Distinct-Method — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$844

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,778

lifetime

Volume

$154.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$192

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-15 10:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% 45% $-855

Politics

24% 100% +$11

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No		-200	$-190	96¢	$-192	$-2	06-08 22:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will scream 7 score at least 50 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	32	$6.6K	4,890	1,991	+2,899	open	—	03-01 23:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	11	$6.2K	3,600	2,672	+928	open	—	04-28 16:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$6.0K	6,004	0	+6,004	open	—	03-04 18:28
will reminders of him score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	16	$5.6K	2,939	2,939	+0	open	—	03-16 04:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	38	$3.8K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	02-28 18:07
will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	12	$3.3K	1,635	1,730	-95	open	—	02-22 18:00
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$3.2K	1,600	1,800	-200	open	—	02-28 06:38
will scream 7 score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	27	$3.2K	2,227	1,006	+1,221	open	—	03-02 03:49
will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota by december 31	9	$2.5K	2,048	442	+1,606	open	—	02-21 20:31
will anaconda make 70 million or more domestically by january 31	12	$2.4K	1,460	1,158	+302	open	—	01-10 16:07
will scream 7 second weekend box office be greater than 31m	8	$2.3K	917	1,400	-483	open	—	03-11 10:03
will mrbeasts latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1 993 797	9	$2.2K	1,246	1,008	+238	open	—	02-22 10:58
will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	47	$2.2K	10,384	1,514	+8,870	open	—	03-20 23:47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$2.1K	2,373	0	+2,373	open	—	02-28 19:30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	03-12 17:48
will goat second weekend box office be between 15m and 17pt5m	10	$2.0K	1,041	948	+94	open	—	02-23 09:10
will undertone opening weekend box office be between 8m and 9m	54	$1.9K	14,616	620	+13,996	open	—	03-20 23:47
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	3	$1.8K	934	934	+0	open	—	02-07 05:02
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	30	$1.6K	942	762	+180	open	—	02-22 14:49
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	7	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-28 17:15
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-20 18:26
will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	15	$1.5K	837	740	+97	open	—	02-22 15:03
will how to make a killing opening weekend box office be between 2pt5m and 3m	10	$1.5K	782	796	-14	open	—	02-28 15:25
will forbidden fruits score at least 79 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	15	$1.5K	1,485	1,485	+0	open	—	03-30 18:49
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-18 20:51
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	6	$1.5K	873	600	+273	open	—	02-25 07:21
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	2	$1.4K	1,432	0	+1,432	open	—	02-03 20:18
will the bride opening weekend box office be less than 10m	7	$1.4K	692	692	+0	open	—	03-11 10:01
will i can only imagine 2 opening weekend box office be less than 10m	5	$1.2K	615	615	+0	open	—	02-23 07:42
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-26 06:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 10:02:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x24a881…
06-08 22:46:48	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x1ad8db…
06-05 18:57:00	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x2c4b82…
06-05 17:33:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x1cec86…
05-27 04:28:21	will the last viking score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xc9223b…
05-27 04:27:34	Will "The Last Viking" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x6a7b4f…
05-24 15:27:22	Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$143	0x750177…
05-24 06:04:16	Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xed9756…
05-24 06:00:31	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0xfe0d8b…
05-23 08:28:45	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x47ef12…
05-23 06:32:14	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x9d3194…
05-19 02:53:32	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	252	6¢	$15	0x65b9dd…
05-19 02:50:09	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x15668d…
05-18 20:51:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$390	0xddec75…
05-18 20:29:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x42d0b5…
05-18 17:31:34	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd4f3a2…
05-18 17:25:51	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0xbe28f4…
05-18 16:41:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x849113…
05-18 16:29:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0xd9edea…
05-18 16:26:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6da36f…
05-18 16:20:30	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x0d1924…
05-18 15:03:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x7d5766…
05-16 05:33:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x1c8bc7…
05-16 04:54:01	Will "In the Grey" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x9981ec…
05-16 04:53:46	Will "In the Grey" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xb2eb8d…
05-16 04:53:30	Will "In the Grey" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xbfcaa6…
05-16 04:53:16	Will "In the Grey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$128	0x73ad3a…
05-15 16:27:16	Will "In the Grey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x19365e…
