Realized P&L (24h)
+$29
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved (24h)
12
Trades (24h)
7
40,054 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$61
$993.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$246
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 07:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Sports
46% 73% -$7,693
Crypto
33% 92% +$475
Other
20% 65% -$257
Politics
1% 42% -$633
Tech
0% 17% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% 29% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +31 $10 56¢ $18 +$8 10-26 02:32
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +13 $10 100¢ $13 +$3 10-10 00:03
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +24 $10 54¢ $13 +$3 10-09 04:16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +26 $4 45¢ $12 +$8 10-15 07:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 80¢ $12 +$2 10-05 17:37
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 10-05 13:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +32 $10 34¢ $11 +$1 10-08 03:35
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +20 $10 53¢ $10 +$1 10-15 12:26
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-11 18:20
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +167 $9 6¢ $10 +$1 10-03 10:05
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 10-21 07:24
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +11 $10 82¢ $9 $0 10-13 07:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +62 $9 15¢ $9 $0 10-21 07:23
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +71 $7 12¢ $9 +$2 10-29 23:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $9 10¢ $9 $0 10-19 12:29
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +143 $8 6¢ $8 +$0 10-11 16:46
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +26 $10 32¢ $8 -$1 09-23 07:41
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +28 $10 29¢ $8 -$2 09-22 17:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +29 $10 26¢ $8 -$2 10-08 03:36
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +38 $10 18¢ $7 -$2 10-15 00:52
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +15 $4 46¢ $7 +$3 10-26 09:31
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +45 $10 14¢ $6 -$4 10-08 22:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +33 $10 17¢ $6 -$4 10-10 10:02
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +100 $9 5¢ $5 -$4 10-11 18:32
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +14 $4 30¢ $4 +$0 09-09 02:08
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +28 $10 11¢ $3 -$7 10-21 23:08
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +5 $3 56¢ $3 -$1 09-12 14:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 $0 10-15 12:47
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes — +12 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 09-18 03:01
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +125 $9 2¢ $2 -$7 10-11 18:31