Unknown-Pride — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$336

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

Trades

838

lifetime

Volume

$151.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

$36

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-09 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

81% 67% +$56

Other

19% 100% +$280

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	+47	$17	44¢	$21	+$3	06-05 17:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	+80	$9	11¢	$9	$-0	06-01 14:04
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	+50	$4	12¢	$6	+$2	06-08 14:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	14	$11.0K	14,714	14,714	-0	open	—	03-25 18:06
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	68	$10.2K	13,669	12,669	+1,000	open	—	04-25 16:37
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	22	$8.9K	8,187	8,187	+0	open	—	03-25 20:26
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	15	$7.5K	6,314	6,314	+0	open	—	03-13 12:02
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	60	$6.7K	7,189	7,189	+0	open	—	02-06 10:10
iran closes its airspace by june 8	11	$6.3K	4,555	4,555	+0	open	—	06-07 21:23
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	11	$5.6K	5,885	5,903	-18	open	—	01-30 00:15
will the us invade iran by march 31	9	$4.9K	6,632	6,632	+0	open	—	03-19 18:44
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	16	$4.7K	3,012	3,012	+0	open	—	02-10 20:40
susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31	5	$3.6K	6,198	6,198	+0	open	—	03-16 20:57
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	13	$3.4K	4,049	4,049	+0	open	—	04-16 15:42
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	5	$3.3K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-20 14:13
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	19	$2.6K	1,275	1,935	-660	open	—	03-05 18:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	13	$2.6K	5,748	5,748	+0	open	—	04-14 22:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$2.5K	14,294	3,000	+11,294	open	—	04-07 22:12
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	8	$2.4K	6,484	5,484	+1,000	open	—	04-22 01:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	30	$2.3K	4,008	4,008	+0	open	—	04-21 18:11
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	9	$2.3K	1,999	1,999	+0	Yes	+$280	04-24 14:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	9	$2.2K	2,269	2,269	+0	open	—	04-20 17:10
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	6	$2.1K	2,571	2,571	+0	open	—	04-24 10:24
will trump visit china by march 31	8	$2.1K	1,644	1,644	+0	open	—	03-16 22:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$2.1K	3,130	3,130	+0	open	—	04-07 23:02
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	24	$2.0K	9,279	9,279	+0	open	—	04-15 09:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$2.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:02
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	7	$1.8K	3,473	3,473	+0	open	—	04-02 17:18
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	6	$1.8K	2,709	2,709	+0	open	—	04-25 14:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	15	$1.7K	6,153	6,153	-0	open	—	04-24 17:17
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	10	$1.7K	1,719	1,719	+0	open	—	04-21 18:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$1.5K	2,241	2,241	+0	open	—	04-24 13:32
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	4	$1.4K	1,033	1,033	+0	open	—	03-08 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:29:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x6e0785…
06-08 14:08:39	Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5b7e7f…
06-07 21:23:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	3,089	92¢	$2,830	0x3069b0…
06-07 20:01:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,330	62¢	$1,447	0x0073d8…
06-07 20:00:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	372	59¢	$219	0x7c0dca…
06-07 19:59:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	228	57¢	$131	0x718aaf…
06-07 19:59:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	160	59¢	$94	0x44f520…
06-07 19:59:12	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,466	40¢	$587	0xa506b0…
06-07 19:24:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	503	66¢	$331	0xea49a3…
06-07 19:24:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xf3ef7e…
06-07 19:24:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	629	68¢	$428	0xee255a…
06-07 19:23:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	184	68¢	$126	0xeeeb3f…
06-07 19:23:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	122	68¢	$83	0x47f24b…
06-05 17:20:33	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	BUY	47	37¢	$17	0x35d74c…
06-01 14:04:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$9	0xc85af2…
05-18 19:17:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	253	30¢	$76	0x80ab42…
05-08 17:12:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	290	3¢	$10	0xaba42a…
05-08 12:02:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	290	4¢	$12	0xbd5fc2…
05-07 09:31:14	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	SELL	290	91¢	$264	0xcd9cb4…
05-06 23:23:47	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x353298…
05-06 23:22:54	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Yes	BUY	240	71¢	$171	0xfadee1…
05-06 20:28:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	90¢	$189	0x280657…
04-29 10:01:22	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	5,197	0¢	$21	0x1c2a7c…
04-28 19:24:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	14¢	$140	0x6bae99…
04-28 19:22:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,066	1¢	$14	0x35429f…
04-28 15:32:20	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,066	1¢	$14	0x43af75…
04-28 15:30:04	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x5f2e7f…
04-25 16:37:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfd8bf3…
04-25 16:29:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	732	41¢	$299	0x5834ea…
04-25 14:11:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,374	10¢	$237	0x5a3d22…
04-24 17:31:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	732	17¢	$123	0x3ad57e…
04-24 17:18:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,255	58¢	$725	0xed69e7…
04-24 17:18:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	818	56¢	$459	0xb5fbf1…
