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whale
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Realized P&L (24h)
+$12
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved (24h)
3
Trades (24h)
8
40,068 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$67
$994.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$216
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 14:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 215 days
Categories
Sports
46% 73% -$7,693
Crypto
33% 92% +$475
Other
20% 65% -$265
Politics
1% 42% -$633
Tech
0% 29% +$20
Pop-Culture
0% 29% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +31 $10 56¢ $17 +$8 10-26 02:32
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +24 $10 52¢ $13 +$3 10-09 04:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +32 $10 38¢ $12 +$2 10-08 03:35
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +14 $10 80¢ $12 +$2 10-05 17:37
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 10-05 13:52
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 10-11 18:20
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 +$1 10-13 07:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +20 $10 53¢ $10 +$1 10-15 12:26
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 10-21 07:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +26 $4 38¢ $10 +$6 10-15 07:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +23 $0 35¢ $8 +$8 11-02 12:04
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +167 $9 5¢ $8 -$1 10-03 10:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +62 $9 12¢ $8 -$2 10-21 07:23
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +143 $8 5¢ $8 $0 10-11 16:46
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +26 $10 26¢ $7 -$3 09-23 07:41
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Yes +71 $7 10¢ $7 -$1 10-29 23:45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +15 $4 44¢ $7 +$3 10-26 09:31
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +38 $10 16¢ $6 -$3 10-15 00:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +28 $10 22¢ $6 -$3 09-22 17:04
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +45 $10 12¢ $5 -$4 10-08 22:50
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +33 $10 16¢ $5 -$5 10-10 10:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +91 $9 6¢ $5 -$4 10-19 12:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +18 -$11 24¢ $4 +$15 10-30 00:15
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +14 $4 26¢ $4 $0 09-09 02:08
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +5 $3 50¢ $2 -$1 09-12 14:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +5 $2 48¢ $2 +$0 10-15 12:47
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? Yes +57 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 09-09 05:14
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? Yes +12 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 09-18 03:01
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 24¢ $1 -$1 09-13 22:24
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $2 24¢ $1 -$1 09-14 03:27