Likely-Kendo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$909

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$360

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-04 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 100% +$909

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.0K	531	531	+0	open	—	05-15 04:05
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	2	$933	507	507	+0	open	—	06-04 02:57
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$889	478	478	+0	open	—	06-03 07:43
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$614	324	324	+0	open	—	04-12 04:22
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)	1	$521	531	0	+531	open	—	05-15 04:18
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	1	$511	522	0	+522	open	—	05-14 05:15
Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	1	$484	508	0	+508	Athletic Club	+$24	05-13 04:57
Spread: Albania (-2.5)	1	$443	466	0	+466	open	—	06-03 08:01
fif cam bhu 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	1	$379	421	0	+421	open	—	06-04 03:00
uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$351	375	0	+375	open	—	04-16 07:34
sud rac bot 2026 04 15 spread away 1pt5	1	$324	348	0	+348	open	—	04-15 09:47
epl not ast 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	1	$308	325	0	+325	open	—	04-12 05:38
Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	1	$35	920	0	+920	Matsumoto Yamaga FC	+$885	05-06 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 03:00:19	fif cam bhu 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	421	90¢	$379	0x5e8c55…
06-04 02:57:07	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	507	92¢	$466	0xc7dbc1…
06-04 02:19:21	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	507	92¢	$466	0xd192d0…
06-03 08:01:54	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Israel	BUY	466	95¢	$443	0x087fb2…
06-03 07:43:02	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x7b5f66…
06-03 07:42:25	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	472	93¢	$439	0x0815e6…
06-03 07:15:37	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	478	93¢	$445	0x4346c1…
05-15 04:18:25	Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	531	98¢	$521	0x9c8641…
05-15 04:05:51	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	151	98¢	$149	0x23e633…
05-15 04:03:24	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	380	98¢	$372	0x1ae691…
05-15 02:41:49	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	531	98¢	$522	0x390ef2…
05-14 05:15:55	Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	522	98¢	$511	0x9fa8dd…
05-13 04:57:35	Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)	Athletic Club	BUY	508	95¢	$484	0xe1a616…
05-06 08:04:00	Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)	Matsumoto Yamaga FC	BUY	920	4¢	$35	0x6a3802…
04-16 07:34:10	uel bet1 scb 2026 04 16 spread away 1pt5	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	375	94¢	$351	0x29b19b…
04-15 09:47:18	sud rac bot 2026 04 15 spread away 1pt5	Racing Club	BUY	348	93¢	$324	0x27958a…
04-12 05:38:23	epl not ast 2026 04 12 spread away 2pt5	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	325	95¢	$308	0x2287b5…
04-12 04:22:19	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	324	95¢	$307	0xffcfe1…
04-12 03:25:19	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	324	95¢	$307	0x74c483…