04-24 17:17:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,653	8¢	$460	0xb22423…
04-24 17:10:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,128	18¢	$562	0x2ec2f2…
04-24 17:07:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0xede57c…
04-24 17:07:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	27¢	$18	0x9781ff…
04-24 17:07:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	27¢	$42	0x7f5c62…
04-24 17:07:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	656	27¢	$175	0x29e49b…
04-24 17:05:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x788a0c…
04-24 17:05:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	313	25¢	$78	0x2c9e38…
04-24 17:05:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	23¢	$30	0x7dba37…
04-24 17:04:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb8b167…
04-24 17:04:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0xe8fcd8…
04-24 17:04:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	16¢	$18	0x65853d…
04-24 16:09:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	592	21¢	$122	0x3de667…
04-24 15:50:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	45¢	$135	0x9e8eab…
04-24 14:43:58	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	SELL	2,307	5¢	$119	0x1ec178…
04-24 14:37:48	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0xb19366…
04-24 14:36:36	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	SELL	525	99¢	$520	0x9ec715…
04-24 14:36:28	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1,499	70¢	$1,049	0xd4b1d1…
04-24 14:21:28	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x5460c3…
04-24 14:20:48	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xf9a220…
04-24 14:20:44	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3c0363…
04-24 14:20:38	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	30¢	$51	0xde0b43…
04-24 14:06:26	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	3,989	2¢	$68	0x1094cb…
04-24 14:06:16	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	52¢	$520	0xdb9699…
04-24 14:04:00	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x532849…
04-24 14:03:42	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	89	43¢	$38	0x2b9142…
04-24 14:03:40	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	610	1¢	$8	0x426c57…
04-24 14:03:38	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x0434cb…
04-24 14:03:36	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	Yes	BUY	580	1¢	$5	0x336ee4…
04-24 14:03:30	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x2355a1…
04-24 14:03:26	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x69f3da…
04-24 14:02:52	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1408d3…
04-24 14:02:46	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	323	46¢	$147	0xafce9c…
04-24 14:02:40	Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?	Yes	BUY	192	38¢	$73	0x643bde…
04-24 13:32:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	25¢	$124	0x6e8965…
04-24 13:32:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	478	32¢	$153	0x7354fd…
04-24 13:32:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	934	33¢	$308	0x6b7a72…
04-24 13:24:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	478	36¢	$172	0x86c1f6…
04-24 13:24:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	39¢	$75	0x5c5570…
04-24 13:24:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	39¢	$42	0x41cf5a…
04-24 13:24:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	535	39¢	$209	0x341ebf…
04-24 13:24:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xd64532…
04-24 13:21:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x9deaf2…
04-24 13:14:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	400	66¢	$265	0x3b0e2d…
04-24 13:14:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	54¢	$268	0x6db7b9…
04-24 12:39:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	400	54¢	$216	0xd83980…
04-24 12:38:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0xccf51a…
04-24 11:35:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$49	0x9138bd…
04-24 11:35:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	47¢	$70	0x7103cd…
04-24 11:35:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	525	25¢	$133	0xf00e4f…
04-24 11:35:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	867	38¢	$329	0xc425aa…
04-24 11:11:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	23¢	$34	0xe012fb…
04-24 11:06:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	867	13¢	$112	0xe2057b…
04-24 11:06:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	525	9¢	$47	0x7ebd38…
04-24 10:24:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	2,571	45¢	$1,158	0x2c9ee8…
04-24 10:22:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,237	49¢	$606	0xcbb001…
04-24 00:22:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0x84a932…
04-23 23:25:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x63a7b4…
04-23 23:20:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x7a0cc6…
04-23 23:20:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	235	27¢	$63	0x178691…
04-23 14:04:36	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x691d2b…
04-23 12:25:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xba97c2…
04-23 10:36:24	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,238	10¢	$124	0x48e272…
04-22 22:52:22	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,238	14¢	$170	0xa6e915…
04-22 22:07:20	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	2,709	6¢	$163	0x2012ec…
04-22 22:07:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	558	26¢	$145	0x5e1c8d…
04-22 18:04:28	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	SELL	382	69¢	$263	0x11a58d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	142	$29.4M	46,524	06-09 22:13
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	133	$589.6K	43,026	06-01 04:28
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	132	$1.33M	23,094	06-10 00:12
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	124	$25.9K	4,682	06-08 18:29
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	120	$110.9K	10,884	06-07 19:56
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	119	$7.55M	22,828	06-09 23:05
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	113	$800.3K	9,081	06-09 01:28
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	112	$72.5K	15,619	05-07 15:12