05-15 15:23:48	Will "In the Grey" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xce583c…
05-15 00:10:44	Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x615a2a…
05-14 22:50:56	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x7776ea…
05-13 09:48:02	Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd51a7d…
05-12 22:16:10	Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc01297…
05-12 14:53:22	Will "Obsession" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa69c39…
05-12 09:48:46	Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xe85d09…
05-12 08:59:13	Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x9895d4…
05-11 11:07:43	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0x21c13d…
05-11 09:13:56	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	195	93¢	$181	0xe5eb17…
05-11 09:11:39	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x59dbd3…
05-11 04:26:35	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x1768b6…
05-09 17:16:50	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x4b7d86…
05-09 09:59:06	Will "Obsession" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x973fcf…
05-09 04:45:53	Will "Obsession" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xccf4a6…
05-08 22:46:23	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	162	10¢	$16	0xd130c5…
05-08 21:05:57	Will "Obsession" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x349250…
05-08 20:51:00	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	165	99¢	$163	0x532e7d…
05-08 19:48:03	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	510	12¢	$61	0xae9c65…
05-08 19:24:33	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	94	10¢	$9	0xdf263e…
05-08 19:24:10	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	376	10¢	$38	0x06feed…
05-08 19:23:10	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x9e4a69…
05-08 18:37:54	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x27c0cd…
05-08 18:37:25	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	464	24¢	$111	0x8f71b5…
05-08 18:29:27	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xf74717…
05-08 18:24:54	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	164	94¢	$155	0xfeb150…
05-08 17:59:49	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xaa37eb…
05-08 17:31:26	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	49	89¢	$43	0x80c97f…
05-08 13:50:09	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d5a7c…
05-08 12:44:58	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x2dba6a…
05-08 11:32:49	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x2ab028…
05-08 10:18:04	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	169	65¢	$110	0xc5283a…
05-08 06:44:46	Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xc9a7c2…
05-08 06:12:57	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x07097d…
05-08 03:54:52	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xce317c…
05-07 19:44:52	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0xb96f0d…
05-07 15:07:35	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x9c9f48…
05-07 15:07:17	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x639c93…
05-07 14:51:41	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	69	55¢	$38	0x61e16b…
05-07 07:08:59	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	824	0¢	$1	0x564fc2…
05-07 07:08:21	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x368bbe…
05-07 06:24:01	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x79da46…
05-07 01:47:08	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	130	89¢	$116	0xd77f16…
05-07 01:19:27	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x212943…
05-06 23:35:48	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe2c002…
05-06 23:31:30	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0xeb95a0…
05-06 23:10:13	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xe47c56…
05-06 21:33:51	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x363e31…
05-06 21:11:04	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x07387b…
05-06 20:12:13	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf95c7a…
05-06 20:11:06	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x88311f…
05-06 19:52:47	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x178939…
05-06 18:11:29	Will "Obsession" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe98180…
05-06 18:08:54	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xec5150…
05-06 17:27:23	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	69	67¢	$46	0xb16d12…
05-06 17:22:56	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xf7cd2a…
05-06 17:19:29	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0xfb6b7a…
05-06 17:08:28	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	149	97¢	$145	0xe21ccf…
05-06 17:07:16	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcf19c9…
05-06 17:07:16	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x3ec37e…
05-06 17:06:48	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	341	98¢	$333	0x1fe8f8…
05-06 17:06:41	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x465c3c…
05-06 17:06:39	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	95	90¢	$86	0x1a9c0f…
05-06 17:06:37	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3509cc…
05-06 17:06:36	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x175330…
05-06 17:06:34	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x35a26f…
05-06 17:06:32	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0x897d8a…
05-06 17:06:32	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x36c861…
05-06 17:06:23	Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xea024b…
05-06 13:23:34	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	86	8¢	$7	0x044044…
05-06 13:09:40	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x928c64…
05-06 12:51:24	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0xab6df1…