
04-23 04:46:20	wti up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x03d92b…
04-23 04:44:54	btc updown 5m 1776919200	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0a67ae…
04-23 04:44:38	btc updown 5m 1776919200	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x542698…
04-22 18:57:18	btc updown 5m 1776884100	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x349698…
04-22 18:53:20	btc updown 5m 1776883800	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x495dcb…
04-22 18:51:54	btc updown 5m 1776883800	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x85c37c…
04-22 04:37:38	dax up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8d2dc7…
04-22 04:37:22	ukx up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xea2da3…
04-22 04:36:50	xauusd up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x825567…
04-22 04:36:08	spx opens up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x457b38…
04-21 18:53:50	btc updown 5m 1776797400	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4a8384…
04-21 18:51:14	hsi up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x226410…
04-21 17:57:26	btc updown 5m 1776794100	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xbe225a…
04-20 18:31:36	btc updown 5m 1776709800	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x949d3b…
04-20 18:31:16	btc updown 5m 1776709800	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x34d409…
04-20 18:29:50	btc updown 5m 1776709500	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5c6fb0…
04-20 18:23:38	btc updown 5m 1776709200	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5bee54…
04-20 17:44:48	btc updown 5m 1776706800	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xd696d1…
04-20 17:38:10	btc updown 5m 1776706500	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x87931b…
04-20 17:28:52	btc updown 5m 1776705900	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x8d04b5…
04-20 17:20:56	btc updown 5m 1776705600	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x239f19…
04-20 17:09:00	btc updown 5m 1776704700	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc6168c…
04-20 17:03:34	btc updown 5m 1776704400	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0fd2ed…
04-20 17:03:12	btc updown 5m 1776704400	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0856cc…
04-20 17:02:44	btc updown 5m 1776704400	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xa77b38…
04-20 17:01:20	btc updown 5m 1776704400	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd7fb0e…
04-20 16:59:34	btc updown 5m 1776704100	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x8a4a84…
04-20 16:56:48	btc updown 5m 1776704100	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa808a8…
04-20 16:54:58	btc updown 5m 1776703800	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1bdebf…
04-20 16:54:04	btc updown 5m 1776703800	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x22887e…
04-20 16:53:10	btc updown 5m 1776703800	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xc03d07…
04-20 16:53:00	btc updown 5m 1776703800	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x58e9d0…
04-20 16:49:18	btc updown 5m 1776703500	Down	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xc67e60…
04-20 16:47:40	btc updown 5m 1776703500	Down	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x80c76f…
04-20 16:46:34	btc updown 5m 1776703500	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf26d03…
04-20 16:28:38	btc updown 5m 1776702300	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x41ba90…
04-20 16:28:08	btc updown 5m 1776702300	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5341cb…
04-20 16:26:46	btc updown 5m 1776702300	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2f68db…