Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$491

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-21

last 09-03 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 48% -$12

Other

7% 0% -$35

Sports

5% 0% -$23

Politics

4% 0% -$15

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes		+20	$3	2¢	$0	-$3	07-01 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:50 UTC	5	$45	34	34	+0	Down	+$15	07-21 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$45	41	41	+0	Up	+$25	07-21 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:40 UTC	4	$45	33	23	+9	Down	+$6	07-21 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:55 UTC	4	$32	30	30	+0	Down	$0	07-21 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:45 UTC	3	$27	91	16	+75	Up	+$5	07-21 07:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	2	$27	29	29	+0	Up	+$7	07-21 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$26	28	22	+6	Up	+$0	07-21 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$23	558	8	+550	Up	-$7	07-21 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$18	55	10	+45	Up	-$2	07-21 07:18
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$15	224	0	+224	No	-$15	07-01 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:15 UTC	3	$15	26	0	+26	Down	-$8	07-21 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$14	20	20	+0	Down	+$4	05-21 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:25 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	07-21 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$10	750	0	+750	Down	-$10	07-21 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:30 UTC	1	$8	15	0	+15	Up	-$8	07-21 07:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:50 UTC	1	$8	15	0	+15	Up	-$8	07-21 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$8	14	0	+14	Down	-$8	07-21 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:20 UTC	2	$6	80	0	+80	Down	-$6	07-21 07:23
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	1	$5	29	0	+29	No	-$5	07-09 10:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:10 UTC	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	-$5	07-09 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	-$5	05-21 08:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:10 UTC	2	$5	208	0	+208	Up	-$5	07-21 11:13
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$4	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$4	05-21 08:21
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	188	0	+188	No	-$3	07-02 06:14
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	1	$3	120	0	+120	No	-$3	07-01 08:01
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	1	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	07-01 08:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	1	$3	91	0	+91	No	-$3	07-01 08:03
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	45	0	+45	No	-$3	06-17 11:08
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$2	05-21 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 06:30 UTC	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	07-23 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 13:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x711a49…
09-02 09:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x06d610…
09-02 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x54296e…
08-28 06:28:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xbb819d…
08-25 06:12:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2a4a3f…
08-20 12:19:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x68794c…
08-20 12:19:31	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x265d75…
08-12 06:16:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc68b28…
08-11 14:31:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x649df0…
07-30 13:27:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa4a610…
07-28 14:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x439db9…
07-28 14:34:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x946357…
07-28 11:44:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x193d25…
07-28 11:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x625db3…
07-24 12:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa0f279…
07-24 12:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf3db8a…
07-24 12:36:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xec79d0…
07-24 08:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1a555a…
07-23 13:05:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x296f8f…
07-23 06:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2ea7f7…
07-23 06:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6b8815…
07-22 06:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9a62b…
07-22 06:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13ce25…
07-22 05:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf6299c…
07-22 05:44:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf86234…
07-21 13:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfeee20…
07-21 13:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8de50b…
07-21 11:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x715c28…
07-21 11:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x887ea0…
07-21 11:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x35056a…
07-21 11:13:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x92ba1c…
07-21 11:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x47b883…
07-21 10:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbb4d8f…
07-21 10:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0xdf51ab…
07-21 10:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x56c355…
07-21 08:02:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x882397…
07-21 08:00:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0235ec…
07-21 07:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0xe58b10…
07-21 07:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x648156…
07-21 07:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x9f7800…
07-21 07:56:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xf48e79…
07-21 07:49:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xe2d05c…
07-21 07:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x8a67f1…
07-21 07:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xae9528…
07-21 07:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xa10c8d…
07-21 07:43:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xc7bdac…
07-21 07:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0xa80f34…
07-21 07:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x18045b…
07-21 07:42:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xd3bd62…
07-21 07:31:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x26862e…
07-21 07:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x206c30…
07-21 07:26:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x873591…
07-21 07:23:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x9c172a…
07-21 07:20:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x71166d…
07-21 07:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x99af29…
07-21 07:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x5faad3…
07-21 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfa25d6…
07-21 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdb69c1…
07-21 07:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9d0ca1…
07-21 07:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$8	0x23cdf0…
07-21 07:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1a9827…
07-21 07:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1555b3…
07-21 07:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x67c012…
07-21 07:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xd79df7…
07-21 06:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x78be6c…
07-21 06:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0x0e5aa9…
07-21 06:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x0666cd…
07-21 06:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x115f5a…
07-21 06:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcd62db…
07-21 06:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x5061fd…
07-21 06:52:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xee1ffc…
07-21 06:52:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc7c42d…
07-09 10:13:04	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x639dc5…
07-09 10:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xac2ec1…
07-09 10:09:59	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x816384…
07-09 10:09:56	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	368	0¢	$1	0x108e95…
07-09 10:09:22	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	264	0¢	$1	0x01a055…
07-09 10:09:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x06944f…
07-09 10:09:14	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x485625…
07-09 10:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeec34c…
07-04 12:41:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	473	0¢	$1	0x390410…
07-04 12:41:32	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7a0a85…
07-04 12:41:14	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x17d4fd…
07-02 06:14:47	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	188	2¢	$3	0x9f6615…
07-01 08:08:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5dbe01…
07-01 08:08:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x73ddf4…
07-01 08:08:46	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1b7519…
07-01 08:08:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6d02dc…
07-01 08:08:38	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd785ec…
07-01 08:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x104826…
07-01 08:07:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	0¢	$1	0xf55f49…
07-01 08:07:10	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xc85c88…
07-01 08:07:02	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	0¢	$1	0x559727…
07-01 08:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xb225f3…
07-01 08:06:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xb8848c…
07-01 08:06:40	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xc1f8fb…
07-01 08:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	1¢	$1	0xb9ff38…
07-01 08:04:41	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x5fd73f…
07-01 08:04:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x4984aa…
07-01 08:03:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	91	3¢	$3	0x20fa41…