Outrageous-Concert — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$13

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

110

110 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.05K

$2.05K lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$40

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 99% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up		+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	05-07 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up		+20	$20	99¢	$20	+$0	05-07 10:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	05-07 07:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-07 02:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$20	22	+22	Up	$-20	05-06 18:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-06 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-06 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-07 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-05 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-06 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-06 02:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	05-06 04:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-06 03:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-07 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-06 02:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	05-07 07:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-06 05:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-06 15:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-06 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Up	+$1	05-06 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-06 15:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-06 05:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-06 02:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 20:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-07 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-07 06:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	05-07 07:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-06 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-07 04:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 10:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcd6ef0…
05-07 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9e540f…
05-07 08:58:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x395726…
05-07 08:53:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa97f52…
05-07 08:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x067d15…
05-07 08:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x05dcbe…
05-07 08:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xffe1bb…
05-07 08:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xebd525…
05-07 08:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdacfb9…
05-07 07:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa3ebad…
05-07 07:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x278e4e…
05-07 07:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0d75cf…
05-07 07:13:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4ac162…
05-07 06:48:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2871be…
05-07 06:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1a59c0…
05-07 06:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3a460c…
05-07 06:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfa6f60…
05-07 05:54:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xef3aea…
05-07 04:18:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1282bd…
05-07 04:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x115896…
05-07 03:58:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x273e23…
05-07 03:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xabde58…
05-07 03:28:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x34af9e…
05-07 03:08:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x567443…
05-07 02:48:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xca626f…
05-07 02:08:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe3f630…
05-07 01:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6de30d…
05-07 01:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6f2559…
05-07 01:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x02c00f…
05-07 01:03:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x9bc744…
05-07 00:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa04761…
05-06 18:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x358ecb…
05-06 18:33:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x80e970…
05-06 17:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa89f6f…
05-06 17:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0b4721…
05-06 16:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf4ff8b…
05-06 15:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x477fe0…
05-06 15:44:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd8a067…
05-06 08:44:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4facdb…
05-06 08:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf1ae4f…
05-06 08:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd977ac…
05-06 07:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xff71d3…
05-06 07:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe4281a…
05-06 06:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x304f18…
05-06 06:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbaa668…
05-06 06:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc5b5af…
05-06 06:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4f2329…
05-06 06:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x218167…
05-06 06:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb28931…
05-06 05:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xecf04f…
05-06 05:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb563f7…
05-06 05:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x89dd48…
05-06 05:34:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6e853c…
05-06 05:09:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x926bfe…
05-06 04:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x2b7da0…
05-06 04:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5a77dd…
05-06 04:29:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8418cf…
05-06 04:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3ec813…
05-06 04:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe9acce…
05-06 04:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1d1505…
05-06 03:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe49668…
05-06 03:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x71dce1…
05-06 03:29:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb67ac3…
05-06 02:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb55c12…
05-06 02:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfc3e83…
05-06 02:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0a5651…
05-06 02:34:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x77f0ca…
05-06 02:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb9e1e8…
05-06 02:28:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7e766a…
05-06 02:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3c7c97…
05-06 02:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa3fea6…
05-06 01:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x53bbea…
05-06 01:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc94f60…
05-06 01:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2a30d1…
05-06 01:04:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2eb294…
05-06 01:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe6889f…
05-06 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x43e916…
05-06 00:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x63bff9…
05-06 00:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4fd2a1…
05-06 00:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x0b8a83…
05-06 00:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7e6fee…
05-06 00:23:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xa0859d…
05-06 00:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xbf80c8…
05-06 00:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6a772b…
05-05 20:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x926233…
05-05 20:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1c3ee7…
05-05 20:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x4ae943…
05-05 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x76b3f1…
05-05 20:03:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe1bfe5…
05-05 18:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe922da…
05-05 18:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x698b8d…
05-05 18:13:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5c498a…
05-05 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6d069a…
05-05 16:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe8cd81…
05-05 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x869d3a…
05-05 06:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcdcbb2…
05-05 04:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x588544…
05-05 01:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa65dad…
05-05 00:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf79e9e…
05-05 00:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x558ee3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Giant-Wear 0xf00a…dc01	102	$1.02K	102	05-07 10:39
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	95	$11.9K	449	05-07 10:41
Trivial-Squash 0xe703…21d2	71	$610	71	05-07 08:58
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	70	$1.32K	260	05-07 10:36
Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4	68	$1.27K	182	05-07 10:39
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	55	$33.8K	219	05-07 08:53
Mountainous-Buy 0x4228…34cb	55	$1.56K	144	05-07 10:37
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	52	$1.79K	124	05-07 10:35