Querulous-Standardisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$426

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.4%

Resolved

184

Trades

764

lifetime

Volume

$5.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-28

last 05-29 10:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

56% 5% -$242

Politics

22% 12% -$63

Tech

15% 6% -$40

Crypto

5% 23% -$71

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$9

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	12	$243	242	242	+0	No	-$7	05-28 16:04
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?	5	$217	200	200	+0	Yes	-$11	05-26 04:50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?	2	$158	100	100	+0	Yes	-$4	05-28 13:42
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$150	100	100	+0	No	-$6	04-28 19:43
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	7	$125	162	162	+0	No	-$11	05-29 00:49
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	12	$113	102	102	+0	No	-$1	05-29 04:55
highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 42 43f	17	$110	127	117	+10	Yes	-$5	03-28 20:06
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	9	$107	116	116	+0	No	-$3	05-28 16:04
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 2pm et	15	$100	45	160	-115	Down	-$59	03-30 18:46
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?	9	$95	105	105	+0	Yes	-$9	05-27 10:05
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $212 in May?	7	$95	111	111	+0	No	-$8	05-28 08:28
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	11	$94	129	129	+0	Yes	-$3	05-28 14:36
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$92	50	50	+0	No	$0	05-26 10:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?	4	$86	72	72	+0	No	-$2	05-26 03:12
Will President Trump sign 7 pieces of legislation into law in May?	6	$82	50	50	+0	No	-$3	05-28 08:28
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $208 in May?	5	$79	63	63	+0	Yes	-$3	05-27 10:07
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?	9	$78	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-26 02:14
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$73	50	50	+0	No	-$8	05-29 05:54
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	4	$71	65	65	+0	No	-$2	05-26 10:46
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31?	2	$71	40	40	+0	No	-$2	05-26 10:46
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $204 in May?	7	$69	108	108	+0	Yes	-$46	05-26 10:47
Will Ninjas in Pyjamas make a roster change before July?	6	$68	60	60	+0	No	-$1	05-26 10:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	10	$66	199	199	+0	No	-$4	05-27 06:48
highest temperature in nyc on april 6 2026 54 55f	4	$65	59	59	+0	Yes	-$1	04-06 08:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	2	$64	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	05-29 07:14
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?	10	$61	48	48	+0	No	-$1	05-28 14:45
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?	3	$60	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	05-26 10:46
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	8	$58	67	67	+0	Yes	-$6	05-29 01:24
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	9	$58	47	47	+0	Yes	-$4	05-27 10:05
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 in May?	2	$58	50	50	+0	Yes	-$1	05-26 04:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 10:23:17	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x15943b…
05-29 10:23:15	will ethereal launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x4e040d…
05-29 10:23:13	Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?	No	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x131d3b…
05-29 10:23:08	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7908ac…
05-29 10:23:06	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xe6f1f3…
05-29 10:23:05	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xc1f0e0…
05-29 10:23:05	will ethereal launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x7e9c60…
05-29 10:23:03	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x1a7490…
05-29 10:23:01	Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xa78c8b…
05-29 10:23:01	Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x0672cc…
05-29 10:22:58	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xdf2320…
05-29 10:22:58	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x256074…
05-29 10:20:18	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3ce5c7…
05-29 10:07:42	Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x90b367…
05-29 10:05:29	Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x0ba57a…
05-29 09:35:18	Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x8ced48…
05-29 09:35:18	Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 200k and 225k?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x765eda…
05-29 08:40:12	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xe78d31…
05-29 08:37:49	Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x478d44…
05-29 08:33:25	Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x04fa7c…
05-29 08:33:07	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x157c54…
05-29 08:32:50	Will Tori launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x642e6a…
05-29 08:31:27	will noble launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xae7cf1…
05-29 08:25:34	Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x3b7390…
05-29 08:24:13	Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x2c87bb…
05-29 08:23:35	Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x991c15…
05-29 08:12:02	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x0d76be…
05-29 08:11:23	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xdb5391…
05-29 08:02:35	Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x764fad…
05-29 08:02:21	Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?	No	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xc92abf…
05-29 08:02:10	Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x6ce9e3…
05-29 07:31:45	will reppo launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x4e7178…
05-29 07:18:31	Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xf3d74e…
05-29 07:14:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x2ad972…
05-29 07:14:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x15f213…
05-29 07:08:39	Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x068b89…
05-29 07:03:31	Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xa3e938…
05-29 06:47:53	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x05806a…
05-29 06:47:09	Will Ethereal launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xe5d985…
05-29 05:54:50	Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xde64ff…
05-29 05:54:50	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x65163e…
05-29 05:54:50	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x4a4804…
05-29 05:54:48	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xf8bad4…
05-29 05:54:48	Will Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x6a81c9…
05-29 05:46:50	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xe28261…
05-29 05:46:24	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x4de63a…
05-29 05:36:45	Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x0640c1…
05-29 05:36:22	Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x635e26…
05-29 05:34:37	Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.5B and $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x263c7c…
05-29 05:34:27	Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.5B and $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x460696…
05-29 05:33:41	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xa1ec44…
05-29 05:18:52	Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xd0d4d1…
05-29 05:13:02	Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf4b41e…
05-29 05:02:08	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x076b96…
05-29 04:56:54	Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x79de80…
05-29 04:56:28	Will "Iceman" - Drake 2nd week album sales be between 225k and 250k?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xefeb4f…
05-29 04:55:58	Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x0cd387…
05-29 04:55:48	Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xd2c319…
05-29 04:08:17	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x2b0d01…
05-29 04:07:44	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x1cd952…
05-29 03:54:42	Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xb95a67…
05-29 03:15:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 29?	No	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0xcf8307…
05-29 03:15:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x2389c4…
05-29 03:12:17	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?	Yes	SELL	35	22¢	$8	0x73e271…
05-29 03:01:14	Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.5B and $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xff4edf…
05-29 03:00:53	Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.5B and $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe0aeec…
05-29 02:17:15	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x0932e8…
05-29 02:10:36	Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be above 20%?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x440b22…
05-29 02:10:03	Will Five Below Q1 comparable sales growth be above 20%?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x3a82e5…
05-29 02:05:40	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be at least $5.25B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x8e5ff5…
05-29 02:05:05	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be at least $5.25B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xc11d5c…
05-29 01:59:47	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	43¢	$17	0xcbac4e…
05-29 01:59:19	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xb00181…
05-29 01:59:19	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x1ed721…
05-29 01:54:46	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xbe90c5…
05-29 01:53:18	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xdb2742…
05-29 01:53:02	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x81c897…
05-29 01:52:52	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x882133…
05-29 01:39:15	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x1beb5f…
05-29 01:39:04	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x6663a4…
05-29 01:28:41	Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xd105e7…
05-29 01:28:11	Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xec8d4e…
05-29 01:24:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0xf564c3…
05-29 01:23:56	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x7a8f8f…
05-29 01:15:23	Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x1dcea1…
05-29 01:14:46	Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x60f2b8…
05-29 00:52:19	Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x0bc145…
05-29 00:51:32	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x4fe9ae…
05-29 00:51:21	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa73965…
05-29 00:49:20	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x9c2634…
05-29 00:48:52	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x279c42…
05-29 00:41:21	Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xe6cdca…
05-29 00:40:48	Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x723cb8…
05-29 00:16:28	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x003036…
05-29 00:09:54	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x3de374…
05-29 00:08:58	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	21¢	$5	0x2a4cc0…
05-29 00:08:48	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd4ad50…
05-29 00:06:24	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xf76bd7…
05-29 00:04:50	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x65051d…
05-29 00:04:39	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xa74b8b…