Velvety-Broiler — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-27 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-1

Sports

29% 100% +$4

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$1.0K	597	446	+151	No	+$4	03-28 14:23
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	7	$916	482	482	+0	open	—	03-17 00:12
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$882	467	467	+0	Yes	$-1	03-15 12:41
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$598	308	308	+0	open	—	03-09 10:33
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	7	$576	296	296	+0	open	—	03-20 04:23
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$565	290	290	+0	open	—	03-23 03:44
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$508	262	262	+0	open	—	04-11 00:22
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$407	209	209	+0	open	—	04-11 14:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$360	186	186	+0	open	—	03-31 23:58
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$320	168	168	+0	open	—	03-06 01:56
2026 the players championship winner tommy fleetwood win	2	$306	158	158	+0	open	—	03-12 13:43
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$301	154	154	+0	open	—	03-12 23:53
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$298	152	152	+0	No	+$0	03-12 06:06
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$296	152	152	+0	open	—	03-18 22:13
2026 the players championship winner ludvig aberg win	2	$295	152	152	+0	open	—	03-10 09:14
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$293	156	156	+0	open	—	03-26 23:03
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$292	149	149	+0	open	—	03-09 05:27
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$288	148	148	+0	open	—	03-11 02:35
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$288	148	148	+0	open	—	03-16 08:59
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$284	147	147	+0	open	—	03-13 08:39
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$284	149	149	+0	open	—	03-20 22:52
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	13	$282	146	146	+0	open	—	03-12 19:25
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$268	141	141	+0	open	—	03-29 01:47
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$227	118	118	+0	open	—	04-01 04:42
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$221	115	115	-0	open	—	04-13 12:48
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$155	162	0	+162	open	—	03-04 15:17
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$124	63	63	+0	open	—	04-27 18:28
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 22 2026	2	$119	64	64	+0	open	—	06-19 13:33
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$117	61	61	+0	open	—	04-12 15:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	05-18 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 19:53:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x02a7af…
07-27 11:49:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xae7a58…
07-26 16:37:58	mlb hou cws 2026 07 26 extra innings	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x7c0589…
07-24 19:20:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x2d985b…
07-24 15:20:03	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8433a1…
07-24 14:46:57	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0x0f7f88…
07-24 08:46:22	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x16c386…
07-24 08:15:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xfd7f6b…
07-24 01:13:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x29ba45…
06-21 23:12:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x10fdfb…
06-21 17:10:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x8ca65e…
06-21 16:37:31	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	SELL	52	91¢	$47	0x22fd8e…
06-21 12:30:52	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0xae3984…
06-19 13:33:31	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	64	91¢	$58	0x173145…
06-19 09:31:32	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	64	96¢	$61	0x22a3c5…
06-06 18:31:45	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0xcdd218…
06-06 13:29:31	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x0f2d3e…
06-06 06:58:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0xa3d5ac…
06-06 01:54:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x5bbf40…
06-05 05:14:22	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0x4cfc16…
06-05 01:05:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x5bedb2…
06-03 21:58:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x934e55…
06-02 23:54:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x9b0279…
06-02 18:50:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x2f32e8…
06-02 12:38:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?	No	SELL	69	98¢	$68	0xee33d4…
05-19 19:23:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x131b02…
05-19 11:15:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x44a900…
05-18 11:06:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x747b38…
05-18 04:58:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x1c6092…
05-12 10:18:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	61	93¢	$56	0x14c90b…
05-06 05:27:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	61	94¢	$57	0x38e168…
04-28 02:08:58	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0x765b1d…
04-27 23:44:22	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$54	0x45a7c5…
04-27 23:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x7757db…
04-27 19:23:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xc61b94…
04-27 19:14:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0258aa…
04-27 18:28:56	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	63	97¢	$62	0xee4d12…
04-27 14:04:34	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x94e9dc…
04-27 12:18:50	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x7ceac4…
04-21 14:09:30	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0xccefaa…
04-21 08:05:32	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xfee1eb…
04-13 12:48:23	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0xb243ad…
04-13 06:41:13	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x01dd4f…
04-12 15:32:47	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0x8710d4…
04-12 07:20:19	will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x3e9c45…
04-12 06:59:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x2099b2…
04-11 23:39:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0xf7ca6f…
04-11 23:10:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xc16be7…
04-11 18:06:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x757b3c…
04-11 14:03:41	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x7955fa…
04-11 09:56:23	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xd5ba2e…
04-11 00:22:31	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xb663df…
04-10 18:12:45	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x64464c…
04-10 08:51:57	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0x296951…
04-09 22:08:25	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x2abe9c…
04-09 05:54:19	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x72698c…
04-09 00:20:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x8fcc52…
04-01 04:42:29	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	60	95¢	$56	0xa179cb…
04-01 00:27:27	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$57	0x539543…
03-31 23:58:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x7c326b…
03-31 19:26:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x4661be…
03-31 06:59:31	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	58	97¢	$57	0x77089b…
03-30 21:58:19	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	58	97¢	$57	0xb255af…
03-30 00:28:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	144	97¢	$139	0x4693c9…
03-29 19:40:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	97¢	$139	0x48d36b…
03-29 01:47:06	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	141	95¢	$134	0x495532…
03-28 17:54:21	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	141	95¢	$134	0x0556f7…
03-28 14:23:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	143	97¢	$138	0xd501a0…
03-28 10:06:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	143	97¢	$138	0xa67e6f…
03-26 23:03:25	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	156	94¢	$146	0x6b598c…
03-26 16:29:13	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	156	94¢	$147	0xdc7375…
03-23 03:44:57	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$142	0x5a229e…
03-22 21:53:11	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$143	0x7b9864…
03-22 21:08:43	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	149	98¢	$146	0x042ed2…
03-22 16:44:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	149	98¢	$146	0x61243e…
03-20 22:52:11	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	149	95¢	$142	0xb4126d…
03-20 20:21:07	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x6038aa…
03-20 18:32:49	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x99bf1b…
03-20 18:27:41	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x71e9b5…
03-20 16:50:13	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	150	98¢	$146	0x17497d…
03-20 09:03:35	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x52cefd…
03-20 04:23:43	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	150	98¢	$146	0x5e441f…
03-19 22:27:37	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xc469c9…
03-19 22:26:45	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xe87314…
03-19 22:20:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb70791…
03-19 14:41:37	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	143	97¢	$139	0xddf5b1…
03-19 06:19:19	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x969de3…
03-19 04:38:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	146	96¢	$139	0x70a858…
03-18 23:06:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$139	0x2a0782…
03-18 22:13:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	152	97¢	$148	0xb38b6f…
03-18 14:52:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	152	97¢	$148	0x3d617d…
03-17 00:12:27	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	155	96¢	$149	0x75c949…
03-16 18:10:41	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	141	96¢	$136	0x48ba9e…
03-16 18:10:25	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xfcdab2…
03-16 08:59:43	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	148	98¢	$144	0x5a9727…
03-16 02:02:01	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	124	97¢	$121	0x63babc…
03-16 01:45:31	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x62bc51…
03-16 01:45:15	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xf233e3…
03-16 01:08:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	146	98¢	$142	0x9dfa7b…
03-15 17:26:05	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x43acc